March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:45 pm

Look close at the radar though. Returns are moving more ENE than NNE. hope my eye is wrong. Reading some analysis wherever heavier bands set up west of the LP snow could really pile up quick while areas east and west suffer from the dreaded s word
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:49 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Look close at the radar though. Returns are moving more ENE than NNE. hope my eye is wrong. Reading some analysis wherever heavier bands set up west of the LP snow could really pile up quick while areas east and west suffer from the dreaded s word

Let this be understood now by ALL..esp those east of NYC. There will be frontogenesis and banding develop. Where there is banding there will likely be areas of subsidence...its inevitable.

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Radz on Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:12 pm

WTF is the NAM doing???? Chasing convection?? Its all over the place...
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:25 pm

18z Hi res

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:36 pm

Ef the HiRes. It’ screws everyone but Scott and Akex
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:45 pm

Now that could mean some nice banding

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:56 pm

NWS pm updated package gas me in a WWA FOR 2-4” here in Syosset
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by amugs on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:04 pm

aiannone wrote:Now that could mean some nice banding

Alex, that band will.meanderings business. Hope whomever is stuck in between those makes up somehow cause it will skunk them a bit.
HRRR shifted another tic west. Well see. Jman may jump out of his skin to a degree when he see this.

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Blaze on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:05 pm

Hey was there a recent shift west? My totals in Monmouth County NJ just got upped.

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Taffy on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:09 pm

I have a pretty big increase in wind @11mph ESE and temps are falling fast.
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:15 pm

40* with a light rain shower here. Not expecting steady snow until later, maybe after 10.
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:16 pm

If some of the westward trends especially like the HRRR continue my first call snow map may be better than my final. Lol.
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by dsvinos on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:19 pm

Blaze what did they up Monmouth County to? I'm in Marlboro. Thanks!
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:20 pm

The HRRR is trying to sucker us in. It brings the 1” of line to my backyard. Don’t let it suck you in
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by weatherwatchermom on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:21 pm

Blaze wrote:Hey was there a recent shift west? My totals in Monmouth County NJ just got upped.

where do you live?
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by weatherwatchermom on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:23 pm

dsvinos wrote:Blaze what did they up Monmouth County to?  I'm in Marlboro.  Thanks!

we are still in the 2-4 over here...I would be happy with that...what is your advisory?
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Blaze on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:30 pm

dsvinos wrote:Blaze what did they up Monmouth County to?  I'm in Marlboro.  Thanks!

They upped it where I am in Middletown NJ from 1-2 inches to 2-4 possibly 5.

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Blaze on Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:32 pm

I heard though there is a chance it gets upped to 4 to 6 here in Middletown NJ

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:06 pm

Don’t like the 44 degrees out here
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Dunnzoo on Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:12 pm


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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Taffy on Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:13 pm

I can't believe the wind pick up. I went from 11mph to 16 with gusts up to 20 in a bit less than one hour. Temps are falling more slowly now. Now, if it just gets a little white gold behind it. I'm a happy woman
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:14 pm

Down to 38* with light rain here. Looking at radar the heaviest bands over NC and VA appear to be moving more north than northeast. Of course if the low pulls the entire precip shield to the northeast that may not mean much.
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:17 pm

Love to be in Williamsburg VA right now: 34* under a heavy snow band.
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:29 pm

Trough going neg..going to tug her back west


_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:33 pm


_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

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