March 2017 Observations & Discussions

sleet storm for interior on Friday.. march going out like a lion...

nws disco...
Across interior portions of NE NJ/Lower Hud Valley/Southern
CT...thermal profiles will be marginally cold enough to
complicate the forecast late Tonight through Friday Night. Storm
track will be critical...with a farther south track favoring
cooler and more wintry mix potential...while a track over NYC/LI
favors warmer thermal profile and more in the way of plain
rain.

At onset of steadier precip lat tonight/Fri am...evap cooling
will increase the likelihood for a wintry mix of rain/sleet and
snow across interior. Operational models all indicating warming
aloft as Fri morning progresses but to differing degrees. With
that said...March boundary layer warming should allow for precip
in most areas to become mainly rain by afternoon...except
elevations above 750-1000 ft or so.

Late Fri Aft into Fri night...dynamics increase as closed low energy
approaches and frontogenetic banding strengthens over the area
to the north of the developing coastal low. At the same time
low-level winds backing to the ne/n should allow the boundary
layer to slowly cool. The question will be whether diabatic
processes can overcome warming aloft from se llj to bring a
period of heavier sleet...possibly mixed with snow. 90 percent
exceedance snowfall forecast covers this low potential for a
complete wintry changeover. Another concern is that
temperatures across interior...particularly higher
elevations...could drop to freezing Fri night...introducing the
potential for freezing rain. Marginal temp profiles will not
support efficient icing...but the threat for some light icing is
there.

With all this said...this is a low confidence snow/sleet accum
forecast for the interior. At this point the most likely
outcome is varying combinations of mixed precip with a light
slushy accum of sleet/wet snow/fzra across the
interior...especially higher elevations (above 750-1000 ft)...by
the time everything winds down Sat am.

28.9°, 90% - abundant frost this morning... hope models trend colder still for tomorrow

Cold rain just turned to wet snow. Be jealous.

TheAresian wrote:Cold rain just turned to wet snow. Be jealous.

I am

Snow changed back over to rain. That's what I get for gloating.

Sleet 43

46° with mixed precip falling... crazy

With temperatures at around 40 degrees, I am getting a rain/sleet mix...

Currently 38° 96% humidity and .67 in the bucket the coast is looking like close to 3 inches of rain the next 2 days. I will finish March with over 6.00 inches

33.4, 92%, 29.80 F

Rain/sleet.Ground is covered but not roads or walks. .33 in the bucket.NWS calling for extended period of rain and sleet.

37°, 97%, .34" since midnight... lovely morning

38* and raining to close out March (not atypical). Actually had some rumbles of thunder last night. Just looked at the radar and looks like a lot of water falling from the sky headed this way. Don't forget your umbrellas, ellas, ellas; a, a, a,a.

37* and rain with a few wet snowflakes mixed in.
had some sleet mixed in last night.
Lovely march weather isnt it? So typical.
Next weekend could be interesting for NNj and the HV more them than us at this time but the pattern is showing it doesn't want to go to spring yet!

33.6 and light rain.

Remnants of snow or sleet or whatever fell last night still in spots.

Hey Doc you were up early did we get anything measurable last night. We're still 1.3 inches short from 6 feet, I'm hoping we can get there before the season moves to spring.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:33.6 and light rain.

Remnants of snow or sleet or whatever fell last night still in spots.

Hey Doc you were up early did we get anything measurable last night. We're still 1.3 inches short from 6 feet, I'm hoping we can get there before the season moves to spring.

CP, I was up at 5, just a coating.If you want to be generous, maybe .10 inch.just on grassy surfaces.

docstox12 wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:33.6 and light rain.

Remnants of snow or sleet or whatever fell last night still in spots.

Hey Doc you were up early did we get anything measurable last night. We're still 1.3 inches short from 6 feet, I'm hoping we can get there before the season moves to spring.

CP, I was up at 5, just a coating.If you want to be generous, maybe .10 inch.just on grassy surfaces.

Will mark it as trace Doc, I don't want to be accused by Syos of jacking up the numbers. We have thrashed him soundly this year, especially if we add in the number of days with snow cover, then it's an absolute beat down for the former champion.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

docstox12 wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:33.6 and light rain.

Remnants of snow or sleet or whatever fell last night still in spots.

Hey Doc you were up early did we get anything measurable last night. We're still 1.3 inches short from 6 feet, I'm hoping we can get there before the season moves to spring.

CP, I was up at 5, just a coating.If you want to be generous, maybe .10 inch.just on grassy surfaces.

Will mark it as trace Doc, I don't want to be accused by Syos of jacking up the numbers. We have thrashed him soundly this year, especially if we add in the number of days with snow cover, then it's an absolute beat down for the former champion.

LOL, AND, as Yogi used to say, "it ain't over til its over!".Still time for a surprise couple of inches to hit that 6 foot mark!!! The HV is like the New York Yankees and their World Series streak when you figure snow.At least up to the recent years with the S and E trends.HOWEVER, this year may have broken it!! Think you, Buddy Boy are gonna get the CHAMPEEN snow total for the winter! I'm a little shy but that figures right on the money you being a bit North of me and the way the season was N and W.

Raw rainy cold crappy day why this can't be snow storm so we can end March in a good month

43° moderate rain all day 1.51 in the bucket that gives me 6.47 for the month and still going

Lovely day we're having

Frank_Wx wrote:Lovely day we're having

I'm starting to build an Ark

Ick

Rainy raw cold crappy day I rather have a nice snow storm to finish the month of March

I will exceed 3 inches here imo

41* and heavy rain with the occasional window rattling wind gust. My backyard has several patches of flooding (not typical). According to the flood advisory just issued for my area we have had 1.5" of rain since midnight. So with a few more hours of rain ahead I think I'll get close to 2" by tomorrow morning. About 10* colder and I'd have 15-20" of snow. But, alas, I have a lot of water (which if I lived in the Sudan would be welcome - but I don't).

such a nasty day. nothing good can be said about this. dunno how much rain but I heard brp is flooded.