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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 7 Empty Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by Dunnzoo Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:19 pm

amugs wrote:Zoo - look ta the snow hole over our houses cant make this shit up - friggin unbelievable!!

That's why I don't look at the sref maps much, NAM map much better! cheers

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:20 pm

amugs wrote:SREFS BEAUTIFULLLLLLLLLLLL!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 7 IMG_7829.thumb.GIF.f8441ece8417e70aa66e4c13edda6f67
that's a whole shade jump for the area from last sref posted. Can't wait see nam may hsve Godzilla written on it.

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Post by track17 Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:23 pm

What does this mean for the jersey shore?

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Post by Fededle22 Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:25 pm

Word is getting out about this potential storm. Don't know if this is bad luck but I am hoping for more than 4-6"

http://www.nj.com/weather/index.ssf/2017/02/thursday_snowstorm_could_dump_4-6_inches_in_nj_and.html?ath=21b9b93134dab99d52b849c116526f68

Two quick questions:
Isn't the warmer weather expected over the next couple days going to effect the snow sticking and piling up?
Will the extreme warm and cold weather gradients help to fuel this storm?
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:28 pm

syosnow94 wrote: No Weatherwatchmom Just a model blip. We are in the pink 6-9"

Thanks I thought something looked weird
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:29 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
Joanne, here is the 18z NAM, gives you some....

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 7 Namconus_asnow_neus_25
[/quote]

Thanks...I thought something looked weird..not greedy...my motto is enough snow for now school is a good day...ha ha..
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Post by rb924119 Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:33 pm

VIDEO UPLOAD IN PROGRESS

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:33 pm

Fededle22 wrote:Word is getting out about this potential storm. Don't know if this is bad luck but I am hoping for more than 4-6"

http://www.nj.com/weather/index.ssf/2017/02/thursday_snowstorm_could_dump_4-6_inches_in_nj_and.html?ath=21b9b93134dab99d52b849c116526f68

Two quick questions:
Isn't the warmer weather expected over the next couple days going to effect the snow sticking and piling up?
Will the extreme warm and cold weather gradients help to fuel this storm?
nah but 4 to 6 is a safe bet and what nws shows but it appears there is potential to posdibly multiply those numbers by 1.5 to 2 even more if is sub 990 mb or slows a bit.
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:35 pm

Fededle22 wrote:Word is getting out about this potential storm. Don't know if this is bad luck but I am hoping for more than 4-6"

http://www.nj.com/weather/index.ssf/2017/02/thursday_snowstorm_could_dump_4-6_inches_in_nj_and.html?ath=21b9b93134dab99d52b849c116526f68

Two quick questions:
Isn't the warmer weather expected over the next couple days going to effect the snow sticking and piling up?
Will the extreme warm and cold weather gradients help to fuel this storm?

I wouldn't worry too much about the preceding warm weather affecting the snow sticking. At this time of year, and particularly when the snow starts at night (as this likely would) as long as the temperature gets to freezing it will start to stick pretty quick. Your concern is more of an issue when the snow is falling during the daytime in March/April (stronger sun angle even through the clouds) and temperatures are marginal (just above or at freezing) and the ground hasn't had time to freeze up after a warm spell.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:59 pm

is the sref model next?
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:59 pm

nam is coming in now.
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:00 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:is the sref model next?

Posted above Momma -look great !!

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:00 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:
Joanne, here is the 18z NAM, gives you some....

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 7 Namconus_asnow_neus_25

Thanks...I thought something looked weird..not greedy...my motto is enough snow for now school is a good day...ha ha..[/quote]


WOW sitting right under the 13 inch marker. That's why I can tell you unequivocally this map is wrong, though I hope I'm wrong.
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Post by track17 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:01 pm

Can someone please explain what this means for the jersey shore have asked like 5 times today

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:01 pm

amugs wrote:SREFS BEAUTIFULLLLLLLLLLLL!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 7 IMG_7829.thumb.GIF.f8441ece8417e70aa66e4c13edda6f67

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Post by Math23x7 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:04 pm

FWIW, looking at the 21Z SREFS for LaGuardia Airport, out of 26 members, 15 of them have at least one inch of snow, 11 of them have at least four inches of snow, seven of them have at least 6 inches of snow(!), three of them have a Godzilla(!!) and the high outlier has over 15 inches of snow for Thursday(!!!).

Still a long way to go though.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:04 pm

amugs wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:is the sref model next?

Posted above Momma -look great !!

thanks...I need to find my list...what is the model coming next...nothing on tv worth watching...lol..might as well wait for the models to come out... Smile
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Post by rb924119 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:05 pm

track17 wrote:Can someone please explain what this means for the jersey shore have asked like 5 times today

What exactly are you referencing, track?

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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:06 pm

track17 wrote:Can someone please explain what this means for the jersey shore have asked like 5 times today
Track as modeled now it should start raining very late Wednesday night turning to snow from Northwest to Southeast in the early morning hours Thursday. Obviously the further north and west you are at the quicker change to snow however they will be more qpf over Central New Jersey and Long Island so it could make up for the delay. Very early to put snow totals out there but three to six inches seems like a safe bet at the moment for most of our area
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Post by track17 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:08 pm

Thank you I just wanted to know if we had a shot and algae you answered that thanks so much

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:29 pm

Nam looks slower
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:33 pm

NAMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!!

HOLY SHT LOOKS BETTER THAN ANY RUN !!!!!!!!!!!!


Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 7 589931babc09c.thumb.png.b9589810257280af32219cda547b1e8d

H5 sharper and deeper with a phase here and slower

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 7 NAM.thumb.PNG.169ef538a6ee75f08a118b4e6779b973



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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:35 pm

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 7 5899325cdf853_NAM2.thumb.PNG.5f8292e9268c5ace4fd97eef17317893


PNA spike and sharper deeper at H5

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:36 pm

hr 60 ooz nam, coming in a bit slower, colder and looks intense.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:37 pm

Stronger storm now would that stay inside the BM
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:38 pm

oy, too warm for coast, all rain through hr 63
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:39 pm

I think frank or someone did say if it was too strong that would not be a good thing for the coast
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