Wx Banter Thread 3.0

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Post by dkodgis on Fri Dec 21, 2018 10:33 am

I love hearing the Polar Express is coming. Hector, get a diuble HEPA VAC from HD for $90. Works
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Post by Guest on Fri Dec 21, 2018 1:29 pm

This weather sucks sooooooooooooo bad. Please get me to January in one piece

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Post by Dunnzoo on Fri Dec 21, 2018 2:31 pm

syosnow94 wrote:This weather sucks sooooooooooooo bad.  Please get me to January in one piece

Hence (love that word!) the attempt for a get together on the 30th!

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Snowfall winter of 2018-2019      25.10"

Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
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Post by billg315 on Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:16 am

The two time frames that I'm most interested in because it coincides with the projected pattern change and the models seems to be persistent in hinting about something are NYE/New Years Day followed quickly by something in the Jan 4-6 time frame. While far off, those two potential event time frames feel "real" to me.
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Post by jmanley32 on Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:26 am

Yep GFS shows two beautiful big rain storms : ) Why change regularity right?
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:37 am

jmanley32 wrote:Yep GFS shows two beautiful big rain storms : ) Why change regularity right?

Beg to differ
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Post by heehaw453 on Sat Dec 22, 2018 11:38 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Yep GFS shows two beautiful big rain storms : ) Why change regularity right?

Beg to differ

Yes, there's definitely some potential there. Hopefully by this time the pattern is less conducive to cutters because cold air should be in better supply if that's the case.

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Post by billg315 on Sat Dec 22, 2018 11:48 am

jmanley32 wrote:Yep GFS shows two beautiful big rain storms : ) Why change regularity right?

Actually (although I don’t take models verbatim that far out anyway) the 12z GFS just out shows snowstorms both dates/time frames.
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Post by Dunnzoo on Sat Dec 22, 2018 1:17 pm

Courtesy of Joe Cioffi!

TWAS THE NIGHT BEFORE CHRISTMAS (snow lover version) I wrote this December 2014.

Twas the night before Christmas and all through the east
Not a snowflake was flying, Not one in the least
Snow lovers where checking inside of a stocking
To see if Santa would leave them some blocking
The pattern you see is very complex
Because ot the northernmost polar vortex
While some models show the pattern will switch
there is always a model that puts up a hitch
The weenies all lined up along side a bridge
And threatened to jump because of the ridge
But whether it changes or just stays the same
The day to day weather will always remain
A challenge to forecast for which is your call
From Joe Cioffi the wish, Merry Christmas to All!

_________________
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Snowfall winter of 2018-2019      25.10"

Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
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Post by jmanley32 on Sat Dec 22, 2018 1:31 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Courtesy of Joe Cioffi!

TWAS THE NIGHT BEFORE CHRISTMAS (snow lover version) I wrote this December 2014.

Twas the night before Christmas and all through the east
Not a snowflake was flying, Not one in the least
Snow lovers where checking inside of a stocking
To see if Santa would leave them some blocking
The pattern you see is very complex
Because ot the northernmost polar vortex
While some models show the pattern will switch
there is always a model that puts up a hitch
The weenies all lined up along side a bridge
And threatened to jump because of the ridge
But whether it changes or just stays the same
The day to day weather will always remain
A challenge to forecast for which is your call
From Joe Cioffi the wish, Merry Christmas to All!

Ohhh that was great! LOL
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Post by sroc4 on Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:06 am

Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 200
Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 Giphy





_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3.00"
Feb 12th 2.75"
Feb 20th 0.75”
Feb 28th 0.25"
March 2nd 3.5"
March 3rd-4th 4.00"
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Post by sroc4 on Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:08 am

Jimmy and Jman……….

Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 200
Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 Now-6b6a77c9-9faa-464e-b9ab-9cc6741a36a9-1210-680




_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3.00"
Feb 12th 2.75"
Feb 20th 0.75”
Feb 28th 0.25"
March 2nd 3.5"
March 3rd-4th 4.00"
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Post by sroc4 on Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:10 am

Don't you worry.  Daddy wont let the no snow monster hurt you.  Trust me the no snow monster isn't real.  Go to sleep.  And when you wake Daddy will have a nice surprise for you in January.  SHHHHHhhhhhhhhhhhh


Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 E4471f82dcc2c048b42578954fe5c905


Last edited by sroc4 on Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:12 am; edited 1 time in total

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3.00"
Feb 12th 2.75"
Feb 20th 0.75”
Feb 28th 0.25"
March 2nd 3.5"
March 3rd-4th 4.00"
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Post by Guest on Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:10 am

sroc4 wrote:Jimmy and Jman……….

Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 200
Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 Now-6b6a77c9-9faa-464e-b9ab-9cc6741a36a9-1210-680




Very good and in my case accurate

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Post by SENJsnowman on Sun Dec 23, 2018 8:07 am

Lost in all of y'alls northern-ist hysterics is the fact that us southern folk are just getting beaten D.O.W.N. by this pattern. I mean not even a real hope of even mood flakes. MOOD FLAKES!!!  Twisted Evil

So, while you all are wondering will it or won't it, just know that from about exit 125 on down, exit 100 for sure...it won't.  Sad

As down as I am about that, I am just as jacked up about the 'new' pattern. They say it's coming...they say it will deliver. At least around when "they" say it, it's when, not if.  cheers

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Post by sroc4 on Sun Dec 23, 2018 10:19 am

Jimmy. Look at this crap!!

Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 Dc5f5610

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3.00"
Feb 12th 2.75"
Feb 20th 0.75”
Feb 28th 0.25"
March 2nd 3.5"
March 3rd-4th 4.00"
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Post by billg315 on Mon Dec 24, 2018 11:23 am

Do not sleep on 12/31 and 1/4 time frames.
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Post by SENJsnowman on Wed Dec 26, 2018 7:18 am

SROC thanks for those updates on the SSW...still have an 80-90 day window of time to capitalize, so a 2-3 week delay in the grand scheme of things could be quickly forgotten!

Would be nice if the atmosphere can throw us a bone or two in the meantime though...

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Post by sroc4 on Wed Dec 26, 2018 7:36 am

billg315 wrote:Do not sleep on 12/31 and 1/4 time frames.

Def not Bill

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
Nov 15th 3.00"
Feb 12th 2.75"
Feb 20th 0.75”
Feb 28th 0.25"
March 2nd 3.5"
March 3rd-4th 4.00"
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Post by Guest on Wed Dec 26, 2018 8:50 am

SENJsnowman wrote:SROC thanks for those updates on the SSW...still have an 80-90 day window of time to capitalize, so a 2-3 week delay in the grand scheme of things could be quickly forgotten!

Would be nice if the atmosphere can throw us a bone or two in the meantime though...

A 2-3 week delay is HUGE. We only get a 10 week window of prime snow time for us and this cuts 20% off of that

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Post by SENJsnowman on Wed Dec 26, 2018 9:43 am

I'm trying to stay positive, diplomatic and optimistic...just cuz that feels better to me. And I do think IF the pattern does deliver the goods over a 4-6 week period, the atmosphere's Great December Fail will quickly fade to an ironic footnote.

But there is no arguing that mid-late December is prime time and this lost potential could prove costly...

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Post by Scullybutcher on Wed Dec 26, 2018 10:15 am

Tomorrow is the 27th where is my snow. Lol
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