Possible Christmas Day Storm

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by syosnow94 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 9:07 am

Great write up Scott. Awesome. But there’s no way to spin this. Rain on Christmas morning sucks. Period and Of Story
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by TheAresian on Sat Dec 23, 2017 9:12 am

It looks like the snow gods might smile on me after passing me by for the first 3 weeks of the month.
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by jimv45 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 9:15 am

I am hearing 3 to 6 up here let's hope it trends colder for all

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by Frank_Wx on Sat Dec 23, 2017 9:16 am

Looks like models came to an agreement. Pretty much what I've been suspecting. Rain to snow. Might stay as all rain for eastern NJ, NYC, and LI. But precip shuts off by 8am. Clearing, wind, and cold to follow.

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by Snow88 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 9:26 am

Xmas storm would have been nice for the coast if we had more cold air. Inland areas do very well.

Stupid lakes low
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by syosnow94 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 9:29 am

Happy for you Aresian and all you N and W folks. I’d gladly trade all 3 snow events and 10 inches I’ve gotten so far for a couple of inches Christmas Morning. Scott’s post was a kick in the balls this morning. Bullshit.
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by Snow88 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 9:35 am

The surface line hovers near the coast throughout the event

33andrain is the worst

Praying for a 2002 bust
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 9:40 am

Yep go rain on Christmas fun times.
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by Snow88 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 10:49 am

GFS ticked east and has mostly snow for inland areas to the north and west of the NYC area.

NYC sees some snow at the end on xmas
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by mmanisca on Sat Dec 23, 2017 11:00 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Looks like models came to an agreement. Pretty much what I've been suspecting. Rain to snow. Might stay as all rain for eastern NJ, NYC, and LI. But precip shuts off by 8am. Clearing, wind, and cold to follow.

Hey Frank not scientific at all but I’ve seen this many times where the model says no snow but at the end we get a little bit of the white stuff to give us a coating and make it feel like Christmas.
I’m holding out hope for it.. The cold air is not that far off..

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by frank 638 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 11:02 am

At this point I will be happy with a coating to a 1 of snow I know it's not much but at least it will give us a white Christmas for NYC I am desperate lol .

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by amugs on Sat Dec 23, 2017 12:14 pm

12K NAM saying white xmas


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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by Math23x7 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 12:20 pm

Let's be honest: Unless the primary low ends up much further south than we're anticipating, LI ain't getting a White Christmas. Miller freakin B's Mad

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sat Dec 23, 2017 12:32 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Yep go rain on Christmas fun times.

Not for everyone.

I think 30 miles north and west of NYC ekes out 2-4 inches. At least it looks like that for now.
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by amugs on Sat Dec 23, 2017 12:50 pm

[quote="Math23x7"]Let's be honest: Unless the primary low ends up much further south than we're anticipating, LI ain't getting a White Christmas.  Miller freakin B's Mad [/quote

Yup but you guys were never really in this. This is your typical 1970 -80''s type storm. Western BC through I80.North sees some accumulation. Need the primary to be weaker and die before it gets to Buffalo. If it poops out by Pittsburgh then LI may have a shot and N&W of NYC sees 3 plus.
Like to hear rb thoughts today.

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by syosnow94 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 1:54 pm

I hope if this doesn’t work out that next week does. We are 0 for 1 on the threats with this one it looks like down here. I believe this was one of the threats Amugs cited from Witt? I believe.
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by syosnow94 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 1:56 pm

amugs wrote:12K NAM saying white xmas


Should have had Christmas up at my parents. They are right under the 8 bullseye
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by aiannone on Sat Dec 23, 2017 2:10 pm

DSNY has issued a snow alert beginning December 24th at 10pm
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by rb924119 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 3:53 pm

All I'm gonna say, because it's all I have time for, is HERE COME THE SHORT RANGE HI-RES MODELS. My thoughts from way back when have been north of 78 and west of the Delaware River would see 3-6/4-7" from this, with somebody on here getting thundersnow. I'll let you all carry the discussion from here as I head to work. When troughs go so negative and are so deep, models cannot adjust to the dynamics in play until within the short term. We are entering that period now........ENJOY!!

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by amugs on Sat Dec 23, 2017 4:28 pm

18Z hold serve


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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by frank 638 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 4:28 pm

Does anyone know how much snow we will get for the city and Eastward

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by Math23x7 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 4:33 pm

frank 638 wrote:Does anyone know how much snow we will get for the city and Eastward

Expect an all rain event for NYC and points south and east.

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by frank 638 on Sat Dec 23, 2017 4:36 pm

Ok thanks math . So much for a white Christmas then hopefully we will make this up for New Year's weekend

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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by weatherwatchermom on Sat Dec 23, 2017 5:49 pm

Darn so busy today did not read anything except this last page...sad.....but wish we could just get a few mood flakes...here's to hoping!! peace out...back to cooking and baking...so I can start my nipping the sherry so to speak early tom!!..lol
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Re: Possible Christmas Day Storm

Post by syosnow94 on Sun Dec 24, 2017 8:17 am

GOOD NEWS. YES ITS STILL GOING TO RAIN FOR MOST OF THE BOARD BUT, THE STORM HAS TRENDED SO BADLY FOR THE COAST THAT Red Sox Suck WHICH WAS SUPPOSED TO SEE 2-4” NOW SEES ZERO cheers cheers
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