2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Page 18 of 19 Previous  1 ... 10 ... 17, 18, 19  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by RJB8525 on Thu Oct 05, 2017 9:47 am

say hello to Nate officially

avatar
RJB8525
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1655
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 31
Location : Hackettstown, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Thu Oct 05, 2017 11:10 am

GEFS


EURO

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 8455
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 47
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Nyi1058 on Thu Oct 05, 2017 5:35 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
Nyi1058 wrote:Hey fellas I'm supposed to head to charlotte this weekend for Sunday's NASCAR race , what's the deal with this damn thing ugh!!!!!!

I guess plan to stay an extra day, not sure if they are going to get it in, who's your favorite driver? I'm a Truex fan since Carl left.
Ive been a kenseth fan, but def like truex as well! im staying til Monday night , supposed to fly out at 730 pm.


can anybody help me out here!!!!!!!!!! im leaving tomorrow am from long island! Im going with a buddy of mine whos almost ready to cancel , I don't wanna!!!!!

Nyi1058

Posts : 62
Join date : 2013-12-04
Age : 42
Location : Port Jefferson Long Island

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Oct 05, 2017 5:44 pm

My son has mixed emotions about a hurricane with his name on it... NYI...hope you have safe travels!!
avatar
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1477
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 53
Location : Hazlet Township

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Oct 05, 2017 7:40 pm

Nyi1058 wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:
Nyi1058 wrote:Hey fellas I'm supposed to head to charlotte this weekend for Sunday's NASCAR race , what's the deal with this damn thing ugh!!!!!!

I guess plan to stay an extra day, not sure if they are going to get it in, who's your favorite driver? I'm a Truex fan since Carl left.
Ive been a kenseth fan, but def like truex as well! im staying til Monday night , supposed to fly out at 730 pm.


can anybody help me out here!!!!!!!!!! im leaving tomorrow am from long island! Im going with a buddy of mine whos almost ready to cancel , I don't wanna!!!!!
At this time Nate is progged to be a minimal hurricane hitting around panhandle or just west. Carolinas if anything will get some rain. Or course these things change but Nate is going to move pretty fast but I highly doubthe will be anywhere near East of fl.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13089
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Oct 05, 2017 8:56 pm

Nhc cone takes him as post tropical depression right over area. Ts wind cone ends down south but then restarts over area with. 10 to 20% chance currently. I've never seen that B4.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13089
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Dunnzoo on Thu Oct 05, 2017 9:55 pm

Nyi1058 wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:
Nyi1058 wrote:Hey fellas I'm supposed to head to charlotte this weekend for Sunday's NASCAR race , what's the deal with this damn thing ugh!!!!!!

I guess plan to stay an extra day, not sure if they are going to get it in, who's your favorite driver? I'm a Truex fan since Carl left.
Ive been a kenseth fan, but def like truex as well! im staying til Monday night , supposed to fly out at 730 pm.


can anybody help me out here!!!!!!!!!! im leaving tomorrow am from long island! Im going with a buddy of mine whos almost ready to cancel , I don't wanna!!!!!

I would go, if it gets rained out Sunday, head to the HOF and maybe they will get it in early enough Monday...

_________________
Janet


Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      38.5"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
avatar
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3309
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 55
Location : Westwood, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Oct 06, 2017 4:45 pm

Dang Nate is racing 21 mph jeeze Levi was right in his video last night about the steering speeding him up. Looks like we could get a decent rain and some breezy conditions early next week if his track sticks.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13089
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Fri Oct 06, 2017 5:53 pm

There is a deep trough swinging through the middle of the country then pulls him up and out. We will see good rains and breezy conditions if you will Monday and into Tueaday possibly. We need it.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 8455
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 47
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sat Oct 07, 2017 8:35 am

Does anyone have info on what the winds will be like when remnants of mate get up our way?
avatar
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3644
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 39
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Oct 07, 2017 4:20 pm

Nhc says 10 to 20% chance of ts winds and 5 to 10 for 50 kt on coast.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13089
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by frank 638 on Sat Oct 07, 2017 4:54 pm

how much rain will we get from the remnants and we def need this

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1303
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 34
Location : bronx ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Oct 07, 2017 5:56 pm

looks like most the rain 2 to 4 stays way north and west per wpc
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13089
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Snow88 on Tue Oct 10, 2017 9:30 am

GFS has a weaker version of Sandy in weenie land



avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1831
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Thu Oct 12, 2017 11:05 am

Ok when was the last time Western Europe had a tropical system likely will have hurricane watches up soon. That's insane.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13089
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Dtone on Sat Oct 14, 2017 9:06 pm

Ophelia is a major hurricane now, Cat 3.
Its now the furthest east an Atlantic major hurricane has existed on record. The equivalent of a strong TS to Cat 1 hurricance is forecast when it reaches Ireland.

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1517
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by EnyapWeather on Sun Oct 15, 2017 4:46 pm

Oh boy my mom is right in the path of the hurricane.
avatar
EnyapWeather

Posts : 52
Join date : 2017-03-12
Age : 15
Location : Bergen County NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Sun Oct 15, 2017 9:11 pm

EnyapWeather wrote:Oh boy my mom is right in the path of the hurricane.

OH BOY is right 100 mph winds - they aint use to that in the Ireland my man it will be their Sandy!!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 8455
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 47
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Sun Oct 15, 2017 10:28 pm



_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 8455
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 47
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by rb924119 on Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:50 am

Mugs, that part of the world sees high wind events quite often, though this is a bit higher than most. The most "abnormal" part of this is that it will be experiencing another one that still has a name attached to it. But even that is not unprecedented.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3601
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:49 am

rb924119 wrote:Mugs, that part of the world sees high wind events quite often, though this is a bit higher than most. The most "abnormal" part of this is that it will be experiencing another one that still has a name attached to it. But even that is not unprecedented.

True but not the norm up there- I know they'll see gales of 40-55mph and some 60 but a powerful extra tropical hcane I dont think they have experienced up there since the great storm of Bravhart (only kidding!)

Wind Records - Doc and CP remember these right?
Highest wind speed in a gust: 98kts at Malin Head, Co. Donegal on 16th September 1961.
Highest 10-minute mean wind speed: 71kts at Foynes, Co. Limerick on 18th January 1945.

https://www.met.ie/climate-ireland/weather-extremes.asp

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 8455
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 47
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by rb924119 on Mon Oct 16, 2017 9:25 am

Well that's true aha I'm certainly not trying to diminish the severity, I was just saying that because to me, this isn't as comparable to Sandy. The Northeast doesn't experience nearly the frequency of such strong storm/wind events as they do, so I think that is an unfair comparison, in my humble opinion, of course lol

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3601
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by amugs on Mon Oct 16, 2017 9:41 am

rb924119 wrote:Well that's true aha I'm certainly not trying to diminish the severity, I was just saying that because to me, this isn't as comparable to Sandy. The Northeast doesn't experience nearly the frequency of such strong storm/wind events as they do, so I think that is an unfair comparison, in my humble opinion, of course lol

Fair point in this respect. 75-85 mph winds in Cork with 100 mph gusts incoming. Pretty severe for this place but they will somehow make it into a fun event.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 8455
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 47
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by sroc4 on Mon Oct 16, 2017 11:19 am

amugs wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Well that's true aha I'm certainly not trying to diminish the severity, I was just saying that because to me, this isn't as comparable to Sandy. The Northeast doesn't experience nearly the frequency of such strong storm/wind events as they do, so I think that is an unfair comparison, in my humble opinion, of course lol

Fair point in this respect. 75-85 mph winds in Cork with 100 mph gusts incoming. Pretty severe for this place but they will somehow make it into a fun event.

We will see just how high the recorded wind speeds actually make it. That said I want to be in the pub with them for the party. party


_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
avatar
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 4785
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by jmanley32 on Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:18 pm

wwell 18z gfs lr is interesting.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13089
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 18 of 19 Previous  1 ... 10 ... 17, 18, 19  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum