Re: Hurricane Matthew Southeast Coast Discussion Thread

by **Snow88** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 1:01 pm

Remember when Upton and WPC were going with the GFS and tossed the Euro for this storm? LOL

by **Frank_Wx** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 1:03 pm

Wow!!!! Avoided land. He will def be a cat 5 again

by **jmanley32** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 1:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Wow!!!! Avoided land. He will def be a cat 5 again

Jeeze ya the eye just weezeld in between. What you think 2pm or 5pm update cat 5?

by **Frank_Wx** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 1:23 pm

by **jmanley32** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 1:41 pm

man vero beach is go get plowed, anyone know of any good webcams for there?

by **TheAresian** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 1:42 pm

Dtone wrote:Anyone have any thought on how far inland in FL major impacts could be felt? My father live just over 50 miles due west of West Palm Beach, but along the SW shore of Lake Okeechobee. Forecasts seem to keep wavering on impacts away from the immediate coast.

Got this from weather.gov. Posted at about 12:15 PM

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

EVERYONE SHOULD RUSH THEIR HURRICANE PREPARATIONS TO COMPLETION NOW
AND ANY REMAINING RELOCATIONS OR EVACUATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED AS
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE VERY RAPIDLY LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE MATTHEW IS PASSING JUST EAST OF ANDROS ISLAND IN THE
BAHAMAS THIS MORNING, AND IS GAINING STRENGTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.

MATTHEW REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE THAT WILL MOVE NEAR
THE COAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. IT IS
EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AS IT MOVES NEAR THE COAST,
BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVASTATING DAMAGE ACROSS COASTAL PALM
BEACH COUNTY IF IT DEVIATES ANY TO THE LEFT OF TRACK. ELSEWHERE, THE
MAIN CONCERN REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD TO EXTENSIVE DAMAGE
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES AS WELL AS
AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION WHERE THERE CONTINUES TO BE A THREAT
OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS. PLEASE DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF MATTHEW ARE BEGINNING
TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA. THESE BANDS WILL CONTINUE
INCREASING IN FREQUENCY AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS AS THEY MOVE
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN`T BE RULED OUT, MAINLY
OVER BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

by **jmanley32** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 1:51 pm

2pm update 939mb 140mph winds, we also have 80mph hurricane Nicole.

by **oldtimer** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:01 pm

jman last night at 8pm Matthew was at 962mb now as you know its 939mb it dropped that much? How low do you think this thing could get??

by tbone on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:06 pm

Cool to watch the ships that try to avoid the hurricane.

http://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:-79/centery:25/zoom:8

by **RJB8525** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:14 pm

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/miamiandthebeaches/?cam=miamibeach1

don't know many sources to watch cams

by **amugs** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:17 pm

HOLY CRIPS - A DOUBLE EYE WALL - MADOONNNEEE - THIS WOULD DESTROY ANYTHING IT IT'S PATH!!!

by **amugs** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:19 pm

oldtimer wrote:jman last night at 8pm Matthew was at 962mb now as you know its 939mb it dropped that much? How low do you think this thing could get??

Old T - he could get as low as 920 by landfall - he is over the warmest waters right now - teh Gulf Stream and is bombing out. Recon had instrument issues and had to return so teh picked up an auxiliary plane - this is nuts!!

by **amugs** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:25 pm

Nicole WTH she screwed up our Chances with my son and he is pissed off so he will take his anger out on the SE!!

How she pumped the WAR west!!

by mwilli5783 on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:34 pm

so is it still possible that matthew does this loop and head back to the bahamas by mon night,then comes back up the east coast all the way to ny?

by **jmanley32** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:48 pm

amugs wrote:Nicole WTH she screwed up our Chances with my son and he is pissed off so he will take his anger out on the SE!!

How she pumped the WAR west!!

Amazing, I know shes supposed to stay OTS but imagine if she became our threat haha

by **jmanley32** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:49 pm

mwilli5783 wrote:so is it still possible that matthew does this loop and head back to the bahamas by mon night,then comes back up the east coast all the way to ny?

I dunno about coming up the coast, if you see the thread matthew part2 RB talks in a video about how its possible but if Matthew weakens to a TS the chances aren't there and he will just pither out.

by **amugs** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:49 pm

Holy Poor Haiti - 136 dead and counting

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2016/10/06/At-least-136-dead-in-Haiti-after-catastrophic-Hurricane-Matthew/3661475772669/

by **amugs** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 2:51 pm

by **NjWeatherGuy** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 4:13 pm

It looks like its turning north and the HRRR and extreme western edge and western spread of landfalling models in eastern Florida will bust, but what do I know.

by **syosnow94** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 4:20 pm

To my eye it looks like the NW side of Matthew is pretty disorganized and it looks to be moving almost due north. Maybe Florida gets spared the worst with a last minute shift east.

by **jmanley32** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 4:22 pm

syosnow94 wrote:To my eye it looks like the NW side of Matthew is pretty disorganized and it looks to be moving almost due north. Maybe Florida gets spared the worst with a last minute shift east.

I was gonna say something earlier but wanted to wait a few hrs to see if it was a wobble, its moving north or NNW....imagine it spares FL, but then umm, does that then put us back in the picture? Does that mean the WAR is not as strong and it would have more of a chance to get further north? I bet probably not but it would def change track completely.

by **Frank_Wx** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 4:40 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:To my eye it looks like the NW side of Matthew is pretty disorganized and it looks to be moving almost due north. Maybe Florida gets spared the worst with a last minute shift east.
I was gonna say something earlier but wanted to wait a few hrs to see if it was a wobble, its moving north or NNW....imagine it spares FL, but then umm, does that then put us back in the picture? Does that mean the WAR is not as strong and it would have more of a chance to get further north? I bet probably not but it would def change track completely.

We're out of the picture. 99% sure.

And Matthew is undergoing an ERC. Eye Replacement Cycle. He'll restrengthen then go back to WNW movement.

by **amugs** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 5:02 pm

syosnow94 wrote:To my eye it looks like the NW side of Matthew is pretty disorganized and it looks to be moving almost due north. Maybe Florida gets spared the worst with a last minute shift east.

He is regaining his mojo - I know all over boards he looks terrible - yeah u go hang out under him with 140mph winds and 20' plus waves.

by **jmanley32** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 5:38 pm

I should mentioned possible eyewall replacement as the other reason thpught bout tgat later while driving.

by **sroc4** on Thu Oct 06, 2016 5:59 pm

Notice the heavy banding wrapping around the western and now southern flank of the eye wall. He will be stronger in another 12hrs.

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