Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:57 pm

Lnda23 wrote:I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.

Well you're lying because that's your 12th post. Very Happy
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Lnda23 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:58 pm

Meant to say too much.
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Lnda23 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:00 pm

That is exactly why I don't post often. Lol Exclamation
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by aiannone on Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:01 pm

You can already see how areas with the heavier snow cover are staying much cooler than the areas that have lesser snow cover despite Warm Air Advection.
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:02 pm

Lnda23 wrote:That is exactly why I don't post often. Lol Exclamation

14 you're on a roll. Don't stop now. Smile
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Frank_Wx on Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:05 pm

Lnda23 wrote:I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.

Hey neighbor!

Up to a quarter of an inch is possible, but I think it will be mostly to our west. Maybe we can get a tenth of an inch.

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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Scullybutcher on Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:14 pm

Ice is concerning. Dangerous on many levels and all you can do is melt it or wait for it to melt
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by syosnow94 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:37 pm

CP my man I don't go up to steal the Hudson Valleys snow because mom and dads house is not in the Hudson Valley. They are in the Catskills. Ha!!!! About a 12 inch snowpack up here at the house with another foot coming tomorrow. Going to really help out the reservoir for the spring
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:59 pm

12 inch snow pack here too buddy however you are in a much better spot for tomorrow. I think we will be sitting right on the snow sleet border for much of this. If I get 6 inches out of this it will be all good, anymore will be a gift. Ace said I'd get a foot, from his mouth to Gods ears.

Enjoy and if you somehow make out on both ends with this, in other words when you get to LI tomorrow night if somehow it becomes heavy snow there as the storm strengthens off the coast never speak to me again.
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Lnda23 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 6:02 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
Lnda23 wrote:I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.

Hey neighbor!

Up to a quarter of an inch is possible, but I think it will be mostly to our west. Maybe we can get a tenth of an inch.

Fingers crossed! I have to ref a few games in Maplewood between 1 & 4pm.
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by aiannone on Sat Feb 11, 2017 6:26 pm

Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Scullybutcher on Sat Feb 11, 2017 6:44 pm

aiannone wrote:Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

Are you suggesting  the snow line should be moved down just a bit for tomorrow
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by sroc4 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 6:51 pm

Scullybutcher wrote:
aiannone wrote:Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

Are you suggesting  the snow line should be moved down just a bit for tomorrow

Don't bet on it but don't be surprised if areas north of 495 on LI see an inch or two. Snow pack can do wonderful things. Things models cannot detect.

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Dec 11th = coating
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by sroc4 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 6:57 pm

Upton: Minor adjustments made based on latest observations. Noted some
colder air dropping southward across the Connecticut Valley with
reading already into the upper 20s and lower 30s in northern
CT. The HRRR and RAP show some colder air working across CT and
LI overnight, colder than currently forecast. This will have to
be watched.

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
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WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Math23x7 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 7:00 pm

sroc4 wrote:
Scullybutcher wrote:
aiannone wrote:Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

Are you suggesting  the snow line should be moved down just a bit for tomorrow

Don't bet on it but don't be surprised if areas north of 495 on LI see an inch or two. Snow pack can do wonderful things. Things models cannot detect.

This may unfortunately be the case for me yet again here.....


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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Joe Snow on Sat Feb 11, 2017 7:45 pm

Math23x7 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
Scullybutcher wrote:
aiannone wrote:Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

Are you suggesting  the snow line should be moved down just a bit for tomorrow

Don't bet on it but don't be surprised if areas north of 495 on LI see an inch or two. Snow pack can do wonderful things. Things models cannot detect.

This may unfortunately be the case for me yet again here.....


I guess I am sitting pretty in Stony Brook...........Maybe
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Scullybutcher on Sat Feb 11, 2017 7:50 pm

I was thinking the same thing Joe
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by TheAresian on Sat Feb 11, 2017 9:02 pm

Barring any last second cooling, it looks like I'll spending most of the time watching it rain at 33 or 34 degrees.
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by amugs on Sat Feb 11, 2017 9:09 pm

SNowpack for the third time do wonderful things for our boundary layer and skew teh temps. Again it was to be 50 and rain tomorrow - now it is mid/upper 20's to freezing. HRRR picking up on this with each run.



NAM PARA - has been hot this winter = colder check out the latest SV



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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by amugs on Sat Feb 11, 2017 9:12 pm



850s




Recipe for Ice

Thresh hold for ice storm warning is .25 for NNJ and up

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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by 2004blackwrx on Sat Feb 11, 2017 9:18 pm

Judging by the lack of post i can tell there are few of us that are in orange puntam and dutchess county and north

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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by amugs on Sat Feb 11, 2017 9:26 pm

JMAN wind event - WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA here


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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by syosnow94 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 9:45 pm

Red Sox Suck blizzard watch 12-18" expected. F me
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by amugs on Sat Feb 11, 2017 10:01 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Red Sox Suck blizzard watch 12-18" expected. F me

MillerB's they jackpot - we usually get minor effects compared.

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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by syosnow94 on Sat Feb 11, 2017 10:27 pm

I know. Still. F Red Sox Suck
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Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

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