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October 2016 Observations & Discussions

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dkodgis
Radz
sroc4
ak926
Vinnydula
algae888
Quietace
HectorO
CPcantmeasuresnow
RJB8525
docstox12
Dtone
jmanley32
NjWeatherGuy
skinsfan1177
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frank 638
amugs
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Post by Dunnzoo October 21st 2016, 1:40 pm

.45" here so far....

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Post by docstox12 October 21st 2016, 1:47 pm

Just getting some rain now, only .07 so far.LOL,do I have to say it AGAIN ( s and e...s and e...) LOL!

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Post by Frank_Wx October 21st 2016, 1:55 pm

The sun has been out all day here in Hackettstown.

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Post by Dtone October 21st 2016, 2:10 pm

I cant remember that last time I had an all day steady rain event.

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Post by Dtone October 21st 2016, 2:12 pm

NASSAU NY-KINGS NY-QUEENS NY-BRONX NY-
155 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
KINGS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT

* AT 155 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE
MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
OYSTER BAY...FREEPORT...VALLEY STREAM...LONG BEACH...GLEN COVE...
GARDEN CITY...LYNBROOK...MINEOLA...WESTBURY...GREAT NECK...
LEVITTOWN...SYOSSET...EAST TREMONT...MOTT HAVEN...FLUSHING...
PLAINVIEW...THROGS NECK BRIDGE...KENNEDY AIRPORT...WOODMERE AND RFK
BRIDGE.

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Post by frank 638 October 21st 2016, 2:12 pm

It has been raining all day today so far we had an 1 inch of rain this reminds me of a lake effect snow band crazy weather

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Post by Snow88 October 21st 2016, 2:18 pm

1.50 inches of rain here in Brooklyn

Models busted once again
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Post by skinsfan1177 October 21st 2016, 2:25 pm

1.10 inches so far for today way more than firecasred
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Post by algae888 October 21st 2016, 2:32 pm

I was in the Bronx in White Plains now heard reports of over 2 inches here. Raining from 8:15 this morning moderate to heavy. It's lightened up the last few hours
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Post by Dtone October 21st 2016, 3:16 pm

Since mine doesnt work closest to me, NY botanical garden has over 2"

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Post by skinsfan1177 October 21st 2016, 3:53 pm

Sun is out now 75° is there rain coming later or no?
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Post by sroc4 October 21st 2016, 4:01 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Sun is out now 75° is there rain coming later or no?


Latest HRRR: Let me know if it doesnt play

October 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 7 Hrrr_2016102118_ref_ne

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by skinsfan1177 October 21st 2016, 4:35 pm

sroc4 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Sun is out now 75° is there rain coming later or no?


Latest HRRR: Let me know if it doesnt play

October 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 7 Hrrr_2016102118_ref_ne

Thanks sroc so it looks to late tonight just making sure I have some halloween animatronics that can't get wet.lol
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Post by amugs October 21st 2016, 4:39 pm

Hi res NAM saying steady rains for a good portion of the morning as the back side of the front/LP fills in from west to east. And windy 850 50 knots mixing down 30 mph gusts? If it is true.

.58" rain here today

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Post by sroc4 October 21st 2016, 5:43 pm

sroc4 wrote:Wow we are giving the GFS the win before the final whistle?  Prob true but Bold none the less esp for isolated areas.  There is a fair amt of vorticity rotating through at 850mb.  Ill give the GFS the win after the game has been played.  Wink

October 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 7 Gfs_z850_vort_neus_10
October 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 7 Namconus_z850_vort_neus_43

I know it was more isolated but Im just going to re-post this geek

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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Post by jmanley32 October 21st 2016, 6:26 pm

Accuwx is saying wind gusts tomorrow as high as 51mph so is it safe to say tomortow b4 noon will pretty much b a washput. Even light rain will ruin my plans.
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Post by amugs October 21st 2016, 7:00 pm

October 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 7 .63a4bc213987291f6f7beb97dd104adaOctober 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 7 Img_6710

Pretty wet Saturday as per RGEM

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Post by frank 638 October 21st 2016, 9:14 pm

Very foggy right now

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Post by NjWeatherGuy October 21st 2016, 10:43 pm

Wind starting to kick up, low consolidating.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16

Gusting to 15, sustained 5-10 from WNW right now
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Post by Radz October 22nd 2016, 4:26 am

54.3°, .63 in the bucket since yesterday, 29.18↓
Wind Advisory:
https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=NY12561A8F37E8.WindAdvisory.12561A9EC460NY.OKXNPWOKX.0c2a941986b2432f4cd5d40f6245e109
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Post by docstox12 October 22nd 2016, 6:17 am

LOUD thunderstorm an hour ago. 44.9,94% 29.18 F. .73 total in the bucket since yesterday.Nice to have some measurable rain.Leves will be blowing all over, a nice Fall feel with the cooler temps. That is a pretty low barometer,no?
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Post by jmanley32 October 22nd 2016, 6:43 am

I do not get it how does NYC and the bronx, and north of westchester have a wind advisory and westchester doesnt (and fairfliedcounbty but all counties east of there in CT also do. I am about 1000 feet from the bronx, so the winds are go stop at the border abruptly lol, I forsee it being expanded if those winds do play out, so far it appears calm out. Upton is strange how they post their advisories, unless theres some kind of weird blocking of the winds in those areas not included, guess I'll have to drive down the street to measure winds later with my meter lol
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Post by dkodgis October 22nd 2016, 8:25 am

Here in northern Orange county, it did not rain until very late last night.  I swear the leaves are dying more quickly and falling more robustly and earlier on and if today the rain and wind come, that will help drop leaves. Some rain this morning and really not windy. Just breezy. A steady 49 degrees since 6 am. No thunder, here.


Last edited by dkodgis on October 22nd 2016, 8:29 am; edited 3 times in total
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Post by amugs October 22nd 2016, 8:26 am

.95" so far and a raw 46* out -Fall day

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Post by docstox12 October 22nd 2016, 9:08 am

Temp. dropped to 43.7 now, .91 total in the bucket. Not much wind yet.
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Post by sroc4 October 22nd 2016, 9:19 am

docstox12 wrote:Temp. dropped to 43.7 now, .91 total in the bucket. Not much wind yet.

With a conservative 10-15:1 ratio Doc that's a nice 9-14" storm. Wink

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
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Post by algae888 October 22nd 2016, 9:37 am

dkodgis wrote:Here in northern Orange county, it did not rain until very late last night.  I swear the leaves are dying more quickly and falling more robustly and earlier on and if today the rain and wind come, that will help drop leaves. Some rain this morning and really not windy. Just breezy. A steady 49 degrees since 6 am.  No thunder, here.
Yes I noticed that too there are a ton of leaves around my house usually the leaves don't start falling to early November I believe it's because the stress of the drought this summer feels great outside 46 degrees light rain looking forward to 5 below normal days in a row
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