Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:18 am

SREFs 100 miles back northwest from 21z with a heavy west lean again. Each model run is shaving a year off my life expectancy aha

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:19 am

06z NAM through 39 is 100 miles northwest of 00z for what it's worth.

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:23 am

rb924119 wrote:06z NAM through 39 is 100 miles northwest of 00z for what it's worth.

I think we're the only ones up, Rb lol
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 6:11 am

Wow at the UKMET and EURO. They continue to trend west. 6z GFS is a little west of 0z which was a little west of 18z. I guess the NHC is totally going on the hurricane models lol

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 6:18 am

6z NAM comes west too. Similar to EURO

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 6:26 am

5am Update



EURO and UKMET tracks are barely even in this cone at all, seems odd to me

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:11 am

Wow euro holy smokes huge shift west. So all models shifted west overnight and the 06z this will be interesting to see if nhc follows. If ukie is right this will be a big surprise for all. BTW Jose looks really good on sattelites.
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:17 am

The EURO was stronger as well, 960mb


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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 7:45 am

Nhc staying and hugging gfs
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:11 am

Jose is moving due North unless he gets go nw again I don't see how he pulls these west shifts off.
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by amugs on Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:18 am

For your pleasure from the OZ Euro wind maps brought to u by Wxbell




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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by sroc4 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:31 am

Jose appears to be stronger. Down to 970mb. Current recon recorded 85kt flight level and looks like surface winds of 85knotts and hasn't flown through the NE quad just yet. That would put him at Cat 2.



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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by WeatherBob on Sun Sep 17, 2017 8:43 am

The Euro is actually bringing the storm due north. Jose's current Long is 71.7 W. The Long of Montauk Point LI is 71.92 W. The Euro only shades the storm slightly west of due north as it brings it to off the NJ and LI coasts.

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:01 am

What are coastal nj areas looking at with wind and surge. Many saying coastal areas see the worst
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:30 am

https://twitter.com/AccuRayno?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

good morning..this was bernie rayno's video on Friday...the storm so far seems to be doing what he said so far...
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:07 am

amugs wrote:For your pleasure from the OZ Euro wind maps brought to u by Wxbell



Wow likegets roughed up. Another tick west go b on.
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:14 am

Wow likegets roughed up. Another tick west go b on.

what? usually can figure out the abbreviations and slang.. Smile
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Snow88 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:33 am

Nam is coming in wetter for the coast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:49 am

Wow coastal areas in trouble here
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by amugs on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:52 am

The west tend contunues.
This will not be a hcane up here BUT he Wil transition to an extra tropical hybrid system ala sandy ( not as severe of course ) bUT once he does his wind field explodes and those 925 winds will.mix down. The shore better start preparing for coastal flooding with a new moon and a strong onshore flow.

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jwalsh on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:53 am

90 mph at the 11:00 advisory
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jwalsh on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:59 am

The cone moves west
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by syosnow94 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:09 am

jwalsh wrote:The cone moves west

No change at all actually
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by aiannone on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:14 am

syosnow94 wrote:
jwalsh wrote:The cone moves west

No change at all actually
Yes it moved west. This was the 11pm
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by frank 638 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:18 am

Just got through watching The Weather Channel so far they're saying for NYC Long Island lower Westchester Coastal Connecticut and south of Jersey will see two to three inches worth of rain with beach erosion and possibility of major coastal flooding

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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

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