MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:38 am

Awesome Soul! Will the wild snow and wind make it to the coast? Will that strong convergence zone set up from a line on the Jersey coast thru NYC and up the Hudson River Valley? Will that’s be the line of rain to the east of it? Snow to the west of it? We will see how things look tmrw morning!
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:57 am

Wow 12z gfs and nam!! Winds are just ripping around he 60 and snow has def made it's presence. Wow 3k has a pronged period at 850 of 64kts to 110 kts on eastern li. Sbikeys!!
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:58 am

HOLY UK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! IF THE THICKNESS CONTOURS ARE ANY INDICATION WE GOT THE NAM, RGEM, UK TRIPLET!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:00 pm

H5 BABAAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! HUNINA HUMINA HUNINA HUMINA HUMINA HUMINA!!!!!!!

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:10 pm

Soul the wind threat looks to be increasing!! Wow on that read.
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by billg315 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:11 pm

I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol. H5 low over southern Delmarva?
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:14 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Soul the wind threat looks to be increasing!! Wow on that read.

Agreed, and combined with any wet snow accumulation (weight) and the already moist soil, we will be looking at power outages widespread.
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by Noreaster on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:15 pm

^500mb maps will be out in 15 mins
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:22 pm

billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol.  H5 low over southern Delmarva?



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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:23 pm

Identical to NAM. Sits there for 18 hours and goes sub-970. All you need to know. Two words: FIRED. UP.

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by syosnow94 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:28 pm

rb924119 wrote:
billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol.  H5 low over southern Delmarva?



As much as I don’t think it will snow, and even with my limited scientific skills I know one thing. If a LP sits there and spins for 18+ hours at sub 980 and deepening we will ALL GET PASTED. PERIOD.
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by frank 638 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:29 pm

National weather service has me for rain and snow for Fri into sat with no accumulation I hope this will change

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by Noreaster on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:29 pm


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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by Noreaster on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:34 pm

Here's where the Ukie closes off at 500mb
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by jimv45 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:35 pm

It might not snow  for you syosnow but some on this board might get the goods. Whatever happens this looks to be a long event.

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:41 pm

It’s MODEL MAYHEM!!!!!! affraid
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by amugs on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:45 pm

Analogs to tis storm for yuor enjoyment :
Dec 25th , 2002
October 2?, 2011

Both storms were dynamic and wild making their own cold air.
It is all about the uppe low as Rayno has been harping on for Snow.

It coming and its going to be a meteorological wonder and nightmare

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by amugs on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:47 pm

GFS ENS - this is a great look.



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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by amugs on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:48 pm

Indies - not bad

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:49 pm

Mugs- in a nut shell, what is Bernie saying about this storm?
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 12:53 pm

And the euro is off

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
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Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
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Dec 30th 2.0"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:02 pm

Loving the look at H5 through 36

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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:05 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
billg315 wrote:I don't even have the UK but I'm vicariously excited by rb's reaction. lol.  H5 low over southern Delmarva?



As much as I don’t think it will snow, and even with my limited scientific skills I know one thing.  If a LP sits there and spins for 18+ hours at sub 980 and deepening we will ALL GET PASTED.  PERIOD.

FEELING A LITTLE BETTER NOW SYO?!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:05 pm

sroc4 wrote:Loving the look at H5 through 36

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:06 pm

WeatherBob wrote:It’s MODEL MAYHEM!!!!!! affraid

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!

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