Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 3:36 pm

Already up syo. Even Fairfield county that's 15 miles from me very close to getting a wsw. Here. But no advisory guess still not sure.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 3:40 pm

Oh warnings u meant. Nws says low to moderate chance of warning level snows here but advisory likely. And aren't their updates now 5 pm with dst?
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by syosnow94 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 3:48 pm

WSWatchws issued for Nassau Suffolk 4-8”. 6-12” waaaaynout east.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Mar 11, 2018 3:52 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Already up syo. Even Fairfield county that's 15 miles from me very close to getting a wsw. Here. But no advisory guess still not sure.

Woah! It's true! I'm having brunch right now just over the river in the Byram Village of Greenwich and am under a Winter Storm Watch! I'll drive a quarter mile back over the bridge in Port Chester and be home...with no WSW. Haha
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Mar 11, 2018 3:54 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Soul that has most of our firumnat over a 50% chance of greater than 4”. That’s pretty aggressive on their part. I hope my map busts

Agreed, it's aggressive. Even Upton suggests trends will bring the storm closer west to the benchmark in their write-up.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by syosnow94 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:02 pm

It’s like the NWS copies my map
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by billg315 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:12 pm

syosnow94 wrote:It’s like the NWS copies my map
I'm going with this theory. Wink
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:14 pm

Okay now I think we can start thinking this may be over 12km nam is well east and almost ots
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by syosnow94 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:15 pm

Uptown Disco.

Timing for steadiest and heaviest snow appears to be overnight
Monday night into early Tuesday. Snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches
per hour are quite possible over eastern sections, based on
latest frontogenesis and likely banding. The Tuesday morning
commute will be impacted.

Assuming the track and intensity forecast is correct, a 970 hpa
low near or just east of the benchmark, would expect heaviest
snow and highest accumulations to be placed along the coast,
east of NYC.

Have expanded the Winter Storm Watch from Monday evening
through Tuesday to Long Island (east of NYC) and southern CT,
with highest amounts east. A foot of snow is possible in spots
over SE CT and eastern LI.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:17 pm

Well precip is still heavy for a while into the area. I just don't know anymore. Yeah soul the stmsntics ate just silly the cut off isn't go b that drastic though could be close.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:19 pm

oooo... nice looking improvements already on the 18z NAM run. Looks more phase-friendly...
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:19 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:oooo... nice looking improvements already on the 18z NAM run. Looks more phase-friendly...
it's not great on surface lp is east and s.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:21 pm

Actually is it inside the bm? It was east but then came more north
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:22 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Actually is it inside the bm? It was east but then came more north

It dug deeper. Surface is less important right now than the upper level interactions.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by mikeypizano on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:23 pm

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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:24 pm

West and stronger south of Nantucket sub 970!!
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:24 pm

Their was better phasing with the nam that's why their was a tug west. H5 was Definetly better. If we get a earlier phase by 3 hours then its on its still trending better
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Radz on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:25 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Okay now I think we can start thinking this may be over 12km nam is well east and almost ots
No where near OTS, actually looks closer to the coast...
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:26 pm

MUCH BETTER! Long Island gets snow bombed!
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by skinsfan1177 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:26 pm

Radz wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Okay now I think we can start thinking this may be over 12km nam is well east and almost ots
No where near OTS, actually looks closer to the coast...

It was it tugged west better phase
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:27 pm

Wow eastern CT to ma roudzilla
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by billg315 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:29 pm

I will post my 1st call snow map after analyzing the NAM run.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:29 pm

Wow the prep totals expanded at least 100 miles west.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:29 pm

I moved my reply to banter. Don't want to crowd the space here.

Things are getting interesting.


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:33 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 4:30 pm

If we can get this 50 to 100 miles more west NYC on east sees a Godzilla maybe even far eastern nj.
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Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

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