February 2nd: Light Snow Event

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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by Taffy on Thu Feb 01, 2018 4:07 pm

This is the oddest weather alert I ever got. Notice the first two sentences. Anyone know what "Avoid the sjubect event" means?


 Until 5:00am EST, Fri Feb 2

Action Recommended: Avoid the subject event as per the instructions
Issued by: New York City - NY, US, National Weather Service,
...HAZARDOUS FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE EXPECTED... A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO START AS RAIN, HOWEVER AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT, THE RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS TEMPERATURES FALL TOWARDS AND BELOW FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING, THERE IS A HIGH THREAT FOR ICY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by amugs on Thu Feb 01, 2018 6:26 pm


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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by bobjohnsonforthehall on Thu Feb 01, 2018 6:33 pm

Down to 41 with light rain in Flemington
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by Vinnydula on Thu Feb 01, 2018 6:54 pm

Down to 38 light rain
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:16 pm

Good 4-6 hours of snow on the latest HRRR:




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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by amugs on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:20 pm

Delayed Opening's for schools are looking pretty good if these SR models verify.

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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:24 pm

amugs wrote:Delayed Opening's for schools are looking pretty good if these SR models verify.

For sure. School maintenance will have to salt, possibly scrape parking lots and let DOT treat the roads
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by billg315 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:27 pm

37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:29 pm

billg315 wrote:37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

Agreed. Never got to 45 today as forecasted. Also still have my snow cover Wink
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:38 pm

Already changing to snow in NW CT
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by billg315 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:42 pm

aiannone wrote:
billg315 wrote:37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

Agreed. Never got to 45 today as forecasted. Also still have my snow cover Wink

Haha, I know all about your snow cover. You’re hoarding it out there on the Island. Wink
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:44 pm

billg315 wrote:
aiannone wrote:
billg315 wrote:37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

Agreed. Never got to 45 today as forecasted. Also still have my snow cover Wink

Haha, I know all about your snow cover. You’re hoarding it out there on the Island. Wink

Islip is tied with BGM for snowfall so far this season lol
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by billg315 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:46 pm

Radar looks robust to the west and southwest. Looks like it’s already snow in a lot of eastern PA. I’m thinking I might get a nice surprise from this. We shall see.
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:49 pm

billg315 wrote:Radar looks robust to the west and southwest. Looks like it’s already snow in a lot of eastern PA. I’m thinking I might get a nice surprise from this. We shall see.

Yupp certainly a healthy looking radar
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 8:57 pm

FWIW, NAM is great for tonight haha
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by billg315 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:01 pm

Going on a limb here. I feel the snow will be a little heavier and last a little longer than expected. If I woke up to 2 or 3” tomorrow I wouldn’t be shocked.
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:03 pm

billg315 wrote:Going on a limb here. I feel the snow will be a little heavier and last a little longer than expected. If I woke up to 2 or 3” tomorrow I wouldn’t be shocked.

Agreed and areas to the west are already changing over much quicker than expected
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by billg315 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:06 pm

If any of those heavy bands from Harrisburg PA into northern VA make it here after it’s changed over it will snow at a good clip.
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by billg315 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:07 pm

36* here now
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by jimv45 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:08 pm

Starting to mix in Hopewell jct, at 35 now

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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:09 pm

Cold front about half way through NJ. Well ahead of the nice precip behind it. Will set the stage with some cold air and it will be ready for the precip. Don't be surprised if a WWA gets issued over night due to a good chance of hazardous travel during the morning commute
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by billg315 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:11 pm

Agreed on a WWA. I’ve felt even without snow, the ice would be an issue for the AM rush. I think snow on top of that could make things even more treacherous.
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by billg315 on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:18 pm

Radar already indicates snow in NJ down to I-78 in western NJ already
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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by amugs on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:18 pm

billg315 wrote:37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

Check out the R/S line trucking east so true my man - going to be nice surprise come sunrise!!!


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Re: February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Post by aiannone on Thu Feb 01, 2018 9:19 pm

billg315 wrote:Agreed on a WWA. I’ve felt even without snow, the ice would be an issue for the AM rush. I think snow on top of that could make things even more treacherous.

Taunton expanded their WWA for that reason:

7 PM Update...

Main change to forecast this time around is to expand the Winter
Weather Advisory farther east...into NW Rhode Island, Red Sox Suck
MetroWest and MetroNorth. Temperatures cooling below freezing as
a band of heavier snow moves through has at least a 50 percent
chance of generating hazardous weather. This headline is
intended due to impact on the area late tonight and Friday
morning and not for achieving numerical goals such as snow
accumulation.
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