Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Again follow the 552 line along the coast and look at the N piece of energy. Just barely poking into the top of the picture on this run; whereas, its over the GL on prev runs valid for same time. ef big changes this run.






_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
sroc4- Admin
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bobjohnsonforthehall- Posts : 225
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Well nice to see such a change from the NAM. Still really out of range too, so plenty of time for more correcting
Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Sanchize06 wrote:Well nice to see such a change from the NAM. Still really out of range too, so plenty of time for more correcting
Agreed. Pos trends in multiple areas. Lets see if the globals follow suit.
_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Well the GFS is now OTS
Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
In reality if these two pices of energy were one, which is only a stones throw from being reality, as it progresses from here:

You would get much higher heights out ahead and if the timing of the N energy diving in were approx the same then it would likely be digging into the back side enhancing the coastal. With such drastics shift on NAM for the better, and GFS for the worse it tells us nothing is set in stone.


You would get much higher heights out ahead and if the timing of the N energy diving in were approx the same then it would likely be digging into the back side enhancing the coastal. With such drastics shift on NAM for the better, and GFS for the worse it tells us nothing is set in stone.

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
sroc4- Admin
- Posts : 6368
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Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
UKIE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Nice! No mugs I said let's see what today shows was not get upset. Jeeze hard to read me in txt I guess.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
CMC ensembles and UKIE in a pretty good spot for now, NAM improving, lets see what the EURO says.
Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
weatherwatchermom wrote:what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?
Its running. Out to hr 24 for me
Last edited by sroc4 on Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:01 pm; edited 1 time in total
_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
weatherwatchermom wrote:what time is euro..I forgot...1:30?
I believe it's out to about hr 48 now, should know within 15 minutes or so
Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
It'll be an hour later after this weekend.
mikeypizano- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
The issue with the euro is the polar vortex isn't moving out
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Hr 72, definitely an improvement from yesterday at 12z


Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
thanks fellas...I forgot... following now to hear the new on euro
weatherwatchermom- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Nice improvements overall on the EURO - not there yet but it is making steps in the right direction.


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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Big shift west on Euro


Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
PNA rdige improved. The N energy still acts to steer the system just a tad too far OTS rather than help it amplify. If the N vort were delayed by 100 miles west or came in 12-24 hrs later we would be in business. More improvements though. Lets see what the EPS has to say
_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Frank_Wx wrote:If we're paying attention to trends (on all models not just NAM) I would argue the PNA ridge has strengthened, NAO block has weakened, northern short wave has slowed down, but the upper low associated with the confluence has remained the same. 3/4 is not bad. Especially in baseball. Still have some time to make this 4/4.
Trend continued on today's 12z runs. We can overcome this confluence as long as these trends keep happening.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Long Range RGEM shows a Roidzilla!!!!!








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