Long Range Thread 13.0

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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by amugs on Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:47 pm

There are 5 waves on the gfs holds onto the block

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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by mikeypizano on Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:49 pm

jmanley32 wrote:GFS has another mothrazilla looking event next friday, wow

Guess I am never going to start mowing this year... Sad
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:50 pm

amugs wrote:Okay who wants to cry for this solution? ?

Wish this was Friday's storm...
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by frank 638 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:52 pm

This is getting very excited I wish this storm would happen in Fri to

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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:01 pm

FWIW, hearing the 18z NAVGEM is on board for a biggie as well.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by syosnow94 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:06 pm

Again I'm excited but. Hello..... does no one want to acknowledge that it's bad to be in the bullseye 6 days out.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:09 pm

The northern hemispheric pattern has one of the best looks of the winter, but I want to see it hold for another 48 hours at least. Everything from the jet streak in the Gulf, to the +PNA, -NAO, strong upper energy, etc etc

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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:15 pm

More and more waves holy mother of god
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:18 pm

The storm Tuesday at the 500mb level looks like a triple phaser

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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:25 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The storm Tuesday at the 500mb level looks like a triple phaser
That sounds like some kinda mega weapon LOL, thats crazy wow.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:27 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The northern hemispheric pattern has one of the best looks of the winter, but I want to see it hold for another 48 hours at least. Everything from the jet streak in the Gulf, to the +PNA, -NAO, strong upper energy, etc etc
And your confidence of this holding as of this morning is 20%?
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:29 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Again I'm excited but. Hello.....  does no one want to acknowledge that it's bad to be in the bullseye 6 days out.
I did if you look up back some posts. I do not think that cecissarily holds for EVERY system we just have to wait and see, no one jump off the edge if this goes pfff over the next few days can easily come back, but I have a good feeling about this one not wavering a whole lot, and syo b-day and blizzard of 93 to the date just says something to me.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by mikeypizano on Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:43 pm

When was the last triple phase storm in this area?
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by SENJsnowman on Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:48 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
SENJsnowman wrote:
Help me out Frank...where is the R/S line here. Is it the 32 line, the lighter, thinner solid blue line, the last dotted blue line ...or somewhere in between?  Thanks...

I prefer using the 850mb isotherm. Solid thin light blue line.

Thank you very much!!

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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:50 pm

mikeypizano wrote:When was the last triple phase storm in this area?
Dunno about the last but according to this website and awesome retro graphic the blizzard of 1993...on what date? March 14th : )

http://greatlakes.salsite.com/maps/superstorm1993.gif
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:51 pm

full view

http://greatlakes.salsite.com/maps/mar1214_1993_500_loop.gif
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by mikeypizano on Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:59 pm

What comes after MADDONE?!
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:03 pm

mikeypizano wrote:What comes after MADDONE?!
Never heard frank say anything higher lol, not saying this is a redux of 1993, but it seems like it could be a analog no yes anyone? 1993 my wife got 46 inches in rochester NY, the city only saw a foot according to wiki. This looks like it could, and i say could bring a lot more than a foot.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by mikeypizano on Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:04 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:What comes after MADDONE?!
Never heard frank say anything higher lol, not saying this is a redux of 1993, but it seems like it could be a analog no yes anyone?

If it is a 93 again, I will say many things...
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:06 pm

Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by TheAresian on Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:06 pm

I got between 27 and 30 inches in '93. So this storm can definitely be that again.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by mikeypizano on Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:08 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.

According to my blog entries, we got maybe 2 inches form that one here.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:12 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.

According to my blog entries, we got maybe 2 inches form that one here.
I got 21 inches from 12/27/10, where are you at? Most of the area saw at least a foot and a half if not more.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:13 pm

TheAresian wrote:I got between 27 and 30 inches in '93. So this storm can definitely be that again.
The only difference looks to be that this won't effect so much well inland areas like 1993 did.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

Post by mikeypizano on Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:32 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.

According to my blog entries, we got maybe 2 inches form that one here.
I got 21 inches from 12/27/10, where are you at?  Most of the area saw at least a foot and a half if not more.

Between Wilkes-Barre and Scranton PA, in the Wyoming Valley not to far from AVP.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0

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