NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

November 2016 Observations & Discussions

+21
NjWeatherGuy
1190ftalt
jrollins628
jmanley32
Radz
algae888
rb924119
Quietace
snow247
weatherwatchermom
Dunnzoo
Dtone
UnionWX
frank 638
CPcantmeasuresnow
dkodgis
skinsfan1177
amugs
docstox12
Frank_Wx
Math23x7
25 posters

Page 6 of 8 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by frank 638 Thu Nov 24, 2016 8:58 am

Happy Thanksgiving everyone and to ur family

frank 638
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2813
Join date : 2016-01-01

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Thu Nov 24, 2016 9:01 am

HAPPY GOBBLE GOBBLE DAY!

amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15084
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Nov 24, 2016 9:45 am

Happy Turkey Day Everyone#
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4485
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 46
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Nov 25, 2016 9:27 pm

Significant rain on the way Tuesday-Thursday next week. Close to 3 inches in some spots. A very moist air flow coming from the south thanks to position of the High Pressure. Some models have rain last through much of Thursday, while the GFS ends rain by 9am Thursday. Either way, at least 2 inches of rain looks likely. Tuesday being the worst.

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_tprecip_nj_27

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by frank 638 Fri Nov 25, 2016 10:01 pm

If only this was snow we would be talking about feet instead of inches

frank 638
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2813
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 40
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 26, 2016 8:49 am

Beautiful day!

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Sun Nov 27, 2016 1:09 pm

Big Rains incoming this week

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 CyR7xBaWEAAdhzc

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15084
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Nov 27, 2016 3:32 pm

Hit 51* today....sad day..boat out of water today and put away in the driveway...but a good day for husband and son to winterize it and me to decorate outside!! Let the cold come .....
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3708
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 60
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Nov 27, 2016 7:28 pm

Going to be a mild week. MON-FRI expected 500mb pattern. Trough in the west = warmth on the east.
 
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Capture.PNG.c053830604c918a95e1c0972187350f6

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Sun Nov 27, 2016 11:14 pm

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 CyTsYlaUkAAJotz

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15084
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Mon Nov 28, 2016 6:04 am

23.3, 90%, 29.89 F

Soaking rains coming will be welcome to start ending the drought up here.Reservoirs are less than 50%.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8461
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Mon Nov 28, 2016 7:38 am

27* for me low and heavy frost!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15084
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 28, 2016 7:40 am

Wow 06z gfs has two heavy hits of rain in two rounds one tomorrow and one we thurs totaling up to about 4 inches. Man if it could only b snow.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20479
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Dtone Mon Nov 28, 2016 7:52 am

39* here.
First freeze will have to wait till Dec this year.

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1738
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Nov 28, 2016 8:17 am

My low was 26° frost everywhere. Now 36°
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4485
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 46
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Mon Nov 28, 2016 11:00 am

Going to be very wet the next few days!

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 CyWv9i8UsAAvyYQ

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15084
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by sroc4 Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:51 pm

You can see the american models have heaviest precip axis into the N NJ, the HV, and CT; whereas, the foreign models have the heaviest axis further south through central NJ, NYC metro, S CT, and LI. Either way a cold wet raw few days are coming for all. RGEM only goes out to 12z Wed. Extrapolated it too is in line with the CMC. Tuesday through Thursday

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Nam_4k10
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Nam_to10
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Gfs_tp10
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_16
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Cmc_to10
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Rgem_t10

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 8325
Reputation : 301
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by sroc4 Mon Nov 28, 2016 1:20 pm

latest euro

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Ecmwf_17

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 8325
Reputation : 301
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 28, 2016 2:25 pm

Madonne, going to downpour it looks like. 2+ inches of rain looking likely for many.

Timing:

7am Tuesday to 3-4am Wednesday is Wave 1

10am Wednesday to 7am Thursday is Wave 2

Wave 2 is the bigger wave with heavy rain probable.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Quietace Mon Nov 28, 2016 3:31 pm

WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 28, 2016 4:43 pm

Quietace wrote:WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.

rollseyes

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Tue Nov 29, 2016 6:22 am

Wow, temp shot up 15 degrees overnight now 45.5.90%, 29.77 F. Would rather have snow but we do need a lot of liquid to fill those reservoirs.No rain as of yet.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8461
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Quietace Tue Nov 29, 2016 6:48 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
Quietace wrote:WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.

rollseyes

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Giphy
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Dtone Tue Nov 29, 2016 7:38 am

Cloudy and 56*
Low was 51 at midnight.

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1738
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Tue Nov 29, 2016 8:26 am

Rain has commenced here in NW BC/NE NJ

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15084
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Nov 29, 2016 8:41 am

Light light drizzle
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4485
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 46
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 29, 2016 9:13 am

Yea....it's going to be a long, wet day.

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Inxr1Kphla_h

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Empty Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 6 of 8 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum