Re: January Obs and Discussions

by SnowForest Thu Jan 11, 2018 8:50 pm

Currently 50 degrees here in South Jersey. Today felt like March, with the snow melting, muddy ground, and pond ice thawing. I'm looking forward to the return of the cold and snow chances after this thaw.

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 11, 2018 8:54 pm

All the models are showing pretty strong wind gusts tomorrow evening (40-60) I am sure the high end is way overdone but the low end can and has verified, overdone probably but the blizzard was pretty spot on with the SR models so why is there no mention of any wind threat with the ice? Are the maps just plain wrong as usually is the case?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 11, 2018 9:44 pm

jimv45 wrote:I don't think Cp was talking about snow totals, I think he is saying the roads could be bad with the icing that could take place. It could be bad with temps crashing Saturday even if the precip is light.

Exactly Jim, I never mentioned anything about backend snows regarding this event. My only concern for this setup, and it still is a concern, is several hours of sleet and or freezing rain or both for Saturday morning for the areas N & W of NYC. The 850's are too warm for this to be much of a snow concern except possibly a bit at the tail end.

by **docstox12** Fri Jan 12, 2018 2:40 am

Looks more likely now CP you are right about that frozen precip in our neck of the woods.I was concentrating more on the back end snows of these big rainstorms after the temps shoot up then crash.

by **frank 638** Fri Jan 12, 2018 5:48 am

What a big difference from last week to today last week we were dealing with severe cold dangerous windshields. To a foggy mild 52 degrees would heavy rain later on today and it's supposed to be 60 degrees thank God it's only for one day then we go back to the freezer

by **dkodgis** Fri Jan 12, 2018 7:13 am

Weoooo. Fog and lots of it.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Jan 12, 2018 8:06 am

The winds here are crazy this morning, Jmans heaven.

Winter storm warnings for TheAresian, well deserved he's been shutout for too long.

by Guest Fri Jan 12, 2018 8:24 am

My fingers are crossed, CP. I was checking out the NAM and that would more than make up for what I've missed out on so far, but I'd be happy with the 6-10 being called for.

by **docstox12** Fri Jan 12, 2018 8:44 am

TheAresian wrote:My fingers are crossed, CP. I was checking out the NAM and that would more than make up for what I've missed out on so far, but I'd be happy with the 6-10 being called for.

Yes, good for you Aresian!!! Hope you cash in big on this one.It's been a long time that I have seen a snowstorm take that track, it's always been near the coast these last few years.

by **aiannone** Fri Jan 12, 2018 9:11 am

12z NAM still shows precip left when temps fall below freezing all the way down to the coast. At the very least we will have to watch for a flash freeze

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:02 am

Very strange temps are holding on here 49° atm but western areas already at 60° guess all the snowpack helping keep temps down

by **aiannone** Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:06 am

56 here in the island. Maybe about 3" left besides the plow piles and bankswhich are still huge. Grass is starting to show in spots now

by bobjohnsonforthehall Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:16 am

61 in Flemington.

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:23 am

Must be the ocean temps here keeping temps down

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:52 am

62* most of my snow pack is gone Sad

overnight and the creek is now flowing..better with icebergs..moving around..keep checking to make sure not damaging the dock.

by **aiannone** Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:53 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:62* most of my snow pack is gone overnight and the creek is now flowing..better with icebergs..moving around..keep checking to make sure not damaging the dock.

we will rebuild! hopefully tuesday ll!!

by **docstox12** Fri Jan 12, 2018 12:45 pm

LOL, NOW I have the dzb whatever you call it rain band over me, a week late!!! Pouring rain and literally seeing my snowpack turn from a solid to a liquid.

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Jan 12, 2018 12:50 pm

aiannone wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:62* most of my snow pack is gone overnight and the creek is now flowing..better with icebergs..moving around..keep checking to make sure not damaging the dock.
we will rebuild! hopefully tuesday ll!!

hope so...yard so sad looking....

by **frank 638** Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:15 pm

Heavy rain now I wish this was snow SMH .

by **aiannone** Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:50 pm

by **Vinnydula** Fri Jan 12, 2018 5:36 pm

Looks like the front is coming in faster. Half way through pa now

by **sroc4** Fri Jan 12, 2018 6:04 pm

by Guest Fri Jan 12, 2018 6:16 pm

DODGING A BIG BULLET HERE ON WESTERN/CENTRAL LI!. All snowpack gone, but ground still pretty frozen so the water is not soaking into the ground that quick at all. The lucky part is we’ve only received less than 1/10” of rain and therefore flooding has been a non issue. I was sure this morning I’d have to be out in my yard all night long in my fishing waders moving water to protect the basement. Incredibly foggy though.

by Guest Fri Jan 12, 2018 9:47 pm

.....still can’t believe how lucky I am. East of me getting crushed. West getting crushed worse. I’m dry slotted. Still less than 1/10” rain. No flooding issues. Ground thawing out. Looking good

by **Dunnzoo** Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:37 pm

1" of rain so far, little patches of fog where snow piles remain, still 55° out

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:39 am

38.8° and dropping steadily.

Which will come first 32° or the end of the precip?

Wonder how TheAresian is doing snow wise. WSW for 6-12 there, hoping he's in the 10-12 bullseye.

by **dkodgis** Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:48 am

I have 36 degrees and light, steady rain.

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