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Tracking Hurricane Irma

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Post by frank 638 September 2nd 2017, 12:20 pm

guys i am starting to get worried i know everyday weather models do change do you think we should get ready for the worse esp for a hurricane this strong

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Post by weatherwatchermom September 2nd 2017, 12:21 pm

897 at 168 wow

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Post by jmanley32 September 2nd 2017, 12:22 pm

Not yet, ive seen plenty of days of GFS runs with WCS and then change drastically this far out, but it is concerning.
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Post by sabamfa September 2nd 2017, 12:25 pm

Also very concerned. Where would NNJ even evacuate to? I imagine if the hurricane hits here at the strength modeled, we couldn't stay here? Someone talk me down Sad

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Post by jmanley32 September 2nd 2017, 12:25 pm

Insane....and it looks to skim coast from obx up to jersey or LI....again

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 7 Gfs_ms20
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Post by Sanchize06 September 2nd 2017, 12:27 pm

Hr 192...coming toward the coast at 912mb

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 7 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_32

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Post by jmanley32 September 2nd 2017, 12:29 pm

We are screwed on this run royally.  No cat 5 is go weaken below cat 3 before getting up here.
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Post by Sanchize06 September 2nd 2017, 12:29 pm

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 7 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_eus_33

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Post by Sanchize06 September 2nd 2017, 12:32 pm

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 7 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_neus_34

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Post by jmanley32 September 2nd 2017, 12:34 pm

Cat 5 into maryland eastern side we still get hammered.

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 7 Gfs_ms21
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Post by jmanley32 September 2nd 2017, 12:35 pm

Wow it curves way NW and spares us the worst, PA sees a catastropy.
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Post by track17 September 2nd 2017, 12:38 pm

Jman your very wrong we at the jersey shore get it just as bad as pa if not worse look at the wind picture. Yes ny is ok but let's not forget about nj. The shore is screwed on this one so don't say we are spared you may be in ny but not many of us

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Post by Sanchize06 September 2nd 2017, 12:41 pm

CMC takes it into NC

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Post by SoulSingMG September 2nd 2017, 12:42 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Wow it curves way NW and spares us the worst, PA sees a catastropy.

We are in no way spared on that run, Jman. The amount of water that would be pushed into us from the Atlantic being on that side of her would be catastrophic. But again, windshield wiper from now til Wednesday on track.
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Post by Guest September 2nd 2017, 12:45 pm

The winds alone from this thing will be able to cause all kinds of havoc. I look outside at all of the trees lining the streets and wonder whether or not they'd hold up to it.

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Post by jmanley32 September 2nd 2017, 12:46 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Wow it curves way NW and spares us the worst, PA sees a catastropy.

We are in no way spared on that run, Jman. The amount of water that would be pushed into us from the Atlantic being on that side of her would be catastrophic. But again, windshield wiper from now til Wednesday on track.
Ur both right, NJ does get it bad, so does NY, even CT gets TS.  Not looking good there is a bit of a LR trend developing, also with the CMC landfall and hooking NW, dying to see Euro.
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Post by jmanley32 September 2nd 2017, 12:49 pm

TheAresian wrote:The winds alone from this thing will be able to cause all kinds of havoc. I look outside at all of the trees lining the streets and wonder whether or not they'd hold up to it.
No doubt power would be out for mpost from maryland to CT and points west, millions and millions.It is slower though and pouts us more at a 10 to 11 day time frame before landfall but in about 5 days or less we should have a pretty good idea.  I am also awestruck that it maintains such high status so far north.
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Post by weatherwatchermom September 2nd 2017, 12:53 pm

TheAresian wrote:The winds alone from this thing will be able to cause all kinds of havoc. I look outside at all of the trees lining the streets and wonder whether or not they'd hold up to it.

that's what did my parents in for 16 days of no power..they were up in the hills of Nj...lost their power because all the trees fell down during Sandy...we lost power for 14 days and I live on the water...go figure almost went to stay with them...this is a horrible situation about to occur to someone on the east coast...here to hoping that it can still go out to sea!!!!
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Post by nutleyblizzard September 2nd 2017, 2:42 pm

EURO coming in much stronger this run. Trough is slower moving out. could see a landfall further north this run.
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Post by Sanchize06 September 2nd 2017, 2:44 pm

EURO moving north at hr 192, if there's a landfall this run, it'll be more north than SC like 0z

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Post by nutleyblizzard September 2nd 2017, 2:46 pm

Hour 192. Looks like Irma is getting captured by the trough. Starting to get pulled northbound.
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Post by Sanchize06 September 2nd 2017, 2:49 pm

Hr 216 looks OTS

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Post by skinsfan1177 September 2nd 2017, 2:51 pm

Euro looks to cave to gfs
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Post by weatherwatchermom September 2nd 2017, 2:56 pm

We are out is the run done?
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Post by Frank_Wx September 2nd 2017, 2:57 pm

Euro is out to sea but the capture from the trough wasn't far off. We're yet to see any consistency as expected.

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Post by skinsfan1177 September 2nd 2017, 2:58 pm

Euro is 1600 miles apart from last run imo its step toward the GFS in the upper air setup
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Post by weatherwatchermom September 2nd 2017, 3:01 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Euro is out to sea but the capture from the trough wasn't far off. We're yet to see any consistency as expected.
Tx back to waiting for that back to school haircut Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes
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