Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:47 am

Again follow the 552 line along the coast and look at the N piece of energy. Just barely poking into the top of the picture on this run; whereas, its over the GL on prev runs valid for same time. ef big changes this run.




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WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by bobjohnsonforthehall on Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:51 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:

And they're never wrong. Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes

Well they are "accuweather". That sounds like "accurate weather". So...

Yeah I got nothin.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Sanchize06 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:54 am

Well nice to see such a change from the NAM. Still really out of range too, so plenty of time for more correcting

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 9:57 am

Sanchize06 wrote:Well nice to see such a change from the NAM. Still really out of range too, so plenty of time for more correcting

Agreed. Pos trends in multiple areas. Lets see if the globals follow suit.

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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Sanchize06 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 10:49 am

Well the GFS is now OTS

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 11:07 am

In reality if these two pices of energy were one, which is only a stones throw from being reality, as it progresses from here:




You would get much higher heights out ahead and if the timing of the N energy diving in were approx the same then it would likely be digging into the back side enhancing the coastal.  With such drastics shift on NAM for the better, and GFS for the worse it tells us nothing is set in stone.  


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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
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March 20th-22nd 11.8"
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:17 pm

Ripped from another board but here is the UKIE:






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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
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WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
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March 20th-22nd 11.8"
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:21 pm

sroc4 wrote:Ripped from another board but here is the UKIE:








_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by nutleyblizzard on Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:26 pm

UKIE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:30 pm

Nice! No mugs I said let's see what today shows was not get upset. Jeeze hard to read me in txt I guess.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:31 pm

Looking good...
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by skinsfan1177 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:39 pm

Wow
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Sanchize06 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:54 pm

CMC ensembles and UKIE in a pretty good spot for now, NAM improving, lets see what the EURO says.

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Mar 09, 2018 12:55 pm

what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:00 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?

Its running.  Out to hr 24 for me


Last edited by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:01 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
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March 20th-22nd 11.8"
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Sanchize06 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:00 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?

I believe it's out to about hr 48 now, should know within 15 minutes or so

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by mikeypizano on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:06 pm

It'll be an hour later after this weekend.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by skinsfan1177 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:08 pm

The issue with the euro is the polar vortex isn't moving out
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Sanchize06 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:09 pm

Hr 72, definitely an improvement from yesterday at 12z


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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:09 pm

thanks fellas...I forgot... following now to hear the new on euro
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by amugs on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:11 pm

Nice improvements overall on the EURO - not there yet but it is making steps in the right direction.

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Sanchize06 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:14 pm

Big shift west on Euro


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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:27 pm

PNA rdige improved. The N energy still acts to steer the system just a tad too far OTS rather than help it amplify. If the N vort were delayed by 100 miles west or came in 12-24 hrs later we would be in business. More improvements though. Lets see what the EPS has to say

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:32 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:If we're paying attention to trends (on all models not just NAM) I would argue the PNA ridge has strengthened, NAO block has weakened, northern short wave has slowed down, but the upper low associated with the confluence has remained the same. 3/4 is not bad. Especially in baseball. Still have some time to make this 4/4. 

Trend continued on today's 12z runs. We can overcome this confluence as long as these trends keep happening.

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Frank_Wx on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:40 pm

Long Range RGEM shows a Roidzilla!!!!!








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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

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