March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:36 pm

12 to 16 NYC what I say rb. The Sr models go tell us the real totals. Ur wrong sorry lol
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:37 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:

Same time frame. Looks like dry slot over Long Island


Thats 500mb RH.  What does 700mb look like for same time frame?


Last edited by sroc4 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:37 pm; edited 1 time in total

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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 3.00" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3"
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:37 pm

Madonne!

H5 closes off just inside the 40/70 BM.


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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by Dunnzoo on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:39 pm

sroc4 wrote:If the euro where to verify everyone, and I mean EVERYONE on this board would be happy...except Janet who is sipping cocktails on the beach in Fla... told ya

I'm taking one for the team Scott, just like you did! ( and Joanne suggested I do and not be selfish that I am missing it)

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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:39 pm

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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:40 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
sroc4 wrote:If the euro where to verify everyone, and I mean EVERYONE on this board would be happy...except Janet who is sipping cocktails on the beach in Fla... told ya

I'm taking one for the team Scott, just like you did! ( and Joanne suggested I do and not be selfish that I am missing it)

You Roc! I deserve this one after what I did for the team in Jan.

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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 3.00" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3"
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:40 pm

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:

Same time frame. Looks like dry slot over Long Island


Thats 500mb RH.  What does 700mb look like for same time frame?

Good catch. Someone from another site foolishly posted that image. I am equally foolish for not validating. But here is H7



Last edited by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:44 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:41 pm


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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:43 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

It’s the NAM so cut the totals almost in half....but the 50 mile jog east was nice to see
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by RJB8525 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:44 pm

an afternoon update from Mt Holly

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...A major snowstorm is on the way for portions of our area on
Wednesday...

.Unfortunately, a major nor`easter will be intensifying rapidly
Wednesday afternoon along the New Jersey coast. It is expected to
produce heavy wet snow for eastern Pennsylvania and portions New
Jersey Wednesday. Highest amounts should be in the hilly areas.
While this storm is still in watch phase, we recommend everyone
with activities in eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey to have
contingency plans for altering travel and how to handle possible
power related impacts. These plans can then be applied once
warnings are issued, which will express more confidence in this
oncoming probable very high impact event. Wednesday may be a good
day to just stay home and be safe.

Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-
Lehigh-Northampton-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading,
Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Collegeville, Pottstown, Chalfont,
and Perkasie
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14
inches are possible, heaviest amounts in the higher elevations.

* WHERE...Portions of northern and northwest New Jersey and east
central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through late Wednesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will probably be very difficult to
impossible, including during the evening commute on Wednesday.
Significant reductions in visibility are likely. Snow will
probably accumulate at a rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour for
several hours, especially during Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Power outages may develop from newly broken tree limbs
or from uprooted trees in the softened ground, especially where
6 inches or more accumulates on the branches. This could become
a dangerous situation and contingency plans should be developed
for altering activities as a high impact major snow storm is
expected Wednesday. If and when warnings are issued, those
contingency plans can be implemented. We recommend following the
advice of local officials and this may be a good day to just stay
home, to ensure safety.
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by adamfitz1969 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:45 pm


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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:45 pm

Hi res nam coming in now and showing 12mm of snow per hour



Pretty sure that is close to 6 inches lol!

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2017-2018: 35"

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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:46 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:

Same time frame. Looks like dry slot over Long Island


Thats 500mb RH.  What does 700mb look like for same time frame?

Good catch. Someone from another site foolishly posted that image. I am equally foolish for not validating. But here is H7


Much better What a Face

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 3.00" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3"
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by mikeypizano on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:46 pm

Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Hallstead, Montrose, Damascus, Equinunk,
Tunkhannock, Scranton, Hazleton, Wilkes-Barre, and Honesdale
338 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 or
more inches possible. The heavy snow is most likely late
Wednesday morning to early Wednesday evening.

* WHERE...In Pennsylvania; Susquehanna, Wyoming, Lackawanna,
Luzerne and Wayne Counties.

* WHEN...From late Tuesday night through late Wednesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions,
including during the evening commute on Wednesday. Significant
reductions in visibility are possible.
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:47 pm


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2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

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CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by RJB8525 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:47 pm

Mikey P is in the game now, welcome aboard
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by rb924119 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:48 pm

jmanley32 wrote:12 to 16 NYC what I say rb. The Sr models go tell us the real totals. Ur wrong sorry lol

Never said NYC wasn't going to get snow lol I just said the highest totals will be west of the I-95. And I still think they will be. But you may be right, I don't deny that Smile

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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:50 pm

Good lord 3 km!!! starts at midnight going strong at noon still.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:51 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by SoulSingMG on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:50 pm

rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:12 to 16 NYC what I say rb. The Sr models go tell us the real totals. Ur wrong sorry lol

Never said NYC wasn't going to get snow lol I just said the highest totals will be west of the I-95. And I still think they will be. But you may be right, I don't deny that Smile

I have nothing to say about this run. Other than...

party
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by Math23x7 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:51 pm

Well then...

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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:52 pm

[quote="SoulSingMG"]
rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:12 to 16 NYC what I say rb. The Sr models go tell us the real totals. Ur wrong sorry lol

Never said NYC wasn't going to get snow lol I just said the highest totals will be west of the I-95. And I still think they will be. But you may be right, I don't deny that Smile

I have nothing to say about this run. Other than...

party [/quote 3 km is even better
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:54 pm

Some thoughts on temperature to add to the mix. Skies should clear tonight. Looks like low temps will range from about 23* far N&W to 32* on the NJ beaches and eastern Long Island. Cloud cover begins moving in during the morning. Highs will struggle to get above about 40* N&W or 44* further S&E. Dewpoints at the surface around 30* Tuesday night into early Wednesday with low temps getting to near freezing. Upper level temps (850) never get above 0*C Tuesday night. Snow beginning about 5 hours before dawn with (obviously) no sun angle issues. These are all very good signs for accumulation with a March storm.
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by SoulSingMG on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:55 pm

WOW!!! More aggressive than I've seen from Lee in awhile!!

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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by RJB8525 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:56 pm

now that's a map where you can say everybody wins lol. SORRY MIKEY this is just our local


Last edited by RJB8525 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:57 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:57 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...A major snowstorm is on the way for portions of our area on
Wednesday...

.Unfortunately, a major nor`easter will be intensifying rapidly
Wednesday afternoon along the New Jersey coast. It is expected to
produce heavy wet snow for eastern Pennsylvania and portions New
Jersey Wednesday. Highest amounts should be in the hilly areas.
While this storm is still in watch phase, we recommend everyone
with activities in eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey to have
contingency plans for altering travel and how to handle possible
power related impacts. These plans can then be applied once
warnings are issued, which will express more confidence in this
oncoming probable very high impact event. Wednesday may be a good
day to just stay home and be safe.


NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-103-105-061000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WS.A.0005.180307T0000Z-180308T0800Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-
Lehigh-Northampton-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading,
Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Collegeville, Pottstown, Chalfont,
and Perkasie
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14
inches are possible, heaviest amounts in the higher elevations.

* WHERE...Portions of northern and northwest New Jersey and east
central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through late Wednesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will probably be very difficult to
impossible, including during the evening commute on Wednesday.
Significant reductions in visibility are likely. Snow will
probably accumulate at a rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour for
several hours, especially during Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Power outages may develop from newly broken tree limbs
or from uprooted trees in the softened ground, especially where
6 inches or more accumulates on the branches. This could become
a dangerous situation and contingency plans should be developed
for altering activities as a high impact major snow storm is
expected Wednesday. If and when warnings are issued, those
contingency plans can be implemented. We recommend following the
advice of local officials and this may be a good day to just stay
home, to ensure safety.


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Re: March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

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