Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

I am no one to bash you guys as your analysis is great but I have yet to see anyone else met, board form facebook etc say that this will come even close. even accuwx is clear and they always show weird extremes. I really hope we see a crazy hit but we have less than 48 hrs before frank pulls the plug, and thats calling it aweful close to have everything fall in line unless its a super last minute storm that catches everyone and their mother off guard. Not going by any models or anyones analysis bit I just do not get the vibe that this will be big or even small but wishing it in maybe that will work.

mikeypizano wrote:I heard the Red Sox are going to destroy the Yankees this year in the World Series!

Ok, just kidding... DON'T KILL ME!

There is a serious side to this post: How many times have the models done this? Show a huge storm coming, then it shifts, or fizzles out... I am just trying to be realistic here guys...

Okay if no one of the admins shouts this out as banter I am leaving the forum!! You guys have called me out on far less

It's discouraging that there just isn't any cold air to work with either for this storm. Unlike like the last one (she brought her own cold air to the party). Watch those thermals/layers. Even if does come close enough for effects, I am worried about lack of cold air.

Guys, I am sorry for being so bitter. I am just screwed so many times I can't take it anymore. I will shut up now...

SoulSingMG wrote:It's discouraging that there just isn't any cold air to work with either for this storm. Unlike like the last one (she brought her own cold air to the party). Watch those thermals/layers. Even if does come close enough for effects, I am worried about lack of cold air.

thats very true watch another high wind event with no snow soul, but anything is possible i guess. If we see huge changes by tomorrow I am fully on board.

jmanley32 wrote:

mikeypizano wrote:I heard the Red Sox are going to destroy the Yankees this year in the World Series!

Ok, just kidding... DON'T KILL ME!

There is a serious side to this post: How many times have the models done this? Show a huge storm coming, then it shifts, or fizzles out... I am just trying to be realistic here guys...

Okay if no one of the admins shouts this out as banter I am leaving the forum!! You guys have called me out on far less

Jman takin care of and Mike pmd me and apologized. All good.

NAM made improvements at the H5 set up. Moving that LP lobe over Newfoundland out a bit faster. A bit more faster heights can rise on the EC and we can get a full clean phase and allow tisbstorm to ride up the coast. Would like this over the TN valley region so it can just explode as it taps the GOM moisture.
Let's keep the improvements going. Hopefully wake up tomorrow to a EURO! !!! OR EPS!!! ALONG WITH A GFS!!!

gfs way east a miss. but closer than 12z. any improvements or is this a true step back.

eerily quiet....

gambri wrote:eerily quiet....

wonder why. hmmmm

All models well offshore verbatim. Euro may have ticked west a teenie tiny bit.

NWS still has snow Monday, Monday night here.Disco still has the storm slightly moving west with some models grazing the area.Today and tomorrow model runs should provide clarity.

We are an arm pit hair away from what the UKIE showed overnight on other models. GEFS are west and take the.5 qpf into the NJ coast and inland about 25 miles.
Northern energy is still way out of the picture up in Santa land and our pac energy is still way out at sea.
The players are on the field.
100 -200 mile shift NW and W we have seen this winter all along. 
Need some positive juju in here today.

EPS split . From Jack Sillin

I’m in Mugs. Fully recovered from Wednesday’s two feet and ready for more. Odds don’t look great, but as you said we have had a north and west shift all year so why not again.

amugs wrote:We are an arm pit hair away from what the UKIE showed overnight on other models. GEFS are west and take the.5 qpf into the NJ coast and inland about 25 miles.
Northern energy is still way out of the picture up in Santa land and our pac energy is still way out at sea.
The players are on the field.
100 -200 mile shift NW and W we have seen this winter all along. 
Need some positive juju in here today.

C'mon Mugs, reel this baby in, you've done it before!

amugs wrote:EPS split . From Jack Sillan

way more are consolidated in a prime position. No negativity here just saying what I saw last night. How many members are big hit?

Jman it is a 39/22 west split of LP centers.
Alex the 976 LP just inside the BM for $1million please!!

amugs wrote:We are an arm pit hair away from what the UKIE showed overnight on other models. GEFS are west and take the.5 qpf into the NJ coast and inland about 25 miles.
Northern energy is still way out of the picture up in Santa land and our pac energy is still way out at sea.
The players are on the field.
100 -200 mile shift NW and W we have seen this winter all along. 
Need some positive juju in here today.

I'm with you Mugs(we have big things happening in our household Monday...will make the sacrifice and root for this-it can be rescheduled!) and thank you for being lady sensitive and describing the hair in a more appropriate way then it has been in the past

weatherwatchermom wrote:

amugs wrote:We are an arm pit hair away from what the UKIE showed overnight on other models. GEFS are west and take the.5 qpf into the NJ coast and inland about 25 miles.
Northern energy is still way out of the picture up in Santa land and our pac energy is still way out at sea.
The players are on the field.
100 -200 mile shift NW and W we have seen this winter all along. 
Need some positive juju in here today.

I'm with you Mugs(we have big things happening in our household Monday...will make the sacrifice and root for this-it can be rescheduled!) and thank you for being lady sensitive and describing the hair in a more appropriate way then it has been in the past

LOL on the lady sensitive, you are absolutely right. I can tell you some don't even like that analogy.
GEFS ticks west. Need a 100 mile jump West here over the next 24 hours please!!

amugs wrote:

weatherwatchermom wrote:

amugs wrote:We are an arm pit hair away from what the UKIE showed overnight on other models. GEFS are west and take the.5 qpf into the NJ coast and inland about 25 miles.
Northern energy is still way out of the picture up in Santa land and our pac energy is still way out at sea.
The players are on the field.
100 -200 mile shift NW and W we have seen this winter all along. 
Need some positive juju in here today.

I'm with you Mugs(we have big things happening in our household Monday...will make the sacrifice and root for this-it can be rescheduled!) and thank you for being lady sensitive and describing the hair in a more appropriate way then it has been in the past

LOL on the lady sensitive, you are absolutely right. I can tell you some don't even like that analogy.
GEFS ticks west. Need a 100 mile jump West here over the next 24 hours please!!

Well, I always remember the Boxing Day Blizzard, that had a 10% chance of hitting us I believe- we can do this

Radz wrote:

amugs wrote:

weatherwatchermom wrote:

amugs wrote:We are an arm pit hair away from what the UKIE showed overnight on other models. GEFS are west and take the.5 qpf into the NJ coast and inland about 25 miles.
Northern energy is still way out of the picture up in Santa land and our pac energy is still way out at sea.
The players are on the field.
100 -200 mile shift NW and W we have seen this winter all along. 
Need some positive juju in here today.

I'm with you Mugs(we have big things happening in our household Monday...will make the sacrifice and root for this-it can be rescheduled!) and thank you for being lady sensitive and describing the hair in a more appropriate way then it has been in the past

LOL on the lady sensitive, you are absolutely right. I can tell you some don't even like that analogy.
GEFS ticks west. Need a 100 mile jump West here over the next 24 hours please!!

Well, I always remember the Boxing Day Blizzard, that had a 10% chance of hitting us I believe- we can do this

yes and I remember that clearly as well..we were to have a houseful of people to celebrate, a couple of people did come and we camped out so to speak and ate for days...I had food for 35...lol..keep the faith....it ain't over till the fat lady sings!!

I’m in folks . Let’s real her in. One thing to note though is the last storm had last minute EAST trends in the modeling and I believe the one before it did too. We did see last minute shifts n and w most of the winter but not the last couple keep that in mind. Gotta be honest and accurate.

As far as the lady sensitive stuff mom it was probably me in the past. Don’t remember. If so I apologize

Right now I would say this is looking good for the coast.

NAM definitely coming in a little further west

Right now the pattern wants to bring these storms closer.Plenty of time to bring this in.