January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:30 am

GFS surface winds


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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:31 am

The Canadian still shows rain to heavy snow for northern areas. Not buying it but what a crazy solution with a backdoor cold front

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by jrollins628 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:33 am

I'm hearing this storm can change our pattern to a more wintry one? Is this true?


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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:35 am

[quote="Frank_Wx"]
skinsfan1177 wrote:Wow we need this to go south and east.

No shot at snow. Unless you mean because you don't want the high winds concentrated over your area.[/quote

No I know it's not a snow storm. South and east because of the winds and flooding along the coast. If it where to be close to a 92 event that would be horrific.]
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:38 am


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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by jrollins628 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:39 am

Can this storm shift the pattern?

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by jrollins628 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:42 am

Never mind question was answered in the long range

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by rb924119 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:48 am

Frank_Wx wrote:The Canadian still shows rain to heavy snow for northern areas. Not buying it but what a crazy solution with a backdoor cold front

Hey Frank, I'm not saying that I entirely disagree with you, but take a closer look at the GFS H5, specifically over New England. It's remarkably close to evolving the same way as the GEM. The GFS allows the energy diving into New England to just barely escape and not interact with the southeastern trough, while the GEM does. That's where the injection of colder air comes in.

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:52 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Wow we need this to go south and east.

No shot at snow. Unless you mean because you don't want the high winds concentrated over your area.[/quote

No I know it's not a snow storm. South and east because of the winds and flooding along the coast. If it where to be close to a 92 event that would be horrific.]
what date in 1992 want look up reference.
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Jan 18, 2017 11:55 am

Dec 12 1992
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by amugs on Wed Jan 18, 2017 12:34 pm

Tis storm is getting very interesting and at the same time dangerous.
Heavy rains, a new moon incoming and Easterly (NE) fetch of winds - shore communities should start to closely monitor this bad boy IMO.



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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:14 pm

amugs wrote:Tis storm is getting very interesting and at the same time dangerous.
Heavy rains, a new moon incoming and Easterly (NE) fetch of winds - shore communities should start to closely monitor this bad boy IMO.

I already mentioned it at work. No one has heard anything except from me not good

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:26 pm

The EURO shows a 988mb low right over NJ.

Fun.

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:28 pm

On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:31 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

In all honesty in the way this is heading with current model runs. Does this have the chance to be as destructive as 1992. And hearing some saying Sandy now when I here either it makes me worry. What's your thoughts on coastal areas. And a new moon
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:39 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

In all honesty in the way this is heading with current model runs. Does this have the chance to be as destructive as 1992. And hearing some saying Sandy now when I here either it makes me worry. What's your thoughts on coastal areas. And a new moon

I was not born yet so I can't speak to that storm.

This will be nowhere near Sandy, so you can erase that thought from your mind.

However, it has the potential to be severe for the coast with strong east winds pushing water inland. Once the exact track is better understood we can get into the details.

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by syosnow94 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:42 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

...and you people on here don't agree with me that this would single-handedly be the most frustrating weather event to occur in the history of NYC for snow lovers. 4-5 feet of snow and 60+ MPH winds for 2 days. This would be 1888

If this verifies as rain it will be the greatest ever.......I can't even say it. IT's January 23rd FOR PETES SAKE!!!!!!! Tired Mad  Tired Mad

and yes I know it never was supposed to be a wintry event!


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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:42 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

In all honesty in the way this is heading with current model runs. Does this have the chance to be as destructive as 1992. And hearing some saying Sandy now when I here either it makes me worry. What's your thoughts on coastal areas. And a new moon
crazy 16 hrs will def wreak havoc on beach coastal areas and immediate inland areas. Anyone have the peak wind gust maps and qpf for euro? I may just have get my wxbell subscription back hate not have access to the goodies lol. I saw 1992 wiki wow. If was 1992 gusts could b higher than ts force. And right over nj. Frank isn't that what u said would bring the worst conditions to the area.
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:45 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

...and you people on here don't agree with me that this would single-handedly be the most frustrating weather event to occur in the history of NYC for snow lovers. 4-5 feet of snow and 60+ MPH winds for 2 days.  This would be 1888  

If this verifies as rain it will be the greatest ever.......I can't even say it. IT's January 23rd FOR PETES SAKE!!!!!!! Tired Mad  Tired Mad

and yes I know it never was supposed to be a wintry event!
syo I totally feel ya it would b a big miss but we are still tracking a beastly storm. Isn't that what weather enthusiasm is about? I hate rain and wind cuz I can't go out in it its not fun like it is in snow. Sounds like u may get ur power out wish and then u can watch the unprepared people. Lol I love to watch the grocery store after I've done all my shopping if I need to do any. It's hilarious.


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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:46 pm

When did euro show this 16 hr period of winds? That's what I do not want to be caught driving in. Rain I can handle though will b slow drive.
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by TheAresian on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:50 pm

Just for the heck of it, I checked Accuweather for Cranford. From the 22nd-25th they're calling for a total of about 1.25" of rain with winds gusting all the way up to 25.
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:50 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

...and you people on here don't agree with me that this would single-handedly be the most frustrating weather event to occur in the history of NYC for snow lovers. 4-5 feet of snow and 60+ MPH winds for 2 days.  This would be 1888  

If this verifies as rain it will be the greatest ever.......I can't even say it. IT's January 23rd FOR PETES SAKE!!!!!!! Tired Mad  Tired Mad

and yes I know it never was supposed to be a wintry event!

This board is not meant to track snowstorms. It's meant to track all storms. We don't discriminate.

jmanley32 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

In all honesty in the way this is heading with current model runs. Does this have the chance to be as destructive as 1992. And hearing some saying Sandy now when I here either it makes me worry. What's your thoughts on coastal areas. And a new moon
crazy 16 hrs will def wreak havoc on beach coastal areas and immediate inland areas. Anyone have the peak wind gust maps and qpf for euro? I may just have get my wxbell subscription back hate not have access to the goodies lol. I saw 1992 wiki wow. If was 1992 gusts could b higher than ts force. And right over nj. Frank isn't that what u said would bring the worst conditions to the area.

Yes, worst conditions are over our area.

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by nutleyblizzard on Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:52 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

...and you people on here don't agree with me that this would single-handedly be the most frustrating weather event to occur in the history of NYC for snow lovers. 4-5 feet of snow and 60+ MPH winds for 2 days.  This would be 1888  

If this verifies as rain it will be the greatest ever.......I can't even say it. IT's January 23rd FOR PETES SAKE!!!!!!! Tired Mad  Tired Mad

and yes I know it never was supposed to be a wintry event!
I agree with your rant. You have to remember that this storm will be the driving force to our ultimate pattern change. After that occurs the potential will go through the roof. If only then this new pattern regime does not produce at least one major snow event, then it would truly be a shame.
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Math23x7 on Wed Jan 18, 2017 2:04 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:On the EURO, it rains from 5pm Sunday to 5am Tuesday with tropical storm force winds for 16 hours straight.

In all honesty in the way this is heading with current model runs. Does this have the chance to be as destructive as 1992. And hearing some saying Sandy now when I here either it makes me worry. What's your thoughts on coastal areas. And a new moon

I was not born yet so I can't speak to that storm.

This will be nowhere near Sandy, so you can erase that thought from your mind.

However, it has the potential to be severe for the coast with strong east winds pushing water inland. Once the exact track is better understood we can get into the details.

Frank, in December 1992, you were six months old.

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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

Post by Armando Salvadore on Wed Jan 18, 2017 2:07 pm

And speaking of which, yes this storm does appear to transition us right into the change as aloft the pieces begin to align, check out the day 10 Euro.... That right there appears to be our storm signal for frozen precipitation. However, this is just speculation, but this upcoming storm is going to have a very strong LLJ. Very meridional jet stream.
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Re: January 22nd-23rd High Impact Storm

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