Snow Showers Saturday?

Page 3 of 5 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next

Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Snow88 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:14 pm

ARW likes central Jersey. NMM is further North into the NYC area.
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2004
Reputation : 2
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by algae888 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:15 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
algae888 wrote:The ukie slams and I mean slams Coastal central New Jersey. Right over skins and ace house. Ukie spits out almost 2" le there.
Do we have your maps
Skins click on snow88 map. You are in the red. I belive thats 40 to 50mm. And thats just in 6 hrs more before it. Not on my computer
avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4668
Reputation : 25
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Snow88 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:38 pm

GEFS has 0.75 line touching southern areas of NYC lol

These troughs usually trend north
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2004
Reputation : 2
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Bkdude on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:44 pm

Nuts i tell ya

Bkdude

Posts : 60
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2016-01-01

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by sroc4 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:47 pm

The vertical velocities are quite impressive. This system has some surprises for anyone under the highest vv in the form of hail or heavy snowfall rates or flooding.



_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
avatar
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 5630
Reputation : 169
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:20 pm

Isotherm has stated this about the Euro:

The sad sack Euro now depicts a closed low at 500mb traversing the northern mid Atlantic tomorrow afternoon. The Euro to me is simply just another model. While it has the highest verification scores overall, its projections for individual storms have been worse than the GFS in recent months. Not sure what they've done to the physics of that model, but its life of royalty has transitioned into an existence of mediocrity.

Me personally have lost a great amount of faith in this model - amazing how it went from deadly within 5 days to run of the mill. I do not care what teh verification say it has been atrocious this winter!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 9498
Reputation : 106
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 48
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:21 pm

Ukie map - can't make this up - CNJ coast gets hammered with .......white rain? BL issues may be a problem but if yuo get enough dynamics and heavy white gold it will eventually stick.


_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 9498
Reputation : 106
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 48
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:22 pm

Euro - CAVES TO THE GFS - AMERICA WINS AGAIN!!!!





Last edited by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:03 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 9498
Reputation : 106
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 48
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Grselig on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:46 pm

amugs wrote:Euro - CAVES TO THE GFS - AMERICAN WIN AGAIN!!!!


avatar
Grselig
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 851
Reputation : 56
Join date : 2013-03-04
Age : 48
Location : Wayne NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by frank 638 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:53 pm

At what time will it start

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1657
Reputation : 14
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 34
Location : bronx ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by algae888 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:06 pm

Temperatures are running 5 to 10 degrees below forecast this afternoon. Nyc forecast high temp is 52. Only 44 at 2 p.m. dew points in the low to mid twenties.
avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4668
Reputation : 25
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:11 pm

SREFS have taken a good 20 mile tick N now - good trend
If we can get a few more of these at 18 and 21z I think most here woudl be happy and call uncle and move onto true spring
15Z


12Z run for comparison



Last edited by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:12 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 9498
Reputation : 106
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 48
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:11 pm

I am heading to LI tomorrow is that a bad idea or should roads be okay? I will be driving around not just staying in one place.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 14759
Reputation : 64
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:13 pm

What time does this all start I will mostly be out earlier in the day.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 14759
Reputation : 64
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:59 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I am heading to LI tomorrow is that a bad idea or should roads be okay? I will be driving around not just staying in one place.

Going to rain on LI. Or wet snow. You'll be fine

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 18164
Reputation : 245
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 26
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by dkodgis on Sat Apr 09, 2016 8:19 am

Here a few miles North of I-84, at 8 am so far so clear.
avatar
dkodgis
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 563
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-12-29

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by docstox12 on Sat Apr 09, 2016 8:35 am

45.1, 58%, 29.49 R. Partly cloudy with sun.
avatar
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6103
Reputation : 95
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 67
Location : Monroe NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Dtone on Sat Apr 09, 2016 8:39 am

Mostly sunny 41*

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1677
Reputation : 7
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Dunnzoo on Sat Apr 09, 2016 8:44 am

38° and overcast now. Not expecting much...

_________________
Janet


Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       50.15"

Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
avatar
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 3602
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 56
Location : Westwood, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Snow88 on Sat Apr 09, 2016 9:10 am

SREF has NYC in the bullseye later on but surface temps are warm. Most likely white rain.

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/dougsimo/SREFUS24Precip09027.gif

Upton mentioned how NYC should watch out for the banding to the south to see if it trends northward
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2004
Reputation : 2
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Frank_Wx on Sat Apr 09, 2016 9:18 am

PA getting slammed

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 18164
Reputation : 245
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 26
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by frank 638 on Sat Apr 09, 2016 10:12 am

cloudy and chilly looks like its going to snow soon i hope we get little snow today even a coatong i will be happy lol

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1657
Reputation : 14
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 34
Location : bronx ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sat Apr 09, 2016 10:15 am

It will be rain here for sure temp at 45°
avatar
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4017
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 40
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Dunnzoo on Sat Apr 09, 2016 10:30 am

Temp up to 43° here now....

_________________
Janet


Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       50.15"

Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
avatar
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 3602
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 56
Location : Westwood, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by NjWeatherGuy on Sat Apr 09, 2016 10:44 am

Snowing now... what a weird flip floppy year so far, 80s in March and Tstorms, and back to winter in April, whats going on here?
avatar
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 3 of 5 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum