March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:40 pm

Okay, my bad yes I remember the LP being east of where it should been are we looking at Jonas part duex? : ) Wow CMC much more pronounced and looks could go negative. Still learning here about the 500mb versus the surface and I can see the vast differences, I find it odd how one does not distinguish the other, they need to optimize that in future upgrades.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by skinsfan1177 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:41 pm

Big difference on that run
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by sroc4 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:42 pm

verbatim the Canadian was warm for the coast.

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:43 pm

CMC is all inland almost nothing for the coast : ( I know temp profiles change but is this realistic?
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:45 pm

I don't like but hey all you northern folks deserve some snow. Is this because it came really far west?



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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by billg315 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:47 pm

Sooooo, do we have to re-open our Winter Report Card grades if this hits and is big? Lol
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by sroc4 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:50 pm

jmanley32 wrote:CMC is all inland almost nothing for the coast : ( I know temp profiles change but is this realistic?

Until we get consistency its all on the table. My guess right now is that this is an over correction on the CMC's part and the LP will end up on or just inside the BM.

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by algae888 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:59 pm

Very busy at work today just catching up on all the posts and to add the UKIE is a perfect track right off the North Carolina coast 2 just east of Boston not as wound up as yesterday. Still 985 MB right near Boston cant post on my cell
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by algae888 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:01 pm

Comparing yesterday's UKIE today's it's East
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:06 pm

Waiting every so patiently for Euro lol
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by SoulSingMG on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:09 pm

Bernie Rayno, just now: "don't look at CMC. awful IMO"
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jake732 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:09 pm

Ukmet ??
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by algae888 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:12 pm

Scott the CMC looks funny it has a sub 990 Low over Eastern Long Island and almost no precipitation to the West. Also can't get too concerned about Temps at this time if precipitation Falls heavy enough it will fall as snow even with the CMC track especially on the back end
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by algae888 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:12 pm

Haven't had a chance to look but hearing the GEFS is wetter than the operational
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by SoulSingMG on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:15 pm

12z GEFS LaughingLaughingLaughingLaughing


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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Snowfall on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:24 pm

That's map looks horrible

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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Snowfall on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:25 pm

Not gfs the Cmc

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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:47 pm

i forgot when does the euro come out? around 3pm? maybe I can clean the house between models....lol..i am trying not to be sucked back in ..but I think it is too late. Rolling Eyes
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:50 pm

Bernie Rayno about 1/2 hour ago

update coming on snowstorm threat. I will be recording before EURO is in. Some clarity but also questions remain.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:51 pm

why doesn't he wait for euro wouldn't that make sense? But ya he said forget the cmc, in face he said never uses it.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:59 pm

euro up to hr 30, ill keep you all posted.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:14 pm

Hr 78 off Carolinas better turn north or its way east.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by algae888 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:18 pm

Euro is a bomb 1 - 2 feet jackpot zone and just north west of I-95
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:20 pm

oh baby yeah holds steadfast 988 south of LI to 977 on tip cape cod. CCB still drops Godzilla snow, im not look at h5 was there a near phase?
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:22 pm

precip pushed well inland from 00z. still about 12-18.

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