November 2016 Observations & Discussions
+21
NjWeatherGuy
1190ftalt
jrollins628
jmanley32
Radz
algae888
rb924119
Quietace
snow247
weatherwatchermom
Dunnzoo
Dtone
UnionWX
frank 638
CPcantmeasuresnow
dkodgis
skinsfan1177
amugs
docstox12
Frank_Wx
Math23x7
25 posters
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Happy Thanksgiving everyone and to ur family
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
HAPPY GOBBLE GOBBLE DAY!
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Happy Turkey Day Everyone#
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Significant rain on the way Tuesday-Thursday next week. Close to 3 inches in some spots. A very moist air flow coming from the south thanks to position of the High Pressure. Some models have rain last through much of Thursday, while the GFS ends rain by 9am Thursday. Either way, at least 2 inches of rain looks likely. Tuesday being the worst.
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
If only this was snow we would be talking about feet instead of inches
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Beautiful day!
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Big Rains incoming this week
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Hit 51* today....sad day..boat out of water today and put away in the driveway...but a good day for husband and son to winterize it and me to decorate outside!! Let the cold come .....
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Going to be a mild week. MON-FRI expected 500mb pattern. Trough in the west = warmth on the east.
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
23.3, 90%, 29.89 F
Soaking rains coming will be welcome to start ending the drought up here.Reservoirs are less than 50%.
Soaking rains coming will be welcome to start ending the drought up here.Reservoirs are less than 50%.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
27* for me low and heavy frost!!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Wow 06z gfs has two heavy hits of rain in two rounds one tomorrow and one we thurs totaling up to about 4 inches. Man if it could only b snow.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
39* here.
First freeze will have to wait till Dec this year.
First freeze will have to wait till Dec this year.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
My low was 26° frost everywhere. Now 36°
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Going to be very wet the next few days!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
You can see the american models have heaviest precip axis into the N NJ, the HV, and CT; whereas, the foreign models have the heaviest axis further south through central NJ, NYC metro, S CT, and LI. Either way a cold wet raw few days are coming for all. RGEM only goes out to 12z Wed. Extrapolated it too is in line with the CMC. Tuesday through Thursday
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
latest euro
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Madonne, going to downpour it looks like. 2+ inches of rain looking likely for many.
Timing:
7am Tuesday to 3-4am Wednesday is Wave 1
10am Wednesday to 7am Thursday is Wave 2
Wave 2 is the bigger wave with heavy rain probable.
Timing:
7am Tuesday to 3-4am Wednesday is Wave 1
10am Wednesday to 7am Thursday is Wave 2
Wave 2 is the bigger wave with heavy rain probable.
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Quietace wrote:WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Wow, temp shot up 15 degrees overnight now 45.5.90%, 29.77 F. Would rather have snow but we do need a lot of liquid to fill those reservoirs.No rain as of yet.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Frank_Wx wrote:Quietace wrote:WWA up for 1-3" of sleet and up to two tenths of a inch of ice accumulation. What I have learned during the past year up here is these things usually under preform with snow and over preform with frz rain and ice. Will see how things play out here in the valley.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Cloudy and 56*
Low was 51 at midnight.
Low was 51 at midnight.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Rain has commenced here in NW BC/NE NJ
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Light light drizzle
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 2016 Observations & Discussions
Yea....it's going to be a long, wet day.
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