MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:06 pm

amugs wrote:GFS ENS - this is a great look.



WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by essexcountypete on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:07 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Mugs- in a nut shell, what is Bernie saying about this storm?

His last post from this morning pointed out the Euro is likely showing snow at Fri 7am for EPA, most of NJ, and NY metro.

Last video is from last night, captioned "Never, ever trust a closed off Upper Low!" LOL!

..."Never go in against a Sicilian when death is on the line"!
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by syosnow94 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:09 pm

amugs wrote:Indies - not bad

Mugs you feeling ok? Those panels are HORRENDOUS
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:09 pm

Sorry folks, but I've reached DEF-CON 5 Wooing stage and I couldn't contain it any longer lmao my pent up meteorological and snow weenie joy could no longer be held back with what is transpiring today. I apologize, and should be able to withstand several more pages of posts before another such outburst ahaha back to our regularly scheduled programming. Scott with the call......

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by SnowForest on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:10 pm

How's this looking for North Burlington County? Any chance we see 6+ inches from this storm?

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:11 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
amugs wrote:Indies - not bad

Mugs you feeling ok?  Those panels are HORRENDOUS

It's not about taking the GFS verbatim, Syo, you have to look at how much better they look compared to any prior run, and understand that the mid-levels support all of the other guidance that we have seen today. THIS WILL CORRECT TO SHOW MORE SNOW FURTHER EAST WITH MORE TIME. TRUST THE PROCESS - ITS GOTTEN US THIS FAR.

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:13 pm

EURO!!!!!!!! WWWOOOHHHOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!


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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:16 pm

OMGGGG EURO is a WARNING-level paste bomb even down to the coast.
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:16 pm

sroc4 wrote:EURO!!!!!!!!   WWWOOOHHHOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!


Give me some good news during my studying. Anything good for us on LI?
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:16 pm

WINTER STORM WARNING CRITERIA THROUGHOUT STRONG ISLAND!!!!!!!!

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:17 pm








850mb Low and 700mb low in perfect position for ALL





SURFACE:






_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by deadrabbit79 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:18 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:OMGGGG EURO is a WARNING-level paste bomb even down to the coast.

How does it look for us in Westchester? I'M not far from you in the White plains area

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:19 pm

I'm at school to rb any think for us by the hook...I am just checking in....common storm Central and the shore need to get in on action!!
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:19 pm

And you get snow!! and you get snow!, and you get snow!!!!


_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:20 pm

deadrabbit79 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:OMGGGG EURO is a WARNING-level paste bomb even down to the coast.

How does it look for us in Westchester? I'M not far from you in the White plains area

From what I can see from Southern Westchester to Northern, 6-12" respectively.
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:21 pm

OK I'm grounded again....trends are great today in ALL modeling. Areas N&W still stand to do the best but coastal plain do not give up hope yet. This storm is too dynamic. And if the Euro happens verbatim we all will accumulate to one extent or another. That is all from me for now as I HAVE to work.

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:22 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:I'm at school to rb any think for us by the hook...I am just checking in....common storm  Central and the shore need to get in on action!!

As I said before, likely advisory-level snowfall, but not warning. So, probably 2-5"-ish I think would be fair. I'm sticking with my initial call from three days ago where from the Mason-Dixon to I-78 is up to advisory-criteria snow, and north of I-78 is warning. No reason to stray from that at this time.


Last edited by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:25 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:25 pm

What a stunning friggen frame... Shocked

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:29 pm

Dare we mention the B word since there is no criteria for temps any more?
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by deadrabbit79 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:29 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
deadrabbit79 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:OMGGGG EURO is a WARNING-level paste bomb even down to the coast.

How does it look for us in Westchester? I'M not far from you in the White plains area

From what I can see from Southern Westchester to Northern, 6-12" respectively.

DAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAM!!!

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:32 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Dare we mention the B word since there is no criteria for temps any more?

No no no not yet. I’m a superstitious man.

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:33 pm

Ok, I was talking about beer for the storm! I do have some excellent Paulander Octoberfest left!


Last edited by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:35 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by jimv45 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:33 pm

Question how long will this last into Saturday?

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:33 pm

sroc4 wrote:
WeatherBob wrote:Dare we mention the B word since there is no criteria for temps any more?

No no no not yet. I’m a superstitious man.

I can see you're getting your work done told ya told ya

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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:34 pm

rb924119 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:I'm at school to rb any think for us by the hook...I am just checking in....common storm  Central and the shore need to get in on action!!

As I said before, likely advisory-level snowfall, but not warning. So, probably 2-5"-ish I think would be fair. I'm sticking with my initial call from three days ago where from the Mason-Dixon to I-78 is up to advisory-criteria snow, and north of I-78 is warning. No reason to stray from that at this time.

Sorry I am so needy this week..lol
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