2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

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2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Quietace on Fri May 12, 2017 4:17 pm

Go.
TC's that pose significant impact to the area usually get their own thread.

Enjoy the tracking, and may our area not be impacted.

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri May 12, 2017 6:50 pm

Your forecast is one of the best I've read so far.

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Tue May 30, 2017 9:31 pm

http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/above-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-is-most-likely-year
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Wed May 31, 2017 11:10 pm

The Euro is def sniffing out some LR activity around day 8-10 crossing FL into atlantic. Something to watch for first system of season. Hurricane season starts in 50 min. LOL
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Thu Jun 01, 2017 9:26 am

HAPPY HURRICANE SEASON EVERYONE!!

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by GreyBeard on Thu Jun 01, 2017 1:51 pm

And so it begins...

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Thu Jun 01, 2017 3:16 pm

Western Gulf







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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Thu Jun 01, 2017 3:20 pm



https://t.co/hgOhwO1iJw

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Thu Jun 01, 2017 10:08 pm

Ukie has come in hot


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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Thu Jun 01, 2017 10:11 pm

From Levi Cowan 
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/2017/06/02/outlook-for-the-2017-atlantic-hurricane-season/

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Fri Jun 02, 2017 7:40 am



Ventrice says whear is going to dampen this possible trop cyclone

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Fri Jun 02, 2017 4:15 pm


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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Jun 02, 2017 5:39 pm

BEatrize is now a remnant low, do not see much coming from this but we will see. Hearing even in western atlantic there SAL, thats pretty far from africa damn.
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Jun 16, 2017 12:19 am

NHC watching two areas in atlantic, if the one to the east develops it would only be the 4th time in June in history according to Levi in his latest video.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIEZC1wGGco
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by gigs68 on Sun Jun 18, 2017 5:57 am

Should I be concerned? Heading on cruise out of Miami on June 25th. It is going to Puerto Rico 6/27, St Thomas 6/28 St Maarten 6/29
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Jun 18, 2017 2:57 pm

gigs68 wrote:Should I be concerned? Heading on cruise out of Miami on June 25th.  It is going to Puerto Rico 6/27, St Thomas 6/28 St Maarten 6/29
no nothing is shown to move in the diection other than normsl tropucal weather down there. tge gulf system is coming together and now has a 90% chance develope in 5 day and is 93L. looks like we could see heavy remnant rains in a week or two if it tracks to central gulf coast and inland then pushed ne.
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Jun 18, 2017 5:15 pm

We have our first "tropical cyclone 2" formerly termed "invest", this is a bit concerning as this is now only the 4th time in history a cape verde storm has formed in June. It jumped from 20% to 70% to 1st advisory (I believe it is a depression now as there is a full advisory in less than half a day wow, not a impressive system by nay means but it was progged to diminish completely....



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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Jun 19, 2017 8:22 am

Looks like parts of the Gulf Coast will get slammed with heavy rain. Otherwise, this tropical invest is pretty weak and should not produce damaging winds or surge.



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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Mon Jun 19, 2017 8:03 pm

The 18z guidance has trop depression hitting g coast and then possibly affecting us this weekend UUUUGGHHHH!

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Mon Jun 19, 2017 8:15 pm

Latest saying may strengthen to a TS


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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:54 pm

They actually have Cindy as a post TD still coming off the delmarva wow, and a small are of 5% chance of TS force winds, I really hope that this Saturday is okay cuz we are having a huge moving sale.
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Jun 29, 2017 10:02 pm

Might be something brewing in the long range that could threaten east coast if GFS is right. Thats at least 10 days away though and as of right now NHC has nothing in the 5 day. Interesting the CMC does not have a system at all and the GFS Euro do. Something to watch.
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Jun 30, 2017 10:02 am

jmanley32 wrote:Might be something brewing in the long range that could threaten east coast if GFS is right.  Thats at least 10 days away though and as of right now NHC has nothing in the 5 day.  Interesting the CMC does not have a system at all and the GFS Euro do.  Something to watch.

Txt Jman....Will keep an eye out for your posts we don't get home till the 12th..so will follow your posts
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Jul 01, 2017 7:16 pm

Well holy crap GFS!! Long ways off but GFS has been on this system since middle of last week.

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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Jul 01, 2017 7:26 pm

Okay my bad the NHC has taken note of the system in the atlantic currently 10/40 chance development, this is the system the GFS blows up. Long tracker too and from a area that is not normal for beginning of July. If this does develop it will moisten the air for many more to form with less obstacles.

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