Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

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Post by SoulSingMG on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:22 pm

FWIW, the 18z GEF'S look 'better' than the operational.
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Post by amugs on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:23 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:I got nothing

Me neither.

A message is being sent, by not receiving a message.

LMAO!!!!!!!!!!!! pirat

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Post by nutleyblizzard on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:30 pm

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 10 Image_10
SoulSingMG wrote:FWIW, the 18z GEF'S look 'better' than the operational.
A lot of west leaning members.
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Post by Guest on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:33 pm

Maybe Frank just found an apartment so he’s indisposed at the moment

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Post by billg315 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:41 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Maybe Frank just found an apartment so he’s indisposed at the moment
I think he’s got to wait until he moves in for that.

Or did you just mean signing the lease?
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Post by Guest on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:42 pm

Signing the lease.

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Post by billg315 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:45 pm

This is the problem with model runs coming out an hour later now. Lot of dead airtime to fill with my bad humor.
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Post by Taffy on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:47 pm

Frank took down the 75% chance of some sort of storm. That bums me out.
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Post by nutleyblizzard on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:50 pm

Taffy wrote:Frank took down the 75% chance of some sort of storm. That bums me out.
Its still there. check out the home page.
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Post by billg315 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:50 pm

Taffy wrote:Frank took down the 75% chance of some sort of storm. That bums me out.
Taffy I think it’s still up if you go to home page. Remember that’s just the percentage chance of accumulating snow though so even if it stays doesn’t mean a big storm for everyone.
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Post by Taffy on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:56 pm

Thanks guys. I found it. I was crest fallen for a few. This storm has me crazy.
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Post by billg315 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:58 pm

Taffy wrote:Thanks guys. I found it. I was crest fallen for a few. This storm has me crazy.
Lol. No problem. We all get out of sorts over these tricky storms!
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Post by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:08 pm

18z hrdps was also way east with precip and LP position. So all 18z models went east, we need to do nothing but correct west through tomorrow or it prolly won't happen.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:18 pm

billg315 wrote:
Taffy wrote:Frank took down the 75% chance of some sort of storm. That bums me out.
Taffy I think it’s still up if you go to home page. Remember that’s just the percentage chance of accumulating snow though so even if it stays doesn’t mean a big storm for everyone.

To be even more precise it's the chance of 1.0 inch or more of snow accumulating in Central Park. Not exactly a Frankzilla guarantee.
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Post by Guest on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:26 pm

Guys were getting 3-10” lowest west highest waaay east. It’s done. Let it be written

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Post by Math23x7 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:27 pm

21Z SREFS brought snow down big time.

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Post by billg315 on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:31 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Guys were getting 3-10” lowest west highest waaay east. It’s done. Let it be written
That’s not far off from what I’ve been expecting so wouldn’t be a surprise to me. Although I think eastern tip of LI could do better than 10.
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Post by Radz on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:33 pm

Math23x7 wrote:21Z SREFS brought snow down big time.
Good, cause when they went up, models went east... let's hope for the reverse for the 0z's...
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Post by aiannone on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:34 pm

Math23x7 wrote:21Z SREFS brought snow down big time.

Only dropped an inch for ISP. Went from 13" to 12"

Only 2 members have 0". The rest are from 6" to 25" with a cluster around the 12" mark
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Post by aiannone on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:39 pm

SREF 21z:
Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 10 Sref10
Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 10 Sref2110

15z:
Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 10 Sref1510
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Post by aiannone on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:49 pm

0z NAM Running
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Post by Guest on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:51 pm

SREFS are Godzilla for all the areas under a winter storm watch

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Post by aiannone on Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:56 pm

overall not too different from 18z through hr 15. If anything, slightly less amped with the initial development off the NC coast
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Post by nutleyblizzard on Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:06 pm

AS of hour 19 NAM is west of 18z.
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Post by aiannone on Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:07 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:AS of hour 19 NAM is west of 18z.

Yet sfc QPF is a tick east of 18z at 26
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