03/04 Minor Snow Event

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by amugs on Wed Mar 02, 2016 6:58 am



Nuts absolutely another 50 mile tick nw and we have a warning type of event. 12z should be interesting

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by snow247 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 7:03 am

amugs wrote:

Nuts absolutely another 50 mile tick nw and we have a warning type of event. 12z should be interesting

Going to need more than 50 miles imo.
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by sroc4 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 7:07 am

GFS is pretty much in its own right now

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
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Dec 11th = coating
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Jan 14th = 1.75"
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Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by amugs on Wed Mar 02, 2016 7:37 am

sroc4 wrote:GFS is pretty much in its own right now

EPS is showing 1-2" for the NNJ area and NYC - 3" as you go east from there. The mean.

Another 50 mile tick NW and it gets even better.





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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by NjWeatherGuy on Wed Mar 02, 2016 8:06 am

6z GFS is close to a major bomb, 980s low off the coast and tight gradient, showing 60-70kt surface winds just offshore, if it moves NW, watch out, but the way this winters been going the NAN is probably right with a light clipper type event. Will moniter.
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by algae888 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 8:37 am

srefs got wetter...

03z

09z
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by sroc4 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 8:38 am

FWIW JB is calling for 3-6 for I-95 corridor with potential for 12". Bold to say the least.

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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by Math23x7 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 9:01 am

Algae888, the "wetter" srefs can be accounted for the fact that there is one plume that gives NYC 26" of snow from this system (aka Jonas redux). Needless to say, I highly doubt that that plume verifies.

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Wed Mar 02, 2016 9:11 am

Math23x7 wrote:Algae888, the "wetter" srefs can be accounted for the fact that there is one plume that gives NYC 26" of snow from this system (aka Jonas redux).  Needless to say, I highly doubt that that plume verifies.

But imagine if you will if it did.
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by amugs on Wed Mar 02, 2016 9:55 am

Need the ridge in the west to lift a bit more or the heights to rise more on the coast ahead of this LP to get it turn more North IMO - we are so frickin close again. 50-75 mile NW jog and we are in business - can it be done??

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Mar 02, 2016 10:24 am

just watched Bernie--says he will not rule out storm for us just yet...always a interesting to watch him..love the way he explains everything!

http://videowall.accuweather.com/detail/videos/trending-now/video/2430839568001/late-week-storm-to-threaten-mi
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 02, 2016 10:33 am

Meh, I am not excited for this. I hope I'm wrong.

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 02, 2016 11:08 am

12z GFS...nothing changed. General 1-3" area wide.


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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by WOLVES1 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 11:50 am

I want nothing more then for you to be wrong.
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Mar 02, 2016 12:23 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Meh, I am not excited for this. I hope I'm wrong.

your probably right...but I hope you are wrong..just this once Wink Wink

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by sabamfa on Wed Mar 02, 2016 12:41 pm

When will we have a more definitive idea? I have concert tickets in NYC on Friday night and a big storm might prevent me from getting there =\

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by amugs on Wed Mar 02, 2016 2:29 pm

sabamfa wrote:When will we have a more definitive idea? I have concert tickets in NYC on Friday night and a big storm might prevent me from getting there =\

Not a big storm at this time S & E she goes and going to be another miss with a big coastal.

We cant win with these storms this winter = sucks imo and frustrating as all H.
Precip gradient starting to tighten up on models.

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by WeatherBob on Wed Mar 02, 2016 2:37 pm

In general, the system is compact because the upper level system is not that expansive. If the upper system turns out to be more intense, we might see a bit more wrap around 700 mb moisture but even at that, it probably will remain offshore.

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by hyde345 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 2:41 pm

Storms to the left of me, storms to the right, stuck in the middle with you. This storm is another one that is giving us a big FU, especially to the HV.
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by jimv45 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 2:53 pm

Hyde winter if you can call it that came in south and east and left south and east and those cutters well that was another slap in the face! why change this storm says as it makes that south and east move.














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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by frank 638 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 4:44 pm

Joe cioffi Snowfall map is up he has for 1 to 2 inches for NYC Westchester nj and parts of long island .with 2 to 3 inches for east of long island I hope this goes up

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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Mar 02, 2016 5:02 pm

Congrats to the Cape & Islands for their newly issued Winter Storm Watch. 

We are painfully close to getting a big snowstorm.
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by amugs on Wed Mar 02, 2016 8:50 pm

SREFS A BIT NW BUMP - HOLDING OUT SOME HOPE!




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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by Snow88 on Wed Mar 02, 2016 11:24 pm

GFS went east.GGEM is a whiff.
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

Post by Vinnydula on Wed Mar 02, 2016 11:28 pm

To next winter guys seen you then Smile
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Re: 03/04 Minor Snow Event

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