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September 2014 Observations and Discussion

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Post by blizzard93 Tue Sep 16, 2014 10:27 pm

I agree! The first half of summer was great but it's been a real snore fest lately lol we need a nice big widespread storm to track already!

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Post by SNOW MAN Wed Sep 17, 2014 6:39 am

Very chilly when I left the house at 3:00am to head to work. It was 41* with clear skies and calm winds. Frank I've got to tell you, those birds flying around in your posts are pretty neat. But I'm getting dizzy watching them flying in circles. drunken

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Post by amugs Wed Sep 17, 2014 8:14 am

Hey Snowy great to see you back my Snow Weenie Compadre and loyalist!!

How is the shoulder doing my man? Yes the chill is in the air that is for sure - close to frost out by you and you may see it next week??

48.2* this morning - fall like chill.

Check this out for next week that Frank talked about in the long range

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Post-7472-0-27500600-1410953691

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 17, 2014 8:25 am

SNOW MAN wrote:Very chilly when I left the house at 3:00am to head to work. It was 41* with clear skies and calm winds. Frank I've got to tell you, those birds flying around in your posts are pretty neat. But I'm getting dizzy watching them flying in circles. drunken

Don't click on them, you would see six instead of 3. Haha

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Post by SNOW MAN Wed Sep 17, 2014 9:13 am

Good to be back Mugs. The shoulder is doing good ,but theres only one problem. Now I tore my left shoulders rotator cuff. I was suppose to have it repaired on August 8th ,but my company said if I didn't return to work I would be terminated. So now I have to work 8 month to have enough hours to go back out and get it repaired. But in the mean time I'm doing more damage to it. The doctor is not too happy about all of this, but what can you do. It's better than being unemployed. I guess from the map you posted it's time to put the summer stuff away and prepare for winter. Frank, I didn't listen I click on them. Plus now they go up and down the page when I scroll. I feel like I'm in the Alfred Hitchcock movie classic The Birds. affraid
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Post by docstox12 Wed Sep 17, 2014 3:04 pm

Snow, if you look really close you'll see those birds pooping on your post!

Sorry about that shoulder, my man.At my age, 63, you come to the realization that pain is now a daily part of your life.Try Ibuprofen, works great for me to relieve it temporarily.

As far as observations, looks like another extended dry spell.That rain yesterday , albeit not much, was welcome around here.
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Post by mako460 Wed Sep 17, 2014 9:09 pm

Wow, 6 hours now and not a single post, how boring is that???????????????? Cant wait for some winter weather and all of the enthusiasm that goes with it!

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Post by docstox12 Wed Sep 17, 2014 9:15 pm

Won't be long now Mako.I've seen flurries around these parts as early as mid-October so we are rounding the 3/4 turn.The lack of any meaningful tropical development this season slowed it down as well.Just dry and normal temperatures for weeks on end.Nice to be outside but BLAH in the weather interest department.

Hey, they have the pumpkins out for sale at a lot of places.Remember that "frost on the pumpkin" line,LOL!

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 17, 2014 9:24 pm

t week. I'll be busy these next few days. Not much to report. Temps the next couple of mornings will be in the upper 40's to low 50's. We will get between 78-83 degrees on Sunday, then another cool down early next behind a cold front, which could bring some rain Monday night.

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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Sep 18, 2014 7:18 am

It got down to 41* this morning. My official report is 41* clear skies, calm winds and no bears, yet. Went to Doc last Thursday, he gave me a cortisone shot. Seems to be working pretty well. So that's what's on my computer screen, bird poop,just great. I knew I shouldn've click on those birds.
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Post by amugs Thu Sep 18, 2014 8:11 am

48* again in NNJ - i am anticipating low 40"s tonight for lows.

Snowy, that will work for a good 4-6 months hopefully longer for I had the same back in the early 2000's with a torn rotater cuff - I wish you teh best with it - advil and icing it my man - contols teh swelling and pain.

Gotta take a picture of the bears and post.

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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Sep 18, 2014 9:12 am

Good morning Mugs. The Doc usually gives me 2 shots in two different spots on my shoulder. Unfortunately this is the fourth set of shots I've had since April. They only seem to last 3-4 weeks at most. He(Doc) really wants me to have surgery asap, but I have to put the required hours in at my job to go back out and have it done. Otherwise it's termination for me. I will try to post pictures of the bears if I can figure out how to do so. I'm not a real techie kind of person. I just know the very basics. In my area their saying it will go down into the low 40's tonight. I'll keep ypou posted.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Sep 18, 2014 9:47 am

SNOW MAN wrote:Good morning Mugs. The Doc usually gives me 2 shots in two different spots on my shoulder. Unfortunately this is the fourth set of shots I've had since April. They only seem to last 3-4 weeks at most. He(Doc) really wants me to have surgery asap, but I have to put the required hours in at my job to go back out and have it done. Otherwise it's termination for me. I will try to post pictures of the bears if I can figure out how to do so. I'm not a real techie kind of person. I just know the very basics. In my area their saying it will go down into the low 40's tonight. I'll keep ypou posted.

Sorry to hear. They don't offer disability?

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Sep 18, 2014 11:03 am

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Bx0t2RZIMAAJwJ6

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Sep 18, 2014 3:48 pm

Judging  by that map, Europe is stealing all the rain from us.

And check out the tidbit about Antarctic sea ice.

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Post by Dtone Fri Sep 19, 2014 7:20 am

Temp dropped 5 degrees in 20 mins. Chilly 54* and windy.

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Post by HectorO Sat Sep 20, 2014 5:38 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Judging  by that map, Europe is stealing all the rain from us.

And check out the tidbit about Antarctic sea ice.

Don't know if anyone read what I put like 3 weeks ago or so, but it mentioned the expansion of the arctic. And that the North Pole sea ice expanded larger than anyone had expected.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Sep 21, 2014 9:47 am

On the short end of the precip here again....hardly a .10th of an inch...

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Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
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Post by algae888 Sun Sep 21, 2014 10:04 am

just under .5" of rain. some places in conn and LI received over 1". boring but pleasant weather continues this week with HP in control until at least sat.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 21, 2014 8:57 pm

Not a whole lot going on (refer to my post in the long range thread). Our coolest day of the week will probably be on Tuesday behind the front, with temps in the lower 70's most likely.

EURO Temps

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Tuesday_temps

Then it will be a gradual warm-up from Wednesday into the weekend, probably getting near 80 degrees on Saturday.

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Post by amugs Mon Sep 22, 2014 7:38 am

Coastal ?

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Post-90-0-94433800-1411382033

Looks like a ELI special from the Euro last night - something to keep an eye on (?) - on shore flow too. CMC called this last week but we know how bad it is in the long range. See what  the other models show toady for this.

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Post by amugs Mon Sep 22, 2014 11:41 am

Coastal - SREF's say take a closer look - something might be brewing here.
September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 F78

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Post by sabamfa Mon Sep 22, 2014 11:46 am

I am terrible at reading these maps and things. When would this be for?

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Sep 22, 2014 11:57 am

sabamfa wrote:I am terrible at reading these maps and things. When would this be for?

Early Thursday morning, but the latest 12z GFS still has this storm well off the coast bringing just some light showers to coastal NJ and LI

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f69

And with a trough entering the Pacific Northwest in this time period, I doubt there is enough to get this storm along the coast like some of the other guidance is suggesting. But we'll have to keep a close look out for now.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Sep 22, 2014 11:57 am

Can everyone see that image by the way?

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 22, 2014 1:00 pm

Is this a big storm if it were to stay close to land, this must just popped up today I didn't see it last night.  Looks inte3nse on SREF.  High winds and rain?  Or just a rain storm IF it were to stay close? And Frank how many times have we been fooled by GFS this year, I am starting to take it like CMC brother, isnt much left to trust this season.  Is this tropical in nature, hybrid or just a LP? mugs I forget where you get that ensemble of SREF from?


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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 22, 2014 1:03 pm

I am interested in the possible caribbean development showing up towards end of run, kinda same place as Sandy was, and starts to turn north. maybe this the possible storm you mentioened Frank for October? Euro also has a development in gulf which eventually treks up this way as a LP and develops a bit off shore. Hoping for some good hybrids or noreasters, we need some excitement (not asking for anything catastrophic) but man its been boring since like March.
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