Wx Banter Thread 3.0

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by mikeypizano on Tue May 22, 2018 9:17 am

Can someone turn off the rain for a week so I can get some work done?
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Dunnzoo on Tue May 22, 2018 8:29 pm

Skywarn recert tonight.... so bored! lol

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Dunnzoo on Tue May 22, 2018 10:20 pm

So after skywarn recert, the official word on measuring snow....

Measure after 4-6 hours, use a snow board or table or deck that is in an open area. DO NOT CLEAR SNOWBOARD during event, measure when event is done, they don't want you clearing the board to avoid compression, they WANT it to compress a little so totals aren't inflated...really????? So annoyed....

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Radz on Wed May 23, 2018 4:23 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:So after skywarn recert, the official word on measuring snow....

Measure after 4-6 hours, use a snow board or table or deck that is in an open area. DO NOT CLEAR SNOWBOARD during event, measure when event is done, they don't want you clearing the board to avoid compression, they WANT it to compress a little so totals aren't inflated...really????? So annoyed....

I'd find it real difficult to come up with a "rule of thumb" procedure for accurately measuring accumulated snowfall, too many variables at play. The guidelines they gave you are fine for an all snow event, but what about mixing, or changeover, or combinations? If you have 4" of snow accumulate in 3 hrs and change to heavy rain which washes 2" away in an hour, you are only to report 2" accumulation?? I must admit, i don't normally clear the snowboard on my back patio either, but i measure way more often than 4-6 hrs especially when there are rapidly changing conditions.  I also like my yard stick in the center of my front lawn, great way to gauge compression Smile
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by dkodgis on Fri May 25, 2018 9:07 pm

I noticed this about the NOAA weather sat now not working:

https://nypost.com/2018/05/25/noaas-brand-new-weather-satellite-is-already-broken/
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed May 30, 2018 10:34 am

I want to congratulate Ryan - aka Quietace - for obtaining his Meteorology degree at Plymouth State University. I've known Ryan for a long time dating back to the Bill Evans forum. He is a bright mind who is very motivated and has tremendous passion for Meteorology. Current undergrads, or even people who may be looking for a change, should look up to guys like Ryan who put in time and hard work to get to where they want to be. I believe next steps for Ryan will be to take over this forum and bump me to the curve. Kidding (kinda), but he will next go to Florida State to get his Graduate degree.

What a start!

Good luck man

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Quietace on Wed May 30, 2018 10:56 am

Frank_Wx wrote:I want to congratulate Ryan - aka Quietace - for obtaining his Meteorology degree at Plymouth State University. I've known Ryan for a long time dating back to the Bill Evans forum. He is a bright mind who is very motivated and has tremendous passion for Meteorology. Current undergrads, or even people who may be looking for a change, should look up to guys like Ryan who put in time and hard work to get to where they want to be. I believe next steps for Ryan will be to take over this forum and bump me to the curve. Kidding (kinda), but he will next go to Florida State to get his Graduate degree.

What a start!

Good luck man
Thanks for the kind words Frank! I originate my passion way back when I started following you and the crew on Bill Evan's board(we have come a long way in 6-7 years).....Now I am on my way to get my PhD!

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by rb924119 on Wed May 30, 2018 11:07 am

Quietace wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:I want to congratulate Ryan - aka Quietace - for obtaining his Meteorology degree at Plymouth State University. I've known Ryan for a long time dating back to the Bill Evans forum. He is a bright mind who is very motivated and has tremendous passion for Meteorology. Current undergrads, or even people who may be looking for a change, should look up to guys like Ryan who put in time and hard work to get to where they want to be. I believe next steps for Ryan will be to take over this forum and bump me to the curve. Kidding (kinda), but he will next go to Florida State to get his Graduate degree.

What a start!

Good luck man
Thanks for the kind words Frank! I originate my passion way back when I started following you and the crew on Bill Evan's board(we have come a long way in 6-7 years).....Now I am on my way to get my PhD!

Oh snap, look at that blue name tag!!!!! YEAHHHHHHHHHHHH BUDDYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!! IT'S OFFICIAL NOW BABY!!!!!! Congratulations, Ryan, and I wish you much success in your continued endeavors!!

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by billg315 on Wed May 30, 2018 11:09 am

Congrats Ryan! The blue looks good on you.
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by sabamfa on Wed May 30, 2018 11:36 am

Congratulations!

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by sroc4 on Wed May 30, 2018 12:23 pm

Of course I echo everyone else Ryan. I wish you much success in your career and hope the PHD isnt too rough on you. It will be a lot of work but nothing you cant handle. Congrats again.

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Quietace on Wed May 30, 2018 1:09 pm

Thank you everyone!

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by amugs on Wed May 30, 2018 2:20 pm

Ryan,

CONGRATS!! You did it kid and now you have a blue label and are in a class of a select few on weather boards & forums!! I wish you the best of luck in your quest for your doctorate and we all know you got this. Amazing how many of us here have known you since your young days on teh channel 7 wx board and have witnessed your quest to becoming a pro met. Looking forward to reading yuor professional thoughts on the best topic on this forum - weather!!

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Grselig on Wed May 30, 2018 4:58 pm

Ryan Congratulations!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Grselig on Wed May 30, 2018 5:00 pm

mikeypizano wrote:Can someone turn off the rain for a week so I can get some work done?

The rain stopped. Its nice and sunny. Had to mow extra nice today for my kids party this weekend. (which it now looks like rain GFS Model
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by sroc4 on Fri Jun 01, 2018 12:34 pm


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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
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WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 3.00" (First snow Nov 15th)
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by frank 638 on Sun Jun 10, 2018 5:12 pm

I this is crazy because Hawaii is having a volcano with that I heard they're also dealing with freezing rain that's crazy what's next

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by docstox12 on Sun Jun 10, 2018 6:51 pm


Wow, this is in the message in the bottle category.VERY interesting!
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by docstox12 on Mon Jun 11, 2018 2:52 am

Checked out the radar at 2 50 AM and if that was in the winter, there would be a lot of people upset! Reminds me of that snowmageddon year when not a flake was seen from Central Jersey north.
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by frank 638 on Fri Jun 15, 2018 5:16 am

Noaa has issued a el nino watch for this fall .they are not sure how strong or weak will it be .let's hope for a weak el nino for a nice snowy winter . what do you think for. The upcoming el nino

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by docstox12 on Fri Jun 15, 2018 6:22 am

frank 638 wrote:Noaa has issued a el nino watch for this fall .they are not sure how strong or weak will it be .let's hope for a weak el nino for a nice snowy winter . what do you think for. The upcoming el nino

That's interesting, but I can't see how they can predict that so far off.I agree with you, if it is an el nino, I hope it's weak also.
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by Quietace on Fri Jun 15, 2018 9:23 am

It is very nice out.

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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by dkodgis on Tue Jun 19, 2018 4:08 pm

Doc, I think we all know this far out it is reading the tea leaves but somebody who is supposed to know sumptin' gotta say sumptin' else they are not in the profession. I like prognostication until it is no good 72-24 hours before a big event. I remind myself often the weather is controlled by a higher power and we are just spectators.
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by sroc4 on Tue Jun 19, 2018 4:36 pm

docstox12 wrote:
frank 638 wrote:Noaa has issued a el nino watch for this fall .they are not sure how strong or weak will it be .let's hope for a weak el nino for a nice snowy winter . what do you think for. The upcoming el nino

That's interesting, but I can't see how they can predict that so far off.I agree with you, if it is an el nino, I hope it's weak also.

Doc I don't think its all that reasonable to call for an el nino "watch" at this time.  A large body of water and their relative SST anomalis don't typically acutely flip with the exception of the eastern most parts, Nino 1+2, because it is much more shallow relative to the rest of the equatorial Pac.  When you look at the last 10 months of the SST anomalies in the equatorial pac you can clearly see the trend away from colder Nina conditions towards warmer anomalies. In the last few months you can see the warmer anomalies which had been in the western most Pac and at depth, 100-200m, is starting to up sell towards the surface in the eastern third of the Eq Pac. The trend is clearly towards warmer anomalies so a watch for el nino conditions is certainly reasonable by this fall. Still a long way to go though as El Nino is not simply characterized by the SST anomalies. The ONI and the overall SOI as well as atmospheric conditions all factor into the definition of Nino, Nina, and Nada.






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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
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Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

Post by sroc4 on Tue Jun 19, 2018 4:41 pm

Compare where we are now to where we were this time last year.  You can see by June of last year we can see the beginings of a cool pool developing at about 150m from the dateline on east. As we progressed into Sept the cool pool expanded and upwelled setting us up for the eventual Nina conditions to develop by late fall early winter.





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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 3.00" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3"
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