February Observations and Discussions

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Post by amugs on Fri Feb 16, 2018 10:03 pm

Great post Al and if you guys can't see that we are in a torch pattern we are getting abother snowstorm then you need to recheck tings cause this doesn't happen.
Spring will.be here this week and then we go back to winter with a monster NAO and pac recuperating from the N PNA withe wave breaks I posted in the LR.
Possibility of a big storm as the massive NAO relaxes which is an Archimbault effect

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Post by Guest on Fri Feb 16, 2018 10:15 pm

algae888 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:.31" of rain overnight and this morning.  Played 18 holes of golf yesterday at Bethpage and 18 more today.  in mid February which was supposed to be BN and Snowy Laughing Laughing
If we get measurable snow tomorrow night, then the period from January 18th through February 18th , 31 days of well above normal temperatures I will have had three measurable snow events. We are in an era where it just wants to snow especially the last 7 years but you can take this back to 2000.
I think most of us have gotten spoiled with this sudden surge of snow James do you remember the period from 97 through 99 or the 1980s. We now expect a six inch snowfall every winter and a foot or more are now common. that was unheard of 20 + years ago. As far as the pattern change delayed but not denied the next threat looks to be February 26th give or take a day and then look for another snow storm in early March. I've moved past temperature departures as we are in a warm climate. it's all about snowfall and we have been getting a lot of that the last 18 years

Al I get your post.  It makes sense. I absolutely remember those years and agree we have been beyond blesssed the last 10 years.  I have no rational complaint about the snow. I’m already at normal for an entire season.  My problem is I love cold weather.  I don’t rather half the snow as long a snow it was cold and stuck around.  I hate this warmth and then snow that melts in a day.  With tons of rain.  I’ve seen a half dozen rain events in a two week span in the dead of winter that was forecast by all to be cold and snowy.  Frustrating.  If you say so though guys get offended.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy on Sat Feb 17, 2018 10:35 am

syosnow94 wrote:
algae888 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:.31" of rain overnight and this morning.  Played 18 holes of golf yesterday at Bethpage and 18 more today.  in mid February which was supposed to be BN and Snowy Laughing Laughing
If we get measurable snow tomorrow night, then the period from January 18th through February 18th , 31 days of well above normal temperatures I will have had three measurable snow events. We are in an era where it just wants to snow especially the last 7 years but you can take this back to 2000.
I think most of us have gotten spoiled with this sudden surge of snow James do you remember the period from 97 through 99 or the 1980s. We now expect a six inch snowfall every winter and a foot or more are now common. that was unheard of 20 + years ago. As far as the pattern change delayed but not denied the next threat looks to be February 26th give or take a day and then look for another snow storm in early March. I've moved past temperature departures as we are in a warm climate. it's all about snowfall and we have been getting a lot of that the last 18 years

Al I get your post.  It makes sense. I absolutely remember those years and agree we have been beyond blesssed the last 10 years.  I have no rational complaint about the snow. I’m already at normal for an entire season.  My problem is I love cold weather.  I don’t rather half the snow as long a snow it was cold and stuck around.  I hate this warmth and then snow that melts in a day.  With tons of rain.  I’ve seen a half dozen rain events in a two week span in the dead of winter that was forecast by all to be cold and snowy.  Frustrating.  If you say so though guys get offended.

I'm the opposite of you. Love the snow, hate the cold. I like when it sticks around tho like that amazing snowpack of 2010-2011. However temps weren't all that cold if I remember right. Like for example this December was brutal for me, everything getting numb after 15-30 seconds outside, too much!
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Post by docstox12 on Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:32 pm

40 degrees, cloudy, calm,30.66 R. Looks like rain out there.
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Post by billg315 on Mon Feb 19, 2018 5:48 pm

43* with a moderate rain falling. Shower should move out in the next hour or so. Tonight will be one of those rare occurrences where the temperature will actually keep rising the whole night and through tomorrow afternoon. Should be up to 46 by midnight, 50 by dawn and 60 by noon tomorrow.
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Post by amugs on Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:40 pm

Ruh Roh it's could be interesting for our N&W tribe here Thursday night lae into Fri am

February Observations and Discussions - Page 4 6B96E5DF-755F-43B3-8D0B-FBD7B97CA767.gif.6a0e408a47057e152ce85b400534a408

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Post by RJB8525 on Tue Feb 20, 2018 10:19 am

47* very foggy this morning and still
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Post by aiannone on Tue Feb 20, 2018 11:21 am

3k NAM
February Observations and Discussions - Page 4 Af390510
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Post by frank 638 on Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:28 pm

64* out and it's the middle of Feb Tom we go higher with the temperature unbelievable

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Post by Guest on Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:03 pm

It's the 20th of February, it's the southern tier of NY and it's 70. This. Is. Snow. Hell.

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Post by weatherwatchermom on Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:10 pm

70* affraid affraid
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Post by Dtone on Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:34 pm

67* here.
Tomorrow will be interesting how warm we go

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Post by skinsfan1177 on Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:38 pm

72° absolutely gorgeous
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Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 21, 2018 9:28 am

12z NAM for tmw evening
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Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 21, 2018 9:56 am

There will be rain in the forecast every day from today through Sunday. Eeeek talk about a wet period. We have been unlucky with the weather on the weekends.

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Post by amugs on Wed Feb 21, 2018 10:25 am

aiannone wrote:12z NAM for tmw evening
February Observations and Discussions - Page 4 49d7d010

Sneaky cold HP to the North, no one really knows about this. To much humping Global models like gfs and euro for this one IMO. NAM has been on fire lately!! cheers

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Post by docstox12 on Wed Feb 21, 2018 11:22 am

I'm a stones throw from the blue on that map.Hope the snow comes a little further south.
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Post by Dtone on Wed Feb 21, 2018 11:55 am

Central Park, LGA, and Newark already set records highs for the date this morning
Sunny and 71* here.

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Post by Grselig on Wed Feb 21, 2018 11:59 am

73 here in Wayne. Wow.
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Post by billg315 on Wed Feb 21, 2018 12:02 pm

Sunny and 74* here at noon. I think it is quite possible we hit 80 if the sun stays our until 4 p.m.
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Post by Grselig on Wed Feb 21, 2018 12:04 pm

billg315 wrote:Sunny and 74* here at noon. I think it is quite possible we hit 80 if the sun stays our until 4 p.m.

Beach weather! kinda nice (but i'd rather take a KU!!
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Post by Dtone on Wed Feb 21, 2018 12:19 pm

72 in the Park. All time Feb high is 75

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Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 21, 2018 1:01 pm

63.3 here on the north shore of LI
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Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 21, 2018 1:07 pm

Sooooo gorgeous. 72 degrees in Hackettstown.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Wed Feb 21, 2018 1:36 pm

This is only the 12th time in 150 years of record-keeping that the temperature has hit 70° or above in the month of February in New York City. The problem is we also did it last year. It may be nice out, at least to some people, but this is just not normal. It may be the new normal but it's not healthy and it actually scares me when you think about it. Where does it end?

To put it into perspective it's 74° right now in Central Park. The average high temperature doesn't hit 74 in Central Park until May 26. And of course that's using the inflated averages from 1981 to 2010 when we were already warming up. Really makes you think.
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