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Wx Banter Thread 2.0

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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 04, 2017 11:48 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Forget Roidzilla. Euro is closer to Frankzilla. Man what a run.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 FB_IMG_1488630306485.jpg.d5b3416720c838af1d8f1c3f9186c899

Of course as is and 7-8 days out this is pretty funny.

So as per that map our entire 75 mile radius area from NYC pretty much sees 30-40 inches of snow with no one getting scrooed. It would be a fitting way to end one of the warmest winters in history. I'm not holding my breath for anything close to this though, but I'd love it.

If this happened, do you think there would be a mass exodus of residents from OTI to the Forum Mainland?? Or would there still be your die-hard residents, you think? Lmao

OTI would be like a ghost town. Very Happy Very Happy

I would have to stay to man the Sanitarium as Aresian would be admitted due to his area only getting a few inches.If that proved out, the poor man would need shock therapy.

"Many are called....few are chosen!"

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Post by rb924119 Sat Mar 04, 2017 11:59 am

docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Forget Roidzilla. Euro is closer to Frankzilla. Man what a run.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 FB_IMG_1488630306485.jpg.d5b3416720c838af1d8f1c3f9186c899

Of course as is and 7-8 days out this is pretty funny.

So as per that map our entire 75 mile radius area from NYC pretty much sees 30-40 inches of snow with no one getting scrooed. It would be a fitting way to end one of the warmest winters in history. I'm not holding my breath for anything close to this though, but I'd love it.

If this happened, do you think there would be a mass exodus of residents from OTI to the Forum Mainland?? Or would there still be your die-hard residents, you think? Lmao

OTI would be like a ghost town. Very Happy Very Happy

I would have to stay to man the Sanitarium as Aresian would be admitted due to his area only getting a few inches.If that proved out, the poor man would need shock therapy.

"Many are called....few are chosen!"

LMAO!!! He'd be the proverbial sacrifice for da teammmmmm dohhhhhhhh, putting that burden on his back doh!!! (insert Madden: Greg Jennings voiceover YouTube clip) ahaha

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Post by billg315 Sat Mar 04, 2017 12:44 pm

Way too far off to invest in right now, but as I said in the long range thread a couple days ago the models have been hinting at something around this time with a favorable setup, so there has been some consistency to that for at least a few days. Look, there is nothing about warm weather or a winter with average or below average snow that excludes the possibility of a March snowstorm. Historically March can produce big snowstorms even after outbreaks of Spring-like warmth. And btw it's 28* with howling winds and a forecast low in the single digits, so the idea we could get a snowstorm 7 days from now isn't absurd. Should be fun to see if this plays out.
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Post by billg315 Sat Mar 04, 2017 1:40 pm

Historically snowfall and temperatures prior to March have not always correlated to major March snow events. Just taking two examples. The Blizzard of 1888 followed a winter where from Dec.-Feb. NYC got just 23" of snow and temperatures in the days before the blizzard were in the mid-upper 50s. The Storm of the Century 1993 (which disappointed a bit on snow totals but was by all accounts still a major winter storm) followed a winter where from Dec.-Feb. NYC got just over 12" of snow and temperatures in the days before hit the upper 40s. So a significant March storm does not necessarily need to be preceded by a snowy winter or an unusually cold outbreak in the days before.
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Post by billg315 Sat Mar 04, 2017 1:48 pm

Another example would be Dec.-Feb. 1983-84 where 13.5" for that period was followed by a foot of snow in March, most of which came from a storm on March 9 that dropped about 6-10" of snow on the area.
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Post by rb924119 Sat Mar 04, 2017 1:51 pm

Aresian is going to flip when he sees this EURO run lmao

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Post by billg315 Sat Mar 04, 2017 1:53 pm

rb924119 wrote:Aresian is going to flip when he sees this EURO run lmao

In a good way or bad way? lol. Does it show 40" of snow in the I-95 and a dusting interior?
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Post by rb924119 Sat Mar 04, 2017 1:55 pm

billg315 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Aresian is going to flip when he sees this EURO run lmao

In a good way or bad way? lol. Does it show 40" of snow in the I-95 and a dusting interior?

Almost the exact opposite, except zero snow for the I-95 corridor and all of it along and north of the Pa/NY border ahaha

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Post by billg315 Sat Mar 04, 2017 1:59 pm

THAT is in a bad way for me. lol
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Post by billg315 Sat Mar 04, 2017 2:02 pm

Although aside from the usual cautions about model hugging 7-8 days out, it seems to me that if a storm that powerful is coming up the coast, with marginal temperatures in the air mass ahead of it, it will get cold enough for snow down to the coast. My bigger concern is if it is a Great Lakes cutter, and if that's the case, its going to be more rain than snow for everyone around here.
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Post by rb924119 Sat Mar 04, 2017 2:07 pm

To be completely honest, I don't even care what the models do right now. There is an unbelievable amount of volatility from run to run and model to model, and take anything seriously right now is lunacy to me. I haven't taken a deep look at the ensembles so I could be wrong, but even with them there is very little consistency at my quick glance. I have to dig deeper maybe tomorrow, but to get excited at this stage is not wise imho

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Post by billg315 Sat Mar 04, 2017 2:11 pm

rb924119 wrote:To be completely honest, I don't even care what the models do right now. There is an unbelievable amount of volatility from run to run and model to model, and take anything seriously right now is lunacy to me. I haven't taken a deep look at the ensembles so I could be wrong, but even with them there is very little consistency at my quick glance. I have to dig deeper maybe tomorrow, but to get excited at this stage is not wise imho

I agree with that. I actually NEVER think its wise to get excited about these storms a week in advance. My general rule is about 4-5 days. But particularly when the models are this volatile, divergent in solutions.
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Post by Guest Sat Mar 04, 2017 2:28 pm

rb924119 wrote:Aresian is going to flip when he sees this EURO run lmao

Is there a snowfall totals map for this run that I'm going to flip about or should I just move that huge snowfield west?

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Post by sroc4 Sat Mar 04, 2017 4:42 pm

For the Aresian

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 Img_4414

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Grselig Sat Mar 04, 2017 4:57 pm

sroc4 wrote:For the Aresian

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 Img_4414

That map for most of us could cause massive levels of tears. So close. Torture. Hopefully we all get it
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Post by Guest Sat Mar 04, 2017 5:52 pm

I end up in the 10 inch range on both runs. If it's gonna be the same for me either way, then I'm pulling for you guys to get dumped on.

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Post by dkodgis Sat Mar 04, 2017 7:28 pm

Apologies if this is not banter, but for those who have Acurite weather stations, how high up do you have your outside sensor?
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Mar 04, 2017 7:43 pm

dkodgis wrote:Apologies if this is not banter, but for those who have Acurite weather stations, how high up do you have your outside sensor?

Hey Damian,

I had mine on my garage roof, but it was a problem when it got covered with snow. I now have it on a post about 6' off the ground. I believe the recommended height is at least 3'

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Mar 04, 2017 7:45 pm

Grselig wrote:
sroc4 wrote:For the Aresian

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 Img_4414

That map for most of us could cause massive levels of tears.    So close.   Torture.  Hopefully we all get it

49 inches in Cortland NY and 30 miles south in Binghamton 11 inches.

Alex would lose his mind.
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Post by mikeypizano Sun Mar 05, 2017 9:55 am

Can't wait for the warm up again tomorrow! I got a tree to trim for someone as he wants it done before leaves out, and a mower to fix for a neighbor.
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Post by docstox12 Sun Mar 05, 2017 1:42 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Forget Roidzilla. Euro is closer to Frankzilla. Man what a run.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 FB_IMG_1488630306485.jpg.d5b3416720c838af1d8f1c3f9186c899

Frank has an excellent write up in the storm archive thread of the March 20 1958 blizzard that dumped as much as 50 inches of snow in PA.Go to that thread and scroll down a bit to find it.It can and DID happen in March.
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Post by mikeypizano Sun Mar 05, 2017 1:59 pm

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 Lol_no10
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Post by devsman Sun Mar 05, 2017 2:07 pm

mikeypizano wrote:Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 23 Lol_no10

To me, that perfect positioning this far out for us. You know this will come farther north in future models. This is starting to excite me. And the look for the 15-17th time frame looks amazing with the block still in place.
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Post by mikeypizano Sun Mar 05, 2017 2:31 pm

All I want is green grass. I don't want to see any snow til Christmas...
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Mar 05, 2017 3:09 pm

mikeypizano wrote:All I want is green grass. I don't want to see any snow til Christmas...

Please stop posting until April 15th. You're killing me.
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Post by mikeypizano Sun Mar 05, 2017 3:11 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:All I want is green grass. I don't want to see any snow til Christmas...

Please stop posting until April 15th. You're killing me.

I need work, and snow isn't steady enough to help me.
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Post by frank 638 Sun Mar 05, 2017 3:11 pm

Same here I want one or two more snowstorms before we can say goodbye to this winter I hate dealing with the heat humidity

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