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Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

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Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 Empty Re: Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

Post by Math23x7 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:06 pm

Ripping snow! Sticking to the roads here in Manhattan!

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Post by 2004blackwrx Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:06 pm

Just starti g to stick

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Post by aiannone Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:06 pm

Hmm, having some dryslot issues here frank. I'd assume it will fill in as the low moves to the NNE?

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:07 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Rapidly intensifying low off the coast. Remember when models were showing the dual low solution? One along the coast and one well off? Looks like that was CF and the eastern-most low turned out to be the correct position.

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 DXtBJwzUQAAfwYH

Yet another component to this forecast I choked on :'(

there is no failure there is not choking....its called learning...for the next time..you are fantastic....
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Post by 2004blackwrx Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:07 pm

Just starti g to stick

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Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:07 pm

LI isnt supposed to see the best banding until 3-4pm the earliest

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:07 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:Those heavy bands are starting to make it up to me but snowing good right now. Starting to build up from an inch

Only 1 inch in HKT so far?

Yep, it's ripping now visibility very low
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Post by dkodgis Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:07 pm

32 degrees. Pine trees drooping like crazy. 7 inches and driveway is only just getting a cover. Wind is starting. Steadier, heavier snow. Here we go now, here we go now, here we go now.
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Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:08 pm

326 active members on the board right now! Awesome!!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by heehaw453 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:08 pm

Ripping! Don't even think I'm close to the best rates!

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:09 pm

just went out and shoveled..we have an inch...a little bit of mixing right now...
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:10 pm

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Rapidly intensifying low off the coast. Remember when models were showing the dual low solution? One along the coast and one well off? Looks like that was CF and the eastern-most low turned out to be the correct position.

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 DXtBJwzUQAAfwYH

I knew it!!!


SoulSingMG wrote:
sroc4 wrote:I have a question Ray or Frank.  Looking at the surface and 500mb between hr 30-36...that's when we close off H5 south of LI. But notice in the first images we have a dual low but H5 is not closed off yet.  Just looking at this the euro looks to me to be focusing on the Low along the coast when in reality the best PVA looks to be with the low further off the coast.  

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 Ecmwf105
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 Ecmwf107


Then 6 hrs later H5 closes off and the surface Low has already been pulled underneath it?  Im not buying it.  

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 Ecmwf106
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 Ecmwf108

6 hrs after that the LP center jumps nearly due east while still strengthening and the CCB jumps from over the NYC metro area  and points well west to all of a sudden well N&E over Red Sox Suck?  In theory if that were correct the LP should be occluding by hr 36-42 therefore weakening; not strengthening.  Personally I'm not buying the track of the main low.  I think the euro was focusing precip around the wrong Low and the track will be east of what it showed..not by a whole lot but not like it showed.  

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 Ecmwf109

This cyclops is cyclops what cyclops @crankywxguy cyclops has cyclops been cyclops saying cyclops for cyclops two  cyclops days!!!

Can you HEAR ME NOW???!!!! Lol
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Post by WeatherBob Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:10 pm

I have about 6 in on my car roof, 4 in on grass and 3 in on pavement
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:11 pm

Holy crap yes trust the process, took a half hour to cover everything! Roads and all. Its a blizzard out now, says 1-2 inch rates through at least 2:45 with thundersnow, I dunno if ill get that lucky.
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Post by DAYBLAZER Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:11 pm

Absolutely crapping snow here in Hopatcong. Have to be around 6 inches right now.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:12 pm

I feel like Oprah. You get thundersnow, you get thundersnow, EVERYONE GETS THUNDERSNOW

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 Kdix_20180307_1801_BR_0.4.png.46478453bebbc6681472c9c42041d347

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Post by billg315 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:13 pm

I am so mad at myself that I couldn't get the video going quick enough to catch that thunder!!!! GRRRR. lol
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:13 pm

H7 low over SNJ. Need this to push east or we will get dry slotted.

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 22 Capture.PNG.97177837b445afc81fd75d54d5598f95

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:14 pm

WE HAD THUNDER!! thought I was hearing things..dogs barking..but my girlfriend just texted and she heard it to..so confirmed... Very Happy
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Post by SkiSeadooJoe Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:14 pm

patiently still waiting for this sleet to change to snow....well at least the ground is getting white and temp is down to 35.
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Post by aiannone Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:14 pm

Thundersnow inbound from the AO. Storm tracks popped up on RadarScope

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Post by Smarnold Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:14 pm

Thunder snow!!!!

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Post by lglickman Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:14 pm

Thundersnow on the east side of manahattan

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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:14 pm

No thundersnow for me... Sad
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Post by Angela0621 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:15 pm

Heavy icing in Eatontown for the last half hour
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Post by WeatherBob Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:15 pm

Thunder heard in Garwood NJ
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Post by algae888 Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:16 pm

I was laying down on my couch all of a sudden a loud clasp of thunder ran outside thought I was Jim Cantore my daughter is laughing. I told her how rare it is for this to happen she doesn't seem very interested
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