January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations

Hmmmmmmm

Hmmmm good or hmmmm bad?

rb924119 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:So wait, if the low tracks west of Hatteras, does that mean I am likely to jackpot?

*IF* it does, you might not technically jackpot, but you'd likely more than double your 2-4" forecast from the NWS lol

WOOOOO!

yes is that a good hmmmmm or bad lol

Yeah frank what does hmmmmm mean geez!!!!!

Frank is a master of suspense. lol

Frank_Wx wrote:Hmmmmmmm

That is to me a very good HMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!

Visibility - WOWO - Superstorm provided this map

Frank_Wx wrote:Hmmmmmmm

False alarm. I thought this was actual low position. It's a forecast. The SLP is still well off the coast.

Frank_Wx wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Hmmmmmmm

False alarm. I thought this was actual low position. It's a forecast. The SLP is still well off the coast.

I have issues with the Meso-analysis. Look at the pressure contours versus the wind barbs. The circulation does not match the contours lol

I've gotta get to bed gang. I'm sick, and have a headache. Carry this one home for us all!!!

rb924119 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Hmmmmmmm

False alarm. I thought this was actual low position. It's a forecast. The SLP is still well off the coast.

I have issues with the Meso-analysis. Look at the pressure contours versus the wind barbs. The circulation does not match the contours lol

Yes, I noticed that before. Low placement should be 75 miles west according to wind barbs.

It may not be reaching the ground, but technically the first precipitation echos have reached NJ. Hello Cape May.

rb924119 wrote:I've gotta get to bed gang. I'm sick, and have a headache. Carry this one home for us all!!!

We’ll see you around 3 am then?

Black circle is the frontgenesis that will bring moderate to heavy snows on the outer bands as I discussed earlier

Everyone better get up early tmw and post observations constantly. We track this until the end lol!!

I sure wish I knew how to keep photos I post from my phone from going sideways when viewed on laptops. lol

rb924119 wrote:I've gotta get to bed gang. I'm sick, and have a headache. Carry this one home for us all!!!

rb we will be honored to do this my man in your name and faith!!

aiannone wrote:Everyone better get up early tmw and post observations constantly. We track this until the end lol!!

who sleeps during storm week....it's all about cat naps... you watch the models and the posts for a week..then you have to stay awake to wait for the first flakes, next you have to stay awake to see the progression of a storm... a vicious, but glorious cycle!!

Is this a good location? As in storm more west?

lglickman1 wrote:Is this a good location? As in storm more west?

Isobars pointing north. Next 4 to 7 hours will be critical

Are we done looking at models, and just watching real time progression?

I think the time for models has really passed. Best thing to do now is see how the radar and other real-time data are progressing.

billg315 wrote:I think the time for models has really passed. Best thing to do now is see how the radar and other real-time data are progressing.

Hrrr?

18.9* here on LI currently

300mb jet streak looks nice. The more this expands to the west the larger the precip shield is likely to be. 

Current radar



NAM depiction at same time stamp. Current radar shows bands MUCH further west