10/29 - 10/30 Nor'Easter

Not so sure about the winds (when do models ever get winds right?) but we're getting well over 2 inches of rain. Probably over 4 in most spots along the immediate coast and LI. Be on alert for flash flooding.

Frank_Wx wrote:Not so sure about the winds (when do models ever get winds right?) but we're getting well over 2 inches of rain. Probably over 4 in most spots along the immediate coast and LI. Be on alert for flash flooding.

so you dont feel the widespread hww are warrented?

This should be fun.  Currently at 1.3"

sroc4 wrote:This should be fun.  

Is that our main event? off shore moving north? Yeah that looks nuts.

Pressure down to 998 mb. Been raining steadily much of the day. It will be interesting as to how strong the winds will get.

This is nuts just absolutely nuts meteorologically speaking

Math23x7 wrote:Pressure down to 998 mb.  Been raining steadily much of the day.  It will be interesting as to how strong the winds will get.

SPC mesoscale analysis has it down to 992 at the moment.  

amugs wrote:This is nuts just absolutely nuts meteorologically speaking

What is that first time heard term. And Frank our rivers are already rising we have to have had several inches with that 30 to 45 dbz rain coming in it's go b crazy flooding I'm thinking over 5 inches.

sroc4 wrote:

Math23x7 wrote:Pressure down to 998 mb.  Been raining steadily much of the day.  It will be interesting as to how strong the winds will get.

SPC mesoscale analysis has it down to 992 at the moment.  

Where is that in comparison to models that showed at this time? Some got sub 975 got ways to go if that go happen.

Nice negative tilt at 500mb. Hopefully we get this look at 500mb D-F. Unless that trough tilts further steering looks to take it just west of NYC

[quote="jmanley32"]

sroc4 wrote:

Math23x7 wrote:Pressure down to 998 mb.  Been raining steadily much of the day.  It will be interesting as to how strong the winds will get.

SPC mesoscale analysis has it down to 992 at the moment.  

quote]
Where is that in comparison to models that showed at this time? Some got sub 975 got ways to go if that go happen.

Not sure John

sroc4 wrote:

Wow when that rain comes in those winds are go blast in too, 100mph! i wonder how much it will be here, I am in that purple circle whatever that means.

I have 6 advisories and warnings, had 2 TV broadcast interruptions for flooding, now till 9pm. Will probably be longer than that, lets see how this goes.

Quietace wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

Wow when that rain comes in those winds are go blast in too, 100mph! i wonder how much it will be here, I am in that purple circle whatever that means.

Those winds are aloft given the that distance from the radar.

Of course. But it is the lowest tilt setting so it’s not that far aloft. But your right it is pretty far away from the radar center. It should be interesting in some of these bands though.

1.86” IMBY. LO KS LIKE 2”+ between now and midnight based on the radar. So far winds unimpressive

http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Briefings/WxBriefing.pdf

syosnow94 wrote:1.86” IMBY. LO KS LIKE 2”+ between now and midnight based on the radar.  So far winds unimpressive

Per briefing I just posted winds ramp up quick 9pm-3am. so do not expect them yet.

I’m starting to get VERY SKEPTICAL about the winds. We are in some crazy heavy bands and over an hour into the HWW and I’ve seen nothing over 20 mph yet. Wind bust?

syosnow94 wrote:I’m starting to get VERY SKEPTICAL about the winds. We are in some crazy heavy bands and over an hour into the HWW and I’ve seen nothing over 20 mph yet. Wind bust?

we were like that all day..we had really have rain and winds like you no higher than 20 mph...and that was for a short period of time..we currently are at 2.94 inches of rain...

syosnow94 wrote:I’m starting to get VERY SKEPTICAL about the winds. We are in some crazy heavy bands and over an hour into the HWW and I’ve seen nothing over 20 mph yet. Wind bust?

Yes James the reds are over me right now very heavy rain very light winds. I'll say this again just my experience but Westerly winds verify much more than Easterly. Dry slot about 100 miles to our South once that passes that I think the winds get cranking with the very moist soil could be trees down and power outages how widespread will know by morning

Winds will be on the increase between 9-10pm

1,759 without power on LI so far

so winds will just come out of nowhere?

aiannone wrote:1,759 without power on LI so far

I thought I was the only one who checked the outage map regularly

no i do too. havent looked cuz we had no wind getting breezy now.