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November 2016 Observations & Discussions

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NjWeatherGuy
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Post by Math23x7 Sat Nov 19, 2016 8:49 pm

Looking at the snow map for EPAWA (Frank's former employer), portions of Orange County be see some snow showers tomorrow. SO will CPCantmeasureSnow come out of hibernation tomorrow? Also, Tom (NjWeatherGuy) I would like to hear your insight on next 1-2 weeks. I remember in 2013 it was the Saturday before Thanksgiving that you came out of hibernation after eight months.

Also, I am going to Philly tomorrow via Amtrak. Any chance I see some passing snow showers on the way there?

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Post by frank 638 Sat Nov 19, 2016 8:53 pm

A beautiful day today was many people around my area was putting up Christmas decorations we had a high of 61 deg .cloudy now and 55 deg I hope we see a snow flurries or even a squall for tom and Mon

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Post by jrollins628 Sat Nov 19, 2016 9:09 pm

Its sleeting!!!!

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Post by 1190ftalt Sat Nov 19, 2016 9:18 pm

Snowing and sleeting and very windy in Stillwater Nj at 1100 ft alt, was 39 degrees 20 minutes ago now dropped to 35, Welcome Winter !
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 19, 2016 9:20 pm

Winter is here. Someone shoot me

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Nov 19, 2016 9:25 pm

Here we go already. Models getting aggressive with the wind tomorrow morning. Ill be stuck working overnight so I'll report. Possibly some first flakes for some of us tonight. Not holding my breath tho, looks marginal, upper elevs. got it easily.
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Post by Vinnydula Sat Nov 19, 2016 9:29 pm

51 and nothing
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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Nov 19, 2016 9:29 pm

Amazing weather today and judging by radar alone may see some flakes but finding it hard to believe. It is still 50 at my house.

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Post by algae888 Sat Nov 19, 2016 9:56 pm

Nam bullish on snow tonight even down to coast. Looks like some t storms to boot
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_6
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Nam4km_asnow_neus_5
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Post by algae888 Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:01 pm

more for tom night...
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_24
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Post by algae888 Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:04 pm

looking a little closer the oranges are probably sleet.
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_8
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Post by snow247 Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:07 pm

Reports of snow as far south as the philly area.
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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:10 pm

If i get the 3 inches in the nam it would be my biggest storm i. 2 years. Last winter was depressing.

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Post by rb924119 Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:14 pm

SN+ with 0.5" already on the ground. BRING IT ON!!!

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Post by algae888 Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:17 pm

2004blackwrx wrote:If i get the 3 inches in the nam it would be my biggest storm i. 2 years. Last winter was depressing.
rgem is also nice for n/w suburbs some 3+" amounts for your area along with cp and doc.
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Rgem_asnow_neus_10
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Post by algae888 Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:19 pm

WOW at the hrrr for n/w west folks...
November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Hrrr_asnow_neus_11
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:24 pm

The NAM is impressive for overnight tonight into early tomorrow morning. Really looks like the surface low is trying to form further south and west than originally predicted. We'll see if other models come in similar tonight. If true, could mean minor accumulations for those just north and west of NYC. Can't rule out a coating for NYC, NNJ, and LI too.

https://2img.net/h/s22.postimg.cc/530itovjl/20161119_222221.png

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:26 pm

alright weve got lots of sleet! wow that was quick
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:28 pm

Yea cold air is moving in quickly. I'm still at 45 degrees though. I think I'm more worried about sleet for our area than I am snow.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:30 pm

Go be tad bit windy with what ever precip we get, I will be standing a a jewish cenmetary at 10:45am in NJ, will it still be raining/snow? Umbrullas wont work too well with gusts to 50mph.

CTZ009>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-
200930-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0007.161120T1100Z-161121T2300Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-
WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
652 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY BLOW DOWN LIMBS...TREES...AND POWER
LINES. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE
POSSIBLE.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:30 pm

Move discussions to this thread

https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/post

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Post by rb924119 Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:32 pm

I really am sorry that I couldn't my video up for you guys because what a freakin' example!!! It'll be up tomorrow, though, so if anybody wants to watch it after tonight's events they can, and then just pull up an archived radar for visual :/ Closing in fast on an inch here, btw Smile

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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Nov 19, 2016 10:47 pm

Still 47 here with light rain

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Nov 19, 2016 11:21 pm

We have thundersnow! Wow. 35 degrees. Interesting turn of events from around 70-72 earlier today...
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Post by 2004blackwrx Sun Nov 20, 2016 12:36 am

37 heavy rain but looking at deck some sids must be mixed in. Thundersnow after a 70 degree day nj. That sums up why we love weather on this site. Its so unpredictable.

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Post by 2004blackwrx Sun Nov 20, 2016 12:38 am

I can tell this rain is def about to turn but coming off night shifts and going to days cant afford to stay up and watch this awesomeness

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Post by 2004blackwrx Sun Nov 20, 2016 12:45 am

12 degree temp drop in 2 hours 45 here slush on deck looks like rain

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