March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:32 pm

amugs wrote:Woot woot


12.6 right over Central Park. I highly doubt it, but I'm not going to question the KING NAM>
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Grselig on Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:41 pm

ROYALTY. NAM!!!!!! The king is dead. Long live the king!
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by RJB8525 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:44 pm

this is definitely a go east trend

if some of these verify lol..
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Grselig on Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:46 pm

No more east! I want slight tick west
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by RJB8525 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 5:39 pm

mt holly increased their totals by an inch. i'm on the northern border of the wall that they built on Warren County for the 7' mark

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by mmanisca on Fri Mar 17, 2017 5:46 pm

The Euro run is horrible
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Math23x7 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 5:52 pm

mmanisca wrote:The Euro run is horrible

As is the RGEM

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by RJB8525 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 5:58 pm

i'll be surprised if i get anything more than 2"
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by WeatherBob on Fri Mar 17, 2017 6:45 pm

If this storm gives NYC a foot of snow, I will drink a glass of water directly out of the Gowanus Canal!!

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Math23x7 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 6:51 pm

WeatherBob wrote:If this storm gives NYC a foot of snow, I will drink a glass of water directly out of the Gowanus Canal!!

By NYC do you mean CPK. Just because the Conservancy doesn't measure 12" doesn't mean they don't get it. Maybe do it if at least one of the four nearby stations (Newark, LaGuardia, JFK, or Central Park) gets it.

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by oldtimer on Fri Mar 17, 2017 7:18 pm

Whats the Euro showing Have not seen anything other then its horrible

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Snow88 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 9:38 pm

oldtimer wrote:Whats the Euro showing   Have not seen anything other then its horrible

Euro did show a trough. It's caving to the other models.

It's just an average model now
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by WeatherBob on Fri Mar 17, 2017 9:55 pm

Math you are too funny!! It wasn't meant to be specific, it was meant to be funny!! Very Happy

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by WeatherBob on Fri Mar 17, 2017 10:06 pm

Looks like the NAM is colder with the bulk of the precip after sunset. Could be more accumulation due to this, lets see what it does!!

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Snow88 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 10:16 pm

Nam lost the inverted snows for the area
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by WeatherBob on Fri Mar 17, 2017 10:18 pm

I think this storm is going to be a dud.  There is no moisture to work with and the upper trough is being affected by that lobe in the upper air (see 500 and 300 MB) of the previous trough to our NE.

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Snow88 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 10:25 pm

Ehhh not a good start with the Nam

Goodnight
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by WeatherBob on Fri Mar 17, 2017 10:25 pm

Upper trough is not even neutral. Its a positive tilt. Will probably go negative 100's of miles off the coast.

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Math23x7 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:07 pm

And the 0Z RGEM is a non event snow wise for NYC/LI...

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by Math23x7 on Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:51 pm

And the 0Z GFS is also a dud...

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by mmanisca on Sat Mar 18, 2017 12:02 am

And bring on spring.
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by amugs on Sat Mar 18, 2017 8:55 am

This is a non event overall coating to a couple of inches at best on models. Radar shows two pieces of energy.  Amazing how the NAM and GFS went from a secs to basically nada. 
Oh well cold arrives again later next week after a brief warm up.
Thinking we break the streak this month at 20 consecutive AN months temps wise.

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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Mar 18, 2017 9:20 am

THE NAM went from KING to peasant on this one. Those maps showing 12.6 inches over NYC yesterday were amusing though.
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by crippo84 on Sat Mar 18, 2017 9:47 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:THE NAM went from KING to peasant on this one. Those maps showing 12.6 inches over NYC yesterday were amusing though.

Lately (like over the past couple years) it seems like the models have been like Lucy picking up the football just as Charlie Brown is about to kick it with many of these storms. Gotta be very frustrating for meteorologists.
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Re: March 18th-19th Possible IVT Snow Event

Post by amugs on Sat Mar 18, 2017 9:59 am

The NAM as we once knew it is officially being put out to pasture on the 21st and the new nam the Para is taking over. Hopefully it performs better than the this NAM. Time will tell.
CP LOL with the above post

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