November 2016 Observations & Discussions

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 on Thu Nov 24, 2016 9:45 am

Happy Turkey Day Everyone#
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri Nov 25, 2016 9:27 pm

Significant rain on the way Tuesday-Thursday next week. Close to 3 inches in some spots. A very moist air flow coming from the south thanks to position of the High Pressure. Some models have rain last through much of Thursday, while the GFS ends rain by 9am Thursday. Either way, at least 2 inches of rain looks likely. Tuesday being the worst.


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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by frank 638 on Fri Nov 25, 2016 10:01 pm

If only this was snow we would be talking about feet instead of inches

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx on Sat Nov 26, 2016 8:49 am

Beautiful day!

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs on Sun Nov 27, 2016 1:09 pm

Big Rains incoming this week


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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sun Nov 27, 2016 3:32 pm

Hit 51* today....sad day..boat out of water today and put away in the driveway...but a good day for husband and son to winterize it and me to decorate outside!! Let the cold come .....
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx on Sun Nov 27, 2016 7:28 pm

Going to be a mild week. MON-FRI expected 500mb pattern. Trough in the west = warmth on the east.
 

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs on Sun Nov 27, 2016 11:14 pm


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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by docstox12 on Mon Nov 28, 2016 6:04 am

23.3, 90%, 29.89 F

Soaking rains coming will be welcome to start ending the drought up here.Reservoirs are less than 50%.
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs on Mon Nov 28, 2016 7:38 am

27* for me low and heavy frost!!

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Mon Nov 28, 2016 7:40 am

Wow 06z gfs has two heavy hits of rain in two rounds one tomorrow and one we thurs totaling up to about 4 inches. Man if it could only b snow.
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Dtone on Mon Nov 28, 2016 7:52 am

39* here.
First freeze will have to wait till Dec this year.

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 on Mon Nov 28, 2016 8:17 am

My low was 26° frost everywhere. Now 36°
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs on Mon Nov 28, 2016 11:00 am

Going to be very wet the next few days!


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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:51 pm

You can see the american models have heaviest precip axis into the N NJ, the HV, and CT; whereas, the foreign models have the heaviest axis further south through central NJ, NYC metro, S CT, and LI. Either way a cold wet raw few days are coming for all. RGEM only goes out to 12z Wed. Extrapolated it too is in line with the CMC. Tuesday through Thursday








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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Mon Nov 28, 2016 1:20 pm

latest euro



_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Nov 28, 2016 2:25 pm

Madonne, going to downpour it looks like. 2+ inches of rain looking likely for many.

Timing:

7am Tuesday to 3-4am Wednesday is Wave 1

10am Wednesday to 7am Thursday is Wave 2

Wave 2 is the bigger wave with heavy rain probable.

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Quietace on Mon Nov 28, 2016 3:31 pm

WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Nov 28, 2016 4:43 pm

Quietace wrote:WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.

rollseyes

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2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 19.0"

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by docstox12 on Tue Nov 29, 2016 6:22 am

Wow, temp shot up 15 degrees overnight now 45.5.90%, 29.77 F. Would rather have snow but we do need a lot of liquid to fill those reservoirs.No rain as of yet.
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Quietace on Tue Nov 29, 2016 6:48 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
Quietace wrote:WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.

rollseyes


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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Dtone on Tue Nov 29, 2016 7:38 am

Cloudy and 56*
Low was 51 at midnight.

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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs on Tue Nov 29, 2016 8:26 am

Rain has commenced here in NW BC/NE NJ

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 on Tue Nov 29, 2016 8:41 am

Light light drizzle
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Nov 29, 2016 9:13 am

Yea....it's going to be a long, wet day.


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2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 19.0"

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