2016 Summer Outlook

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2016 Summer Outlook

Post by Frank_Wx on Thu May 05, 2016 10:26 pm

Hello!

Please follow the link to watch my 2016 Summer Outlook. Let me know if you have any questions.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wappszZ6MUM&feature=youtu.be

Best,

Frank

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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by Dtone on Thu May 05, 2016 11:35 pm

Would it be safe to say it looks to be especially humid as well? As opposed to the NW wind down sloping heat that may bring the most extreme heat here but drier.

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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by frank 638 on Fri May 06, 2016 5:30 am

Thanks frnk for the video I just hope it won't be to hot one thing I can't stand is having 100+ deg days also I remember in 1998 it was a hot dry summer

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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri May 06, 2016 5:58 am

Dtone wrote:Would it be safe to say it looks to be especially humid as well? As opposed to the NW wind down sloping heat that may bring the most extreme heat here but drier.

The 2nd half of the summer will be pretty humid, yes. Backdoor cold front should helps us stay at least average through June. 

frank 638 wrote:Thanks frnk for the video I just hope it won't be to hot one thing I can't stand is having 100+ deg days also I remember in 1998 it was a hot dry summer

The precip forecast in the summer is tough. It depends how strong and west the Bermuda High gets. If it's west of Bermuda, then storm systems will dissipate before they reach the east.

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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by algae888 on Fri May 06, 2016 9:04 am

thanks for the write up frank. I agree that summer looks like it will get off to a slow start as for heat and hurricanes as this el-nino isn't as quick to give in as models have forecast so far. all 4 regions are still at +.5 or higher with 3.4 just over +1 as of today. interesting to see how fast and how strong la-nina gets.
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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by dkodgis on Sat May 07, 2016 3:18 am

OK let us see the 2016-17 Winter Forecast! Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by algae888 on Sat May 07, 2016 5:49 pm

Today is the 13th consecutive day of below normal temps and if tomorrow's gfs temps are correct that would make two full weeks. I believe the last time that happened was March of last year. Also did anyone check out next weekend eps and euro operational. -5 to-10 850's. If we get clear calm nights could be freeze concerns especially in the suburbs
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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by docstox12 on Sun May 08, 2016 6:51 am

Al, I remember when I had my vegetable garden in Mahwah NJ there was a frost danger until May 21.One year I cheated and planted tomato and eggplant a week early, and sure enough, there was a frost a few days later.Had to go out and cover all the plants with big cups.

Anyway, tip o' the hat to Frank for the summer outlook.Looks like a scorcher the second half.
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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by amugs on Sun May 08, 2016 10:11 am

Frank,

Great video/forecast as always - short and sweet - always depends on where that BH will set up and how strong it gets.
Another anomalous pattern we are looking at with few analogs to compare to.
Best of luck and I see the dog days of summer may have to renamed if the temp forecast departure comes to fruition.

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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by Isotherm on Mon May 23, 2016 9:11 pm

Nice work Frank. Good to see our forecasts have quite a few commonalities.

http://www.lightinthestorm.com/

Hopefully we see an improved T-storm season vs. last summer.
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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri Sep 09, 2016 8:27 pm

I give myself a B- score for my Summer outlook. I royally screwed up the west coast. I should stick to the east.


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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by Isotherm on Mon Sep 12, 2016 11:24 pm

Good work. I agree with your assessment. This summer went very well for me as well. Big heat for Jul/Aug in the East. Now onto to the more difficult (though summer isn't easy either) half of the LR outlook season.
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Re: 2016 Summer Outlook

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Sep 13, 2016 5:18 pm

Isotherm wrote:Good work. I agree with your assessment. This summer went very well for me as well. Big heat for Jul/Aug in the East. Now onto to the more difficult (though summer isn't easy either) half of the LR outlook season.

You did extremely well. Excellent job.


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