Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sun Sep 10, 2017 11:05 am

Dunnzoo wrote:
amugs wrote:117knot wind reported in the NE Quadrant

Check out ths link that Simon Bowser posted on Twitter - SICK!!

https://twitter.com/SimonStormRider/status/906843778824187904

These guys are just stupid. Just stick your arm out the window to get a wind reading. With all the debris one day one of them is going to get killed. All for a little attention.

janet..they do this all the time...hope your family is ok
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by Dunnzoo on Sun Sep 10, 2017 11:09 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:
amugs wrote:117knot wind reported in the NE Quadrant

Check out ths link that Simon Bowser posted on Twitter - SICK!!

https://twitter.com/SimonStormRider/status/906843778824187904

These guys are just stupid. Just stick your arm out the window to get a wind reading. With all the debris one day one of them is going to get killed. All for a little attention.

janet..they do this all the time...hope your family is ok

Thanks Joanne, it won't hit my brother until this afternoon/early evening. Funny thing, he is in an evacuation zone, but the shelters are in a lower elevation then he is so he is better off staying home. His roof can withstand 130 mph so he feels comfortable but still nervous.

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sun Sep 10, 2017 11:59 am

wow..they were just showing a street in downtown miami..that looked like it was the middle of the bay..with white caps...it was just on..so could not get video to share
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by Frank_Wx on Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:20 pm

Shout out to Ray, one of our site Meteorolgist, for accurately forecasting Irma to track toward the Gulf / west coast of Florida. And not many if any models were showing such a track. Nicely done Ray.

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by TheAresian on Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:40 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Shout out to Ray, one of our site Meteorolgist, for accurately forecasting Irma to track toward the Gulf / west coast of Florida. And not many if any models were showing such a track. Nicely done Ray.

I second that. Third that if you include the mention on Twitter. BTW Frank, I hope you didn't mind the tweet. Everybody here does such great work and with all of the flack that guys have to deal with if they get it wrong, I felt like he should get equal credit for getting it right.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by Frank_Wx on Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:51 pm

[quote="TheAresian"]
Frank_Wx wrote:Shout out to Ray, one of our site Meteorolgist, for accurately forecasting Irma to track toward the Gulf / west coast of Florida. And not many if any models were showing such a track. Nicely done Ray.

I second that. Third that if you include the mention on Twitter. BTW Frank, I hope you didn't mind the tweet. Everybody here does such great work and with all of the flack that guys have to deal with if they get it wrong, I felt like he should get equal credit for getting it right. [/quote

Absolutely.

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by docstox12 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:58 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Shout out to Ray, one of our site Meteorolgist, for accurately forecasting Irma to track toward the Gulf / west coast of Florida. And not many if any models were showing such a track. Nicely done Ray.

Excellent work Ray when the concensus was for a more easterly track up the coast.I have read posts on other sites slamming the meteorologists for the westerly jog.Totally unfair, how can you expect a computer model to completely accurately predict these storms with all the variables they present.I would tell the nay sayers to look back to the 1930's where absolutely little warnings were available to predict where these hurricanes would go and hundreds lost their lives in Florida in 1935 and Long island in 1938.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by amugs on Sun Sep 10, 2017 1:03 pm

Marco Island is the direct hit next 115 mph and surge of 8' plus

https://twitter.com/epawawx/status/906922360233586688


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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by Snow88 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 1:42 pm

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 2:54 pm

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by essexcountypete on Sun Sep 10, 2017 3:31 pm

The scenes on CNN from Punta Gorda and the other places along the West coast where the wind is blowing all the water out to sea are crazy. The boats and piers are sitting in the mud, and they can see the pilings from an old bridge they haven't seen in decades.

Mother nature is amazing!
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by frank 638 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:13 pm

Irma is starting to weakened from Category 3 to Category 2 with winds up to 115 the eyewall is near Naples Florida

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by Disneyprincess1592 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:21 pm

I am so very thankful to see that this storm is weakening! Still not totally out of the clear but a cat 3 is so much better then a at 5

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by frank 638 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:23 pm

My God is anyone watching the twc poor Mike can't even stand from the wind and rain

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by frank 638 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:27 pm

131 wind gust at Naples FL the eye if irmaz is getting closer

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:47 pm

frank 638 wrote:My God is anyone watching the twc poor Mike can't even stand from the wind and rain
Your not kidding, 142mph gust reported at Naples airport wow.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by frank 638 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:53 pm

It is amazing out there because Mike from the weather channel has been standing out there for at least 35 minutes to 40 minutes and he is still getting the strongest part of the hurricane with wind gust up to 142 miles an hour that is amazing not only you trying to hold yourself up but you have to worry about flying materials such as wood metal glass or trees or anything else

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:55 pm

He saida big tree fell behind him, a bit nuts but that comes with the job.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by Dtone on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:55 pm

Yeah I was watching him too, he had to kneel on the ground.
They saying they make have to take another look at that cat 3 status, other gusts as well are putting the 115 max sustained into question.

My father evacuated to a shelter that ended up being closer to the eye, but at least its a much sturdier structure.

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:58 pm

Downgraded to Cat 2, Winds 110mph.
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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by amugs on Sun Sep 10, 2017 5:59 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Downgraded to Cat 2, Winds 110mph.
The gusts are still looking 125 plus though.
Storm surge is 8' plus as well.

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by amugs on Sun Sep 10, 2017 6:08 pm

Report of a roof collapse in a high school in Naples with over 500 people inside. Hope it in untrue cause that would be terrible.

Surge in Naples area to be 10-15'.
Winds reported at 142mph gusts there.

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by Dunnzoo on Sun Sep 10, 2017 6:32 pm

Thankfully it looks like the eye will be east of my brother! It has moved slightly inland, just enough to keep in on the better side. cheers

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by rb924119 on Sun Sep 10, 2017 6:54 pm

Thank you all for the recognition, everybody; I really do appreciate it. However, there was a lot of luck involved and it wasn't perfect. That said, everybody on here deserves equal credit for the great expanse of knowledge and perspective leading fantastic discussions throughout the lifespan of this system. If we didn't have that, nobody would learn anything, or be able to see things beyond their own mind; not to mention have an idea of the vast potential of tracks and severity of this system, and others like it. Much credit should go to Frank for holding a public, personal Q and A session for everybody so that they could inform friends and family accordingly. That's what matters most - safety.

I also want to apologize for my large absence during the last few days. I was kept very busy at/with work, as my company is directly involved with the weather, so with the very active Atlantic Basin there hasn't been much time to do anything but sleep, eat, and work. In hindsight, though, it was probably better that way given the Q and A session. Having one less voice commenting probably allowed things to be that much more organized and clear for people to read through and get the information they needed quickly. Besides, all of the other resident posters on here kept the conversation and analysis going just fine Smile A great job to everybody on this board with this system!! Here's to hoping for a speedy recovery for all areas impacted so far this tropical season, and now for me, it's onto the next system with a lot more sleep-deprived nights!!!

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Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma: Part 2

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sun Sep 10, 2017 8:13 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Thankfully it looks like the eye will be east of my brother! It has moved slightly inland, just enough to keep in on the better side. cheers


thank goodness!!!
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