January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Page 5 of 24 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 ... 14 ... 24  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by Math23x7 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:23 pm

aiannone wrote:

0z RGEM

And keep in mind that it's based on 10:1 ratio, I would multiply these amounts by 1.2. Maybe they should be higher, but to be conservative, I use the 12:1 ratio.

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1643
Join date : 2013-01-08

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:23 pm

aiannone wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
aiannone wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
aiannone wrote:New update from Nick Gregory. Also said if the trend continues he may have to raise them even higher


so compared to the current models..how are his numbers..just curious..

Good call for right now. By morning hey may have to push those numbers a bit west if the trend holds, as he mentioned he would

tx..just curious again...are we still talking the same start time....

Yes

thank you!!
avatar
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1315
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 53
Location : Hazlet Township

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by aiannone on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:24 pm

I told you all this will come back NW

avatar
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2415
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)/ Binghamton, NY (Binghamton University)-Broome County

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by skinsfan1177 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:24 pm

Where is frank,sroc,algae,rb with their input
avatar
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3544
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 39
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by dsvinos on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:25 pm

What snowfall ratio are we looking at?
avatar
dsvinos

Posts : 52
Join date : 2014-01-02
Age : 49
Location : Marlboro NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:26 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Where is frank,sroc,algae,rb with their input

sroc had a party...rb has no internet...have not seen algae tonight....
avatar
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1315
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 53
Location : Hazlet Township

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:27 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Where is frank,sroc,algae,rb with their input

sroc had a party...rb has no internet...have not seen algae tonight....

will you be on the roads tonight..or have to wait until tom...
avatar
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1315
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 53
Location : Hazlet Township

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by skinsfan1177 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:28 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Where is frank,sroc,algae,rb with their input

sroc had a party...rb has no internet...have not seen algae tonight....

will you be on the roads tonight..or have to wait until tom...

Will probably get called in sometime tommorrow. I'm hoping we get it
avatar
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3544
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 39
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:30 pm

WITH ALL OF THESE POSITIVE N AND W TRENDS TONIGHT THE NWS AT UPTON.......................LOWERED MY EXPECTED TOTAL!!! Shocked Shocked Shocked
avatar
syosnow94
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 2213
Join date : 2014-11-24
Age : 45
Location : OTI DIRECTOR OF MENTAL HEALTH

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by aiannone on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:33 pm

Upton's new map..... I don't get it


avatar
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2415
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)/ Binghamton, NY (Binghamton University)-Broome County

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by nutleyblizzard on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:36 pm

aiannone wrote:Upton's new map..... I don't get it


I guess they are discounting the RGEM. Doesn't make sense to me.
avatar
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1044
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 51
Location : Nutley, new jersey

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:38 pm

Aww come on wth nws...
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12337
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by aiannone on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:42 pm

0z RGEM with ratios


avatar
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2415
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)/ Binghamton, NY (Binghamton University)-Broome County

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by oldtimer on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:42 pm

Its a conspiracy Two nights in a row!!

oldtimer
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 938
Join date : 2013-01-16
Age : 71
Location : Port Jefferson Station Suffolk County

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by billg315 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:43 pm

Wow. Some people moving this storm west and boosting totals, and the NWS seems to be lowering them. All less than 12 hours before the storm. Just throwing this out there (more a question than a suggestion): Could the NWS be buying into a westward shift, but thinking the duration will not be long enough to produce greater totals? In other words, is this "downplayed" map more about storm track or duration?
avatar
billg315
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1219
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 43
Location : Somerville, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by hyde345 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:47 pm

billg315 wrote:Wow. Some people moving this storm west and boosting totals, and the NWS seems to be lowering them. All less than 12 hours before the storm. Just throwing this out there (more a question than a suggestion): Could the NWS be buying into a westward shift, but thinking the duration will not be long enough to produce greater totals? In other words, is this "downplayed" map more about storm track or duration?

They seem to be disregarding the short range models and hugging the GFS. That's the only thing that can explain it.
avatar
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 332
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by devsman on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:50 pm

I still don't understand why a WWA wouldn't be issued for NYC-east. They issued one for today and that was a dusting. This will lay down at least 2 inches+ yet no WWA? Why?
avatar
devsman
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 401
Join date : 2014-01-01
Age : 41
Location : merrick, ny (south shore of Long Island)

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:50 pm

aiannone wrote:0z RGEM with ratios


the totals over li aren't that diff than nyc and just nw. That doesn't make sense. I would think they would be more than a inch or 2. And just point it out who's the small bullseye over a foot near boston
Oh that's it. Lol


Last edited by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:52 pm; edited 1 time in total
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12337
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by Math23x7 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:50 pm

With all due respect to Upton, this was their snow map from "Juno" in January 2015:



Of course, I can't blame them for that, had the EURO from THE NIGHT BEFORE Juno verified, Bellerose would had had 30" of snow; I got 13".

As far as this goes, maybe they see virga being more of an issue with this storm. I remember from the February 5th-6th, 2010 snowstorm that just missed us, virga made its way up to Hartford, but the measureable snow stopped at the Verrazano and Goethals Bridges.

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1643
Join date : 2013-01-08

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by SENJsnowman on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:54 pm

billg315 wrote:Wow. Some people moving this storm west and boosting totals, and the NWS seems to be lowering them. All less than 12 hours before the storm. Just throwing this out there (more a question than a suggestion): Could the NWS be buying into a westward shift, but thinking the duration will not be long enough to produce greater totals? In other words, is this "downplayed" map more about storm track or duration?

I don't see how that could be. Every future cast I've seen (Weather Channel, ABC 7, Fox 5) shows a 10-12 hour steady snowfall from the Shore straight up to NYC and over to LI. That said all, the NWS (and everyone else) has been calling this a quick hitter for 4 days now, so it might just be locked into that thinking.

For whatever reason, none of the the mets and outlets are buying the recent runs...they know more than me, so maybe for good reason...

SENJsnowman

Posts : 78
Join date : 2017-01-06
Age : 44
Location : Bayville, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by billg315 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:57 pm

Current weather in Atlanta: 31* with heavy freezing rain. That must be a disaster for that area. Freezing rain is a nightmare anywhere, but they really have no clue there how to deal with it.
avatar
billg315
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1219
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 43
Location : Somerville, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Jan 06, 2017 10:59 pm

wow it feels like snow outside.....26* rf 19* winds N/E @10 mph and humidity at 55%
avatar
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1315
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 53
Location : Hazlet Township

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by SoulSingMG on Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:00 pm

Blizzard Warnings now up for the Cape & South Shore of Mass. Wonder if E. LI can get in on that action...
avatar
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1931
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Port Chester, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:03 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Blizzard Warnings now up for the Cape & South Shore of Mass. Wonder if E. LI can get in on that action...
anyone up for an overnight road trip to the cape? Alex lol. Seems like lp is gonna b closer therefore winds getting into cape.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:04 pm; edited 1 time in total
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12337
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by aiannone on Fri Jan 06, 2017 11:04 pm

Taunton raised their totals
avatar
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2415
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)/ Binghamton, NY (Binghamton University)-Broome County

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 5 of 24 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 ... 14 ... 24  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum