August 2016 Observations & Discussion

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by amugs on Tue Aug 09, 2016 10:44 am

GFS says mow teh lawn and crank the AC for the wetness we are about to encounter the next 4 day timeframe.



This could trend drier if the Bermuda High which is expanding west expands to far west and keeps us Hot and Humid but trains the storms more west that east.

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by Dtone on Tue Aug 09, 2016 4:38 pm

heat advisory issued for 5 boros tomorrow and thurs.


"A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS WILL BE MOVING INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY
AND REMAIN INTO THE WEEKEND. HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
IN THE MID 90S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...UPPER 90S THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...AND 100 TO 105 FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON."

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Aug 10, 2016 6:00 am

Dtone wrote:heat advisory issued for 5 boros tomorrow and thurs.


"A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS WILL BE MOVING INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY
AND REMAIN INTO THE WEEKEND. HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
IN THE MID 90S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...UPPER 90S THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...AND 100 TO 105 FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON."

Going to be disgusting. I'll be melting like an Italian Gelato

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by frank 638 on Wed Aug 10, 2016 8:45 am

78 deg with mostly cloudy skies it's very disgusting out very muggy sticky crappy weather .I am leaving tomorrow to go to Punta Cana I'm staying at the Riu Palace and I am returning next Friday

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by NjWeatherGuy on Wed Aug 10, 2016 10:07 am

So Ive been out of the loop for a while. Looks like were in La Nina now? Oh boy...

http://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/1/1623/1623/ENSO%20(WEEKLY).png
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by NjWeatherGuy on Wed Aug 10, 2016 10:10 am

Going to be a southeast like week here, ugh

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ETAPA_6z/etaloop.html#picture
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by amugs on Wed Aug 10, 2016 3:30 pm

Looks to be a long warm spell by the latest map here. May not be plus 5 but it will be a plus 2 to 3 by this look


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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by algae888 on Wed Aug 10, 2016 4:24 pm

88* 77*dp at Newark heat index 100!!!. give me 95*dp 58* any day of the week in summer and twice on Sunday's. no relief from the dews til Monday. ughh!!!
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by algae888 on Wed Aug 10, 2016 4:28 pm

wow tornado warning for Suffolk. do not get these often

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
421 PM EDT WED AUG 10 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL SUFFOLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 420 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PECONIC...OR NEAR MATTITUCK...MOVING EAST
AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
NOYACK AROUND 435 PM EDT.
SAG HARBOR AROUND 440 PM EDT.
BRIDGEHAMPTON AROUND 445 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE NORTH
HAVEN...WATERMILL...EAST HAMPTON AIRPORT...CUTCHOGUE...NORTH
SEA...MONTAUK HIGHWAY AND SPRINGS.
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Aug 10, 2016 4:30 pm

algae888 wrote:wow tornado warning for Suffolk. do not get these often

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
421 PM EDT WED AUG 10 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
 EAST CENTRAL SUFFOLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 420 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
 TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PECONIC...OR NEAR MATTITUCK...MOVING EAST
 AT 25 MPH.

 HAZARD...TORNADO.

 SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

 IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
          SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
          DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
          DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
 NOYACK AROUND 435 PM EDT.
 SAG HARBOR AROUND 440 PM EDT.
 BRIDGEHAMPTON AROUND 445 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE NORTH
HAVEN...WATERMILL...EAST HAMPTON AIRPORT...CUTCHOGUE...NORTH
SEA...MONTAUK HIGHWAY AND SPRINGS.

Was just going to post
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by Dtone on Wed Aug 10, 2016 5:42 pm

algae888 wrote:88* 77*dp at Newark heat index 100!!!. give me 95*dp 58* any day of the week in summer and twice on Sunday's. no relief from the dews til Monday. ughh!!!

yeah dew's are crazy, i got to a dew of 79. lows 70s is ugh but fairly common in most summers. We dont see upper 70s to 80 dews that often and not for days on end.

Also 100* heat index under cloudy skies dont see that often ether. Miami stuff.
The gulf is a steam bath upper 80s water temps throughout and even some low 90s. 80 degree water has made it to near Jersey shore.

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by algae888 on Wed Aug 10, 2016 6:37 pm

My weather app has a warning for large hail starting in 5 minutes. thunderstorm is forming to my Southwest moving right towards me. I'll let you know if it occurs. It looks like it's going to be a wild few days with these thunderstorms popping up. temps in the low 90s with dew points in the upper 70s and any trigger could cause torrential rains. wondering if we get any severe weather like what occurred in Suffolk County today
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by algae888 on Wed Aug 10, 2016 6:47 pm

no hail just some very heavy rain. going to make dew points even worse.
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Aug 10, 2016 6:51 pm

My current dewpoin t is 75 it was just horrible outside today
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:44 am

There was also a EF-0 tornado in North Haven, CT and I happened to be driving through that area almost at that time and let me tell you the sky was amazingly scary looking. Several times I thought I saw clouds spiraling but not coming down to the ground. There was also a special marine warning for waterspouts but I am not sure if one happened or not. The tree damage in CT was localized to one neighborhood and one side of the area only. Not sure why its not on the NWS storm report page as news states it was confirmed by NWS as was the Suffolk county one (likely same storm that crossed LI sound). Pretty rare to have two weak tornados up in this area (especially on a day SPC did not have the area up for anything), I remember the EF-2 or 3 that happened in Hamden CT in the late 80's early 90's I believe which caused massive destruction, I remember touring the area and just being in awe. Its one of the things I think that got me eventually into weather.
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:46 am

Question, what do you guys think the chances are tomorrow our spirit cruise around NYC harbor lunch will be ok, will they leave dock if there are t-storms? I imagine we may get wet at some point and lets certainly hope there are no waterspouts! I already get seasick on a calm day lol
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by ak926 on Thu Aug 11, 2016 10:07 am

The 9am dewpoint at Dover AFB , Delaware is 82 , nearby Easton,MD is 81 !    77 at Morristown, NJ

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Aug 11, 2016 12:48 pm

ak926 wrote:The 9am dewpoint at Dover AFB , Delaware is 82 , nearby Easton,MD is 81 !    77 at Morristown, NJ

Holy cow, that's awful! I cannot stand humidity, let alone the heat itself. I have become the official reporter at my job for heat advisories etc. as we service ill clients and the heat definitely can adversely effect them. Hey nothing like some brownie points for showing care for our clients hehe.
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by skinsfan1177 on Thu Aug 11, 2016 2:27 pm

This is the most yucky weather ever lol. 90° realfeel is 107° dewpoin t at 79
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by Dtone on Thu Aug 11, 2016 2:40 pm

Excessive heat watch Sat and Sun.
Heat Advisory expanded beyond NYC now till Sat.

An 80+ degree low 1 -2 times a yr is becoming somewhat common but 3-4 days straight may be a first, unless a perfectly times t storm gets in the way.

94* here. dew point 77, heat index 109.



NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
227 PM EDT THU AUG 11 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED AN EXCESSIVE
HEAT WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES INTO THIS EVENING...100 TO 104 DEGREES.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES FRIDAY...100 TO 105 DEGREES.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES SATURDAY...AROUND 105 DEGREES.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES SUNDAY...AROUND 105 DEGREES.

* TIMING...HIGHEST HEAT INDICES IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

* OVERNIGHT LOWS...AROUND 80 DEGREES TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
 NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL
 INCREASE THE RISK FOR HEAT RELATED HEALTH ISSUES...ESPECIALLY
 FOR THE ELDERLY...THOSE WITH CHRONIC HEALTH PROBLEMS SUCH AS
 LUNG AND HEART DISEASE...THOSE WORKING OUTDOORS...AND OTHER
 HEAT SENSITIVE GROUPS OF PEOPLE.

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by amugs on Thu Aug 11, 2016 4:17 pm

Heat index 106.4* in my neck of teh NNJ woods - Temp 96 Dew 73 but humidity a low 50%!!

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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by amugs on Thu Aug 11, 2016 4:23 pm

This is a town over from me HoHoKus!!
Elev 131 ft 41.00 °N, 74.11 °W | Updated 9 min ago
Scattered Clouds
Scattered Clouds
98.4 °F

Feels Like 120 °F

N
2.5
Wind from SW
Gusts 5.0 mph



Thunderstorms possible at 8:15pm.
Pressure 29.98 in
Visibility 10.0 miles
Clouds Few 4500 ft
Scattered Clouds 5500 ft
Heat Index
120 °F

Dew Point 80 °F
Humidity 56%
Rainfall 0.00 in
Snow Depth Not availab

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by HectorO on Thu Aug 11, 2016 5:14 pm

So much for Mr. G back from PIX in late July saying that August was going to be a more normal and average in temps month cheers
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Aug 11, 2016 5:19 pm

amugs wrote:This is a town over from me HoHoKus!!
Elev 131 ft 41.00 °N, 74.11 °W | Updated 9 min ago
Scattered Clouds
Scattered Clouds
98.4 °F

Feels Like 120 °F

N
2.5
Wind from SW
Gusts 5.0 mph



Thunderstorms possible at 8:15pm.
Pressure 29.98 in
Visibility 10.0 miles
Clouds Few 4500 ft
Scattered Clouds 5500 ft
Heat Index
120 °F

Dew Point 80 °F
Humidity 56%
Rainfall 0.00 in
Snow Depth Not availab

My brother lives in ho ho kus..that is ridiculous


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Thu Aug 11, 2016 9:16 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Aug 11, 2016 5:37 pm

93* real feel 103*
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Re: August 2016 Observations & Discussion

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