HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Sanchize06 on Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:54 pm

Matthew NW of 18z at hr 72, very close to the coast, that ridge is strong, my guess is it doesn't make it up here, but we'll see...

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by aiannone on Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:54 pm

This run is extremely devastating for the east coast of FL. A high end cat 3 or 4 that moves up the coast while strengthening.
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Sanchize06 on Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:55 pm

Not to mention the trough doesn't looks very good either, a little progessive

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:56 pm

Hour 78, Matt is north of 18z but trough doesn't look too hot. WAR about the same as 18z.

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Sanchize06 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:02 am

Just off the Georgia coast at hr 96, trough is even more flat then it was at 18z, really no way it captures it

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:03 am

I find it amazing how he's following the coast

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:03 am




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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:04 am

PAC is worse than 18z. Would be very surprised if he gets north of NC.

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:07 am

hr 108 landfall...
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:07 am

Landfall. SC


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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:09 am

At 108 the PAC is horrific, but since the WAR was able to ease up a bit Matthew is able to track further NW this run. May be trying to catch the trough. Hard to tell.

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Sanchize06 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:12 am

Frank_Wx wrote:At 108 the PAC is horrific, but since the WAR was able to ease up a bit Matthew is able to track further NW this run. May be trying to catch the trough. Hard to tell.

Yeah, the fact that it came inland is the only thing giving it a chance at the trough. Going to be close actually, definitely enhanced the rain from the front at the very least

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:12 am


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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Dunnzoo on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:13 am

Running up the coast to Va border so far, crushes the coast and outerbanks

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by aiannone on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:13 am



My god lol. Binghamton Bullseye with the rain lol
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Sanchize06 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:13 am

Looks like it manages to partially capture it at hr 126, go figure

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:13 am

Looks like a just miss. Very close.

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:14 am

CMC identical almost.
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by aiannone on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:15 am

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:15 am

Sanchize06 wrote:Looks like it manages to partially capture it at hr 126, go figure

The Atlantic saved us here. Weaker or further east WAR promoted a northerly motion for Matthew. The trough and PAC flow was worse than 18z but we still managed to get him up here.

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:16 am

aiannone wrote:

Wow. Well, there ya have it. Another solution haha.

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:17 am


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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:17 am

Amazing, so many different dynamics at play, one works the other doesn't which will it be if either. Will we even know until its near the carolinas?
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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by aiannone on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:18 am

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Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Oct 04, 2016 12:18 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
aiannone wrote:

Wow. Well, there ya have it. Another solution haha.

Thats damn close, gives us a ton of rain, prolly some wind but not like past models have shown.
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