March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:26 pm

track17 wrote:Omg I love that map it is great 8-9 for the coast. Keep this trend going

That trend keeps up you will have no snow and neither will most of the rest of us other than the twin forks Long Island
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:27 pm

Srefs huge hit wow look at that dark purple on nj coast wow!
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by amugs on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:31 pm

EURO leans left with EPS


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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by amugs on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:32 pm

There is a tight cluster inside, on and just a tick east by a hair of teh BM with 7 so OL by my quick eye here.

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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by SNOW MAN on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:33 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
track17 wrote:Omg I love that map it is great 8-9 for the coast. Keep this trend going

That trend keeps up you will have no snow and neither will most of the rest of us other than the twin forks  Long Island

CP, If these trends keep going you and I are going to have sunny skies and a balmy breeze and 70 degrees. Sad
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:34 pm

Mugs sref looks awesome any of thst rain for coast if not sign me now for 18 to 20.
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:37 pm

amugs wrote:EURO leans left with EPS

the operational isnt right look at this nearly all are inside bm. Bet models start show more like sref which has done well this yr. Nam I funno what's go on with the soon to.b not a model again if it doesn't shape up for me anyways lol
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:39 pm

Rb ur idea of this not balling up I think that ship has sailed. There's no model not showing a strong lp.

Mugs what's the lowest pressure on the EPS too small and overlapping to see.
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by Radz on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:40 pm

amugs wrote:EURO leans left with EPS


That tick east def lowers QPF north and west, i liked the 00Z better Exclamation
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:44 pm

Everything to me looks good for eastern nj and LI only areas that see less qpf is western nj and eastern PA. But I believe euro will tick west later especially after seeing the means
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:47 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Everything to me looks good for eastern nj and LI only areas that see less qpf is western nj and eastern PA. But I believe euro will tick west later especially after seeing the means
yep most of the EPS were west of the op. Snow map of mean? Or indies?
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by WeatherBob on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:53 pm

Actualy, if i was going to sell my soul to a model? I would take the GFS right now. I am in NNJ, I would take the nearly foot of snow. It really produces some awesome VV's Tues morning too!

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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by RJB8525 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:58 pm

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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by mikeypizano on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:59 pm

RJB8525 wrote:

I have a Tecra 750DVD under my desk, NOAA just called to ask to use it to upgrade the Euro...
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by amugs on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:06 pm

I follow him on twitter very good pro met

View image on Twitter
Follow
True Weather @true_weather
ECMWF-EPS mean is further west of operational run. Additionally, significant numbers of members west of mean. OP is WAY east. @EdValleeWx
2:31 PM - 11 Mar 2017
18 18 Retweets 19 19 likes


Last edited by amugs on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:38 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by SNOW MAN on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:09 pm

amugs wrote:I follow him on twitter very good pro met


Mugs, no picture ?
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:12 pm

SNOW MAN wrote:
amugs wrote:I follow him on twitter very good pro met


Mugs, no picture ?
mugs image failed.
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by mikeypizano on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:33 pm

Here is a first call forecast from a friends page, he also has models up (all free except the Euro)


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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by mmanisca on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:34 pm

Taffy wrote:I was living in Red Sox Suck for the Blizzard of 78. If anyone here can recall that event; are we talking an epic storm like that? I'm trying to make a comparison. I've hear historical and other adjectives used. I haven't been a Girl Scout for years and I am hardly ever prepared! lol This is not an IMBY question, merely would like to compare.



*Wait....what just happened? I am a Red Sox fan and this will not hold! Evil or Very Mad

Not even close to the Blizzard of 1978. Here in Deer Park 34 inches of snow with snow falling for 2 days and winds gusting to 70 mph creating huge snow drifts that covered my dads plymouth fury. I haven't seen a storm like that one since..
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:35 pm

mikeypizano wrote:Here is a first call forecast from a friends page, he also has models up (all free except the Euro)



I disagree with C nj coast area with that map sorry and that's my opinion especially with the way things are going
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:37 pm

Bernie Rayno on twitter feeling Euro is doing windshield and the OP is way to far west, EPS put out 15-17.5 for coast and a few spots higher. This is hilarious, I dunno how to embed actual twitter posts so heres link.

https://twitter.com/EdValleeWx/status/840279690476703747
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by TheAresian on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:39 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Bernie Rayno on twitter feeling Euro is doing windshield and the OP is way to far west, EPS put out 15-17.5 for coast and a few spots higher.  This is hilarious, I dunno how to embed actual twitter posts so heres link.

https://twitter.com/EdValleeWx/status/840279690476703747

Too far west? I thought that the Euro op was so far east that most of the snow vanished.
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:40 pm

YES!! WOW 2 days ahead blizzard watch just issued!!
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:41 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
338 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2017

...Potential for a Major Winter Storm Monday night into
Wednesday...

CTZ007>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-120900-
/O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.A.0001.170314T0400Z-170315T0400Z/
Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-
Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-
Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
338 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2017

...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Blizzard
Watch, which is in effect from late Monday night through Tuesday
evening.

* Locations...New York City, Long Island, Southern Westchester,
Southern Fairfield, Southern New Haven, Middlesex, and New
London counties.

* Hazard Types...Snow, and strong and gusty winds.

* Snow Accumulations...12 to 18 inches.

* Timing...Late Monday night through Tuesday evening.

* Impacts...Hazardous travel and potential for power outages due
to moderate to heavy snow and gusty winds.

* Winds...Northeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts 40 to 50 mph.

* Temperatures...In the upper 20s.

* Visibilities...One quarter mile or less at times.
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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

Post by rb924119 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:41 pm

EPS shifted 50 miles east with the axis of snow compared to 00z. Follows the Op, although by a little less distance.

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Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

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