March 2nd Nor'easter Update

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March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 28, 2018 2:58 pm

Hey clan -

Here is a quick blog on Friday's storm. A snow impact map is found at the end. I will have a 1st call snow map released either tonight or tomorrow. Leaning toward tonight.

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2018/02/march-roaring-in-powerful-noreaster.html

Feel free to ask questions

Best,

Francesco

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2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by deadrabbit79 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:01 pm

Thanks Frank. Just that one little spot of no snow?

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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:04 pm

Officially Storm Mode!! Love it. Its been awhile

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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by billg315 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:06 pm

Now it's a party!
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by algae888 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:09 pm

18z nam at hour 24 is 100 miles s/e and 3 mb weaker with the primary. the n/a block looks stronger.
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:16 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Hey clan -

Here is a quick blog on Friday's storm. A snow impact map is found at the end. I will have a 1st call snow map released either tonight or tomorrow. Leaning toward tonight.

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2018/02/march-roaring-in-powerful-noreaster.html

Feel free to ask questions

Best,

Francesco

Thanks Frank!!!! GREAT RIGHT UP and FANTASTIC CHOICE OF MUSIC!
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:18 pm

NAM is god awful. Very weak
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:21 pm

18z NAM


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2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:21 pm



However, snow is crashing to the coast
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:21 pm


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:23 pm


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:24 pm

This could crush down to the coast if that heavy precip comes with it
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:24 pm


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:25 pm

Dynamics are insane with this system. I love rain to snow events. Snow comes down in the size of golf balls. It will accumulate very quickly. N&W of NYC is in for some event...IMO.

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Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jimv45 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:25 pm

Nam does good for a some of us.

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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:26 pm


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:26 pm


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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by algae888 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:28 pm

WOW!! at the 18z NAM
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by billg315 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:29 pm

Frank, any thoughts on accumulation issues with warm surface and March daylight? Or do you think the snow will be heavy enough to overcome any of those issues? I think in areas where it changes by around daybreak it should accumulate quickly, but areas with a later changeover it could take awhile initially to start sticking.
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:29 pm

HR 51 MADONNNEEEEEEEEE!!!


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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by algae888 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:31 pm

billg315 wrote:Frank, any thoughts on accumulation issues with warm surface and March daylight? Or do you think the snow will be heavy enough to overcome any of those issues? I think in areas where it changes by around daybreak it should accumulate quickly, but areas with a later changeover it could take awhile initially to start sticking.
bill this is a very challenging forecast. I would say if it comes down heavy enough it will accumulate and melt as rates lessen. the conservancy will def blow this one.lol
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by sroc4 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:32 pm

aiannone wrote:NAM is god awful. Very weak

That was exactly what we wanted at the time you posted this...two seperate energy that phases AFTER is reaches the coast then stalls because of the block...text book

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:32 pm



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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by billg315 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:33 pm

algae888 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Frank, any thoughts on accumulation issues with warm surface and March daylight? Or do you think the snow will be heavy enough to overcome any of those issues? I think in areas where it changes by around daybreak it should accumulate quickly, but areas with a later changeover it could take awhile initially to start sticking.
bill this is a very challenging forecast. I would say if it comes down heavy enough it will accumulate and melt as rates lessen. the conservancy  will def blow this one.lol
lol. don't get CP going on that. hahaha
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by algae888 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 3:35 pm

1-2' of snow area wide including most of jersey and long island MADONNE!!!!!!!
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

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