Long Range Thread 15.0

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by rb924119 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 6:09 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Most members of the euro ensembles also on board


Did you look at the ensemble H5?????? Not gonna lie, what they depict is an exact analog to all of our big ticket storms - a triple phase (yes, I said triple) and H5 completely and rapidly closing off over approximately Virginia. As I said, if the modeling continues to hold, I expect a solution like what the GEM suite has been very consistent with, which is a track well west of where the EURO suite still has it based on the NH configuration, and I think it might be trying to go to that idea now. Either way, assuming the current depiction continues to remain relatively unchanged, ( big assumption, I know lol) expect the cluster to shift further west with members continuing to increase support. Just my two cents though lol but I do suggest you look at the H5 evolution......I think it's worthy of the "M" word lmao

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by jake732 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 6:53 am

I didn’t want to say this a week out but it looks very rainy for the coast. Would hammer everyone else.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by jake732 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 6:53 am

I didn’t want to say this a week out but it looks very rainy for the coast. Would hammer everyone else.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by Quietace on Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:33 am

jake732 wrote:I didn’t want to say this a week out but it looks very rainy for the coast. Would hammer everyone else.
Are you certain of this?

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:53 am

Anything related to the snow for this Saturday please put in the December thread. We will not start a thread for that event while focus remains on what could be a big storm January 4th.

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:19 am

Major CAVE on the GFS to look like the EURO for the January 4th storm. It almost had a triple phase - which may have produced a Roidzilla for the area.



Look how close she gets


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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:32 am

GFS slams New England, but this is the potential if timing comes together right for us.


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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:34 am

GFS has a Roidzilla for New England. Trough catches the storm a bit too late for us. This has triple phase potential. Be careful what you wish for though. Often triple phasers are coastal huggers or inland runners. This setup is similar to the superstorm of 93 in some respects.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:41 am

Frank other than the March 2001 debacle, I don't recall a Miller A ever taking a track like that. If this event were to happen, I would expect the low to take a more conventional up the coast route.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:06 pm

CMC gives us a glancing blow with next weeks coastal.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by Carter bk on Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:25 pm

I think euro might show something nice

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:31 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:CMC gives us a glancing blow with next weeks coastal.

Good, the last place I want to be is in the bullseye 7 days out, that's always the KOD no matter who's in it.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by jimv45 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:35 pm

yea cp let New England have the bullseye 7 days out.

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by rb924119 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:30 pm

Think the EURO is boutta drop the hammer

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by rb924119 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:35 pm

OH. MY. GOD. Forget dropping the hammer, it just threw everything it had at us including the kitchen sink!!

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by mikeypizano on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:37 pm

rb924119 wrote:OH. MY. GOD. Forget dropping the hammer, it just threw everything it had at us including the kitchen sink!!

Post it or get off the site! Laughing
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by nutleyblizzard on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:41 pm

EURO shows a textbook triple phaser.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by TheAresian on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:45 pm

Snow maps for the northeast or it doesn't count.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by rb924119 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:46 pm

10:1



Ratios:



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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by amugs on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:46 pm

HOLY SHTTTTTTTTTTT KING EURO!!!!!!!!






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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by jimv45 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:47 pm

No don't show anything yet, like this weekend lets not jinx it.

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by amugs on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:47 pm

Still going like teh energizer by=unny!!!


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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by TheAresian on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:49 pm

I hope you guys jackpot cause it would be nice for somebody to get some snow from all of this cold and that somebody sure as hell ain't gonna be me.
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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by rb924119 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:49 pm

This run has a very strong similarity to Feb 22-26 2010

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

Post by jimv45 on Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:50 pm

boy with ratios that's 2 feet plus for area!! sign me up.

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Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

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