Tracking Hurricane Irma

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by EnyapWeather on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:16 pm

Is it possible that of these started to trend more north, we could see some type of hurricane up here? Or is that off the table now?
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by amugs on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:17 pm

Soul absolutely. I have been sitting here watching and occasionally posting. There are a lot of mechanisms that are at play. As stated from Fla to NE must be on guard and if in Fla to NC you need to take preparations or at least start to.

I borrowed my friends generator. Getting cash out, cash rules peeps, and doing some shopping tomorrow for water and some other goods. I said this before the set up in the PAC we will see better by this time tomorrow and even better by Thursday. Heck if i do use my supplies I still have them!

AND lastly if she stays out over the bath tub waters of the Caribbean she may get down to low 900 levels, what is going to stop her?? So HEY MON model is nuts (862) but GFS may not be far off 89?.
No one is out of the woods yet and the models have been erratic. Juse watch her chug along and she is the most powerful site I have ever laid eyes, weather wise, my wife is 1st!!!


Last edited by amugs on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:23 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by EnyapWeather on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:22 pm

Hmmm That would be crazy if this became an even more powerful Sandy... I’m guessing that’s pretty unlikely though.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by rb924119 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:24 pm

Officially 917!!!!



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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by amugs on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:26 pm

HUMINA HUMINA JEUSUSUSUS!!!!!!!!!!

Irma down to 917 MB


RNT12 KWBC 052302
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL112017
A. 05/22:45:25Z
B. 17 deg 07 min N
060 deg 08 min W
C. NA
D. 137 kt
E. 255 deg 9 nm
F. 331 deg 138 kt
G. 252 deg 11 nm
H. 917 mb
I. 14 C / 2447 m
J. 24 C / 2454 m
K. 18 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. CO20-45
N. 12345 / NA
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. NOAA2 1011A IRMA OB 12
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND AND MAX FL WIND 156 KT 060 / 13 NM 22:48:32Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 080 / 05 KTS

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by mikeypizano on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:27 pm



Need some humor anyone?
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by amugs on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:28 pm

WTFFFFFFFFFFFFF??????

Nw eye wall at 906mb so maybe just a few hundred feet up 186kts so 212 mph!!. NE eye wall pass coming up soon gotta be near 220-230

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by weatherwatchermom on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:29 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
rb924119 wrote:According to the actual graph it looks like it's down to approximately 917-918mb

If this keeps up, I am going to wear the trackpad out on my laptop... affraid

I had my husband give me a second screen on my desk..he has a screen wall for all the work he does...so he gave me one...lol
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by amugs on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:30 pm

196kt a few hundred feet off the ground. 223 mph ne eye wall!


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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by rb924119 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:32 pm

amugs wrote:

196kt a few hundred feet off the ground. 223 mph ne eye wall!


And you know as well as I do those winds are mixing down to the surface at times

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by amugs on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:34 pm

190mph sustained winds measured at the surface

Ties the record - come on you BIAG we have come this far you need to break this!!

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by rb924119 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:40 pm

amugs wrote:190mph sustained winds measured at the surface

Ties the record - come on you BIAG we have come this far you need to break this!!

Wilma's record?!!!!

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by mikeypizano on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:41 pm

amugs where do you see 906mb and 196kt winds?
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by sroc4 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:45 pm

Unreal!!

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Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
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Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Radz on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:49 pm

8pm advisory kept 185mph...
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:57 pm

Wow just checking in. Things with Irma change by the minute. If solutions like we had last week start again oh boy.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by sroc4 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:59 pm

mikeypizano wrote:amugs where do you see 906mb and 196kt winds?

I second this question

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
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WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by rb924119 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:06 pm

sroc4 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:amugs where do you see 906mb and 196kt winds?

I second this question

I..........third(?) this question.......? Is that grammatically acceptable? Lmao we have any English teachers here that can settle this matter??? Ahaha

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by aiannone on Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:08 pm

Ok I left for classes at 3:30, came back just now and I see the 18z GFS and i'm scratching my head. WTF
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by weatherwatchermom on Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:15 pm

rb924119 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:amugs where do you see 906mb and 196kt winds?

I second this question

I..........third(?) this question.......? Is that grammatically acceptable? Lmao we have any English teachers here that can settle this matter??? Ahaha

You would say "I also second this"....(not a teacher)
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by syosnow94 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:19 pm

I third this
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by syosnow94 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:20 pm

18z GFS gives me a renewed sense of hope.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by Dis2cruise on Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:27 pm

Is it safe to say we might get a Long Island hit?

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by aiannone on Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:29 pm

Dis2cruise wrote:Is it safe to say we might get a Long Island hit?

While it can't be completely ruled out at this time, it is extremely unlikely. Probably 15% or less
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

Post by jake732 on Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:29 pm

lets not all go crazy from the 18z gfs...its one model let Alone 1 run. Even on that run it heads nw after the carolinas and keeps us in the clear.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

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