Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by Vinnydula on Sun Dec 31, 2017 9:58 pm

Nam was like. Nope see ya
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:00 pm

Vinnydula wrote:Nam was like. Nope see ya
That was kinda funny but this puts a monkey wrench in the monkeys monkey wrench. Unwinding that highly unlikely.
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:02 pm

Through about 72 that run was amazingly better. Then if lost its marbles aha could just be the NAM being the NAM near the end of its range, ornit could be real. I can't say for certain.

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:06 pm

up to hour 78 nam was west of 18z well west, then it pulled that stunt, can anyone explain?
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:07 pm

rb924119 wrote:Through about 72 that run was amazingly better. Then if lost its marbles aha could just be the NAM being the NAM near the end of its range, ornit could be real. I can't say for certain.
If you can't explain it I dunno what to say, im looking for any comments online nothing yet.
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by hyde345 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:13 pm

jmanley32 wrote:up to hour 78 nam was west of 18z well west, then it pulled that stunt, can anyone explain?

I think that southern stream energy never really phased with the main trough and then became cut off and was then kicked out east. We can't have that southern stream get cutoff.
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:20 pm

hyde345 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:up to hour 78 nam was west of 18z well west, then it pulled that stunt, can anyone explain?

I think that southern stream energy never really phased with the main trough and then became cut off and was then kicked out east. We can't have that southern stream get cutoff.
no that def is not good. especially within 84 hrs.
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by MattyICE on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:23 pm

I mean. It’s tge NAM. In the literal worst 3-6 hours or so of its range. No?

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by hyde345 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:25 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
hyde345 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:up to hour 78 nam was west of 18z well west, then it pulled that stunt, can anyone explain?

I think that southern stream energy never really phased with the main trough and then became cut off and was then kicked out east. We can't have that southern stream get cutoff.
no that def is not good. especially within 84 hrs.

It's towards the end of the Nam run and we still have time. I don't think models are going to get a handle on things until tomorrow's 00z runs at the earliest. There are just too many moving parts to this forecast.
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:33 pm

hyde345 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
hyde345 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:up to hour 78 nam was west of 18z well west, then it pulled that stunt, can anyone explain?

I think that southern stream energy never really phased with the main trough and then became cut off and was then kicked out east. We can't have that southern stream get cutoff.
no that def is not good. especially within 84 hrs.

It's towards the end of the Nam run and we still have time. I don't think models are going to get a handle on things until tomorrow's 00z runs at the earliest. There are just too many moving parts to this forecast.
fair to say prolly true.
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:38 pm

Just saw the RGEM and it's probably a Godzilla along and east of I-95. THATS YUGEEEEEE

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by sroc4 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:38 pm

I’m still not worried.

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by sroc4 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:39 pm

I said it earlier. Expect trends inside 48hrs

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by Dunnzoo on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:41 pm

It's the NAM at the end of its run, chillax folks, plenty of time...

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:42 pm

sroc4 wrote:I said it earlier. Expect trends inside 48hrs
but a waco run like that? rb the rgem is only like 48 hrs isnt it howcan you tell it would be a godzilla?
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:42 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:It's the NAM at the end of its run, chillax folks, plenty of time...
im not worried im just try wrap my head around how the nam came up with that.
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:44 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:I said it earlier. Expect trends inside 48hrs
but a waco run like that? rb the rgem is only like 48 hrs isnt it howcan you tell it would be a godzilla?



This is how lmao

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:45 pm

sroc4 wrote:I’m still not worried.

Me either Wink

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:45 pm

Ridge out west looks slightly better so far on GFS

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:46 pm

rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:I said it earlier. Expect trends inside 48hrs
but a waco run like that? rb the rgem is only like 48 hrs isnt it howcan you tell it would be a godzilla?



This is how lmao
oh us peons on tropicaltidbits only see out to 48 hrs lol
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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:47 pm

Looks like a little more interaction again through hr 60

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:51 pm

Way west of 18z so far, but we'll see.

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:51 pm

Actually this doesn't show more interaction, won't do it this run

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by Sanchize06 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:53 pm

Stronger, but basically the same spot as 18z

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:53 pm

That didn't last long aha

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Re: Potential Mothrazilla January 4th-5th

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