Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Page 19 of 21 Previous  1 ... 11 ... 18, 19, 20, 21  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:41 pm

No surprise from the GFS lol stayed the course

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3606
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Snow88 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:42 pm

GFS was slightly west at 54 but quite similiar to 18z
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1853
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by aiannone on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:43 pm

ok, im surrendering to my battle with the nyquil. Night all. let's see what 12Zs do tmw!
avatar
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 2560
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)/ Binghamton, NY (Binghamton University)-Broome County

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:44 pm

aiannone wrote:ok, im surrendering to my battle with the nyquil. Night all. let's see what 12Zs do tmw!
Feel better..
avatar
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1496
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 53
Location : Hazlet Township

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by hyde345 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:44 pm

Not much precip north and west on GFS. Think there should be more.
avatar
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 362
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:44 pm

aiannone wrote:ok, im surrendering to my battle with the nyquil. Night all. let's see what 12Zs do tmw!

You fought valiantly in battle, soldier!!!! You have earned your place in the halls of our fathers! Ahaha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3606
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:44 pm

I am headed to bed too, I will check in either in the AM or at lunch though I will be mobile. I will def b on in the evening.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13248
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:46 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I am headed to bed too, I will check in either in the AM or at lunch though I will be mobile. I will def b on in the evening.

Good luck tomorrow, buddy!!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3606
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:50 pm

Well I'm sure the CMC will probably stay east too, but lets see

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 551
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Long Branch, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:57 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:Well I'm sure the CMC will probably stay east too, but lets see

Agree haha about the same through 24, just a little slower maybe

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3606
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:59 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:Well I'm sure the CMC will probably stay east too, but lets see

Agree haha about the same through 24, just a little slower maybe

I mean if it's the EURO/UKMET vs GFS/CMC I like the chances of a more west track haha

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 551
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Long Branch, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sanchize06 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 12:00 am

CMC pretty far east this run

Sanchize06
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 551
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Long Branch, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 12:01 am

Southeast through 48 now. I can't keep my eyes open anymore, I'm hitting the hay guys. Good night!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3606
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Snow88 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 12:02 am

Sanchize06 wrote:CMC pretty far east this run

If only the CMC was good with tropical storms Very Happy
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1853
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by algae888 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 2:59 am

euro and ukie are also east.



5 pages on the nam. lol and less than one on the reliable models.
avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4395
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 3:37 am

I think that's because nobody was awake, tbh ahaha I know I wasn't lmao for the most part there was definitely an east shift, though I'd argue the UKMET was relatively unchanged. Could this be another wobble because of the ingestion of extra data which again correct west? Possibly, but at this point I think chances of a US landfall as a meaningful system, as well as a track far enough west to really cause issues outside of the immediate coastlines are fading rapidly. I'll give it today's 12z's before I fold, take my "L", and adjust. Been a fun ride, though, regardless of the outcome haha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3606
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by algae888 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 3:47 am

rb924119 wrote:I think that's because nobody was awake, tbh ahaha I know I wasn't lmao for the most part there was definitely an east shift, though I'd argue the UKMET was relatively unchanged. Could this be another wobble because of the ingestion of extra data which again correct west? Possibly, but at this point I think chances of a US landfall as a meaningful system, as well as a track far enough west to really cause issues outside of the immediate coastlines are fading rapidly. I'll give it today's 12z's before I fold, take my "L", and adjust. Been a fun ride, though, regardless of the outcome haha
rb you know everybody is awake.lol. just nothing positive happened with tonight's runs. it has been a very active and fun tropical season esp when they do not hit our area. still have maria before we can turn our attention to winter. august and sept. flew by with all these storms to track. Very Happy
avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4395
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by jmanley32 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 5:32 am

Everything is coming into agreement well east and in line with nhc. they are the head honchos. Well I guess onto the next. But Maria looks to be a fish.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13248
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by skinsfan1177 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 5:45 am

jmanley32 wrote:Everything is coming into agreement well east and in line with nhc. they are the head honchos. Well I guess onto the next. But Maria looks to be a fish.

Yeah everything pushed east and we will be spared Very Happy
avatar
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3664
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 40
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by skinsfan1177 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:29 am

Jose not looking good at all
avatar
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3664
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 40
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Snow88 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:44 am

Never doubt the tropical models

This storm looks to be a normal noreaster for the coast ( More rain the further east you go )

NYC should expect some rain and wind, nothing major

As far as Maria goes, this is looking like a fish storm because Jose gets trapped under the ridge and doesn't have no where to go. When Jose rots and leaves, he leaves a weakness in the ridge. That causes Maria to go OTS. Can it change? Sure but we need Jose to lift out fast.
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1853
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by rb924119 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:52 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:Jose not looking good at all

Yeah, definitely looking non-tropical already

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 3606
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 25
Location : Greentown, Pa/Fishkill, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:52 am

Answer: Nay

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018:

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 17063
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 25
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by sroc4 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 10:14 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Answer: Nay
lol!

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
Dec 11th = coating
Dec 17th = 4.2
Jan 5th-6th = 3"
Jan 7th = 10.4"

Jan 14th = 1.75"
Jan 31st = 2.5"
Feb 9th = 12"
March 10th = 4.8"
March 14th = 3.5"
avatar
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 4850
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Dunnzoo on Mon Sep 18, 2017 10:23 am

Snow88 wrote:Never doubt the tropical models

This storm looks to be a normal noreaster for the coast ( More rain the further east you go )

NYC should expect some rain and wind, nothing major

As far as Maria goes, this is looking like a fish storm because Jose gets trapped under the ridge and doesn't have no where to go. When Jose rots and leaves, he leaves a weakness in the ridge. That causes Maria to go OTS. Can it change? Sure but we need Jose to lift out fast.

Sounds like you watched Levi's video last night geek

_________________
Janet


Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      38.5"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
avatar
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3332
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 55
Location : Westwood, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 19 of 21 Previous  1 ... 11 ... 18, 19, 20, 21  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum