Snow Showers Saturday?

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Snow88 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:14 pm

ARW likes central Jersey. NMM is further North into the NYC area.
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by algae888 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:15 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
algae888 wrote:The ukie slams and I mean slams Coastal central New Jersey. Right over skins and ace house. Ukie spits out almost 2" le there.
Do we have your maps
Skins click on snow88 map. You are in the red. I belive thats 40 to 50mm. And thats just in 6 hrs more before it. Not on my computer
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Snow88 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:38 pm

GEFS has 0.75 line touching southern areas of NYC lol

These troughs usually trend north
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Bkdude on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:44 pm

Nuts i tell ya

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by sroc4 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 1:47 pm

The vertical velocities are quite impressive. This system has some surprises for anyone under the highest vv in the form of hail or heavy snowfall rates or flooding.



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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:20 pm

Isotherm has stated this about the Euro:

The sad sack Euro now depicts a closed low at 500mb traversing the northern mid Atlantic tomorrow afternoon. The Euro to me is simply just another model. While it has the highest verification scores overall, its projections for individual storms have been worse than the GFS in recent months. Not sure what they've done to the physics of that model, but its life of royalty has transitioned into an existence of mediocrity.

Me personally have lost a great amount of faith in this model - amazing how it went from deadly within 5 days to run of the mill. I do not care what teh verification say it has been atrocious this winter!

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:21 pm

Ukie map - can't make this up - CNJ coast gets hammered with .......white rain? BL issues may be a problem but if yuo get enough dynamics and heavy white gold it will eventually stick.


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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:22 pm

Euro - CAVES TO THE GFS - AMERICA WINS AGAIN!!!!





Last edited by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:03 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Grselig on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:46 pm

amugs wrote:Euro - CAVES TO THE GFS - AMERICAN WIN AGAIN!!!!


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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by frank 638 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:53 pm

At what time will it start

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by algae888 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:06 pm

Temperatures are running 5 to 10 degrees below forecast this afternoon. Nyc forecast high temp is 52. Only 44 at 2 p.m. dew points in the low to mid twenties.
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:11 pm

SREFS have taken a good 20 mile tick N now - good trend
If we can get a few more of these at 18 and 21z I think most here woudl be happy and call uncle and move onto true spring
15Z


12Z run for comparison



Last edited by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:12 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:11 pm

I am heading to LI tomorrow is that a bad idea or should roads be okay? I will be driving around not just staying in one place.
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:13 pm

What time does this all start I will mostly be out earlier in the day.
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:59 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I am heading to LI tomorrow is that a bad idea or should roads be okay? I will be driving around not just staying in one place.

Going to rain on LI. Or wet snow. You'll be fine

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by dkodgis on Sat Apr 09, 2016 8:19 am

Here a few miles North of I-84, at 8 am so far so clear.
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by docstox12 on Sat Apr 09, 2016 8:35 am

45.1, 58%, 29.49 R. Partly cloudy with sun.
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Dtone on Sat Apr 09, 2016 8:39 am

Mostly sunny 41*

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Dunnzoo on Sat Apr 09, 2016 8:44 am

38° and overcast now. Not expecting much...

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Snow88 on Sat Apr 09, 2016 9:10 am

SREF has NYC in the bullseye later on but surface temps are warm. Most likely white rain.

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/dougsimo/SREFUS24Precip09027.gif

Upton mentioned how NYC should watch out for the banding to the south to see if it trends northward
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Frank_Wx on Sat Apr 09, 2016 9:18 am

PA getting slammed

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by frank 638 on Sat Apr 09, 2016 10:12 am

cloudy and chilly looks like its going to snow soon i hope we get little snow today even a coatong i will be happy lol

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sat Apr 09, 2016 10:15 am

It will be rain here for sure temp at 45°
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by Dunnzoo on Sat Apr 09, 2016 10:30 am

Temp up to 43° here now....

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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

Post by NjWeatherGuy on Sat Apr 09, 2016 10:44 am

Snowing now... what a weird flip floppy year so far, 80s in March and Tstorms, and back to winter in April, whats going on here?
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?

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