March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Page 2 of 15 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 8 ... 15  Next

Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:46 am

FWIW:
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Captur59
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3754
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:49 am

Math23x7 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
sroc4 wrote:12K slight improved aloft...3K looking better aloft as well.

Both increased snowfall amounts

12-km NAM actually decreased snow totals for NYC.  The 3-km NAM techincally "increased" snow totals, but it's barely noticeable on the map.

Stick a fork in it...

It increased totals on LI and CT

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 18707
Reputation : 277
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 27
Location : Cranford, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by frank 638 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:51 am

What about NYC esp the Bronx and queens

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1962
Reputation : 25
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 36
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:52 am

frank 638 wrote:What about NYC esp the Bronx and queens

C-2"

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 18707
Reputation : 277
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 27
Location : Cranford, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:54 am

A few inches at best
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 15935
Reputation : 80
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 38
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Frank_Wx on Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:13 am

RGEM

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 5aa6965508612

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018: 35"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 18707
Reputation : 277
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 27
Location : Cranford, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by RJB8525 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:20 am

facepalm
RJB8525
RJB8525
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1953
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 33
Location : Hackettstown, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:24 am

Frank_Wx wrote:RGEM

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 5aa6965508612

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Tenor

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS Trace (First snow Nov 12th)
November 12th = trace
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6291
Reputation : 251
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:31 am

Ok. Almost didn't bother, but want to be as close to accurate as possible. Sooooo without futher ado, my final call snow map (*crickets*). Just shifted everything about 30 miles east or so more or less with a few tweaks around the edges.

Yellow: 1-3"
Blue: 3-5"
Purple/Pink: 5-10"
Orange: 10-15"
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Snow_m13
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 2792
Reputation : 145
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 45
Location : Somerville, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Smittyaj623 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:45 am

Man oh man...

Smittyaj623

Posts : 73
Reputation : 6
Join date : 2018-03-06
Age : 19
Location : Bayville, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Guest on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:00 pm

billg315 wrote:Ok. Almost didn't bother, but want to be as close to accurate as possible. Sooooo without futher ado, my final call snow map (*crickets*). Just shifted everything about 30 miles east or so more or less with a few tweaks around the edges.

Yellow: 1-3"
Blue: 3-5"
Purple/Pink: 5-10"
Orange: 10-15"
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Snow_m13

Now it’s basically my map from 24 hours ago tongue

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Dunnzoo on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:06 pm

Well, wasn't expecting much anyway, we are below average for the season and really didn't think we would get there after the way things have been this winter. Syo, drinks are on you if you get the goods this time!

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2018-2019      25.10"

Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 3980
Reputation : 42
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 57
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:07 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Ok. Almost didn't bother, but want to be as close to accurate as possible. Sooooo without futher ado, my final call snow map (*crickets*). Just shifted everything about 30 miles east or so more or less with a few tweaks around the edges.

Yellow: 1-3"
Blue: 3-5"
Purple/Pink: 5-10"
Orange: 10-15"
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Snow_m13

Now it’s basically my map from 24 hours ago tongue

lol. Yep, no doubt. You were (again) on the money with this one!
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 2792
Reputation : 145
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 45
Location : Somerville, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:07 pm

GFS is about .6-.75" of liquid for suffolk county on east
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3754
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Guest on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:11 pm

aiannone wrote:GFS is about .6-.75" of liquid for suffolk county on east

At 8:1 that’s 5-6”. Very low end warning criteria. I actually think the NWS shrinkS theIR advisories And trim totals by another 1-2” at their early evening advisories

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:13 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
aiannone wrote:GFS is about .6-.75" of liquid for suffolk county on east

At 8:1 that’s 5-6”. Very low end warning criteria.  I actually think the NWS shrinkS theIR advisories And trim totals by another 1-2” at their early evening advisories

I think the warnings stay out and suffolk. That would support the 4-7" warning they have out right now
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3754
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by amugs on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:17 pm

JMA woudl be nuts if it verified - maybe seeing the western shift?

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Jma_apcpn_eus_3

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 10350
Reputation : 163
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 49
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:28 pm

Upton just reissued warnings. Upped the lower end up an inch. Now 5-7" for western suffolk 6-9" with localized 12" in eastern suffolk. GFS supports that. .7" in western suffolk and .9-1.0" in eastern suffolk which at a temp between 33-34* that equates to about 5-7" for western suffolk and 8-12" for eastern suffolk which supports their warning exactly.
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3754
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by nutleyblizzard on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:37 pm

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Codnex12              
Hmm. Trough going negative early???


Last edited by nutleyblizzard on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:49 pm; edited 3 times in total
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1590
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 53
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by amugs on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:37 pm

aiannone wrote:Upton just reissued warnings. Upped the lower end up an inch. Now 5-7" for western suffolk 6-9" with localized 12" in eastern suffolk. GFS supports that. .7" in western suffolk and .9-1.0" in eastern suffolk which at a temp between 33-34* that equates to about 5-7" for western suffolk and 8-12" for eastern suffolk which supports their warning exactly.

They are seeing the slight westward shift - UKIE is out in about 5 minutes from meteocenter with precip - word on the boards is it looks to have come west with another jog - how much we'll soon know. This maybe one of the most frustrating storms.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 10350
Reputation : 163
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 49
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Guest on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:39 pm

My point and click forecast which is IDENTICAL to Scott’s in Wasing river 30 miles away. He’s under a warning in eastern Suffolk I’m under an advisory in extreme eastern Nassau. It doesn’t line up?

TonightSnow, mainly after 1am. Low around 32. Wind chill values between 20 and 30. North wind 10 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
TuesdaySnow before 5pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow. High near 39. Wind chill values between 20 and 30. Breezy, with a northwest wind 18 to 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Math23x7 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:53 pm

The 12Z GEFS is west but too little too late...

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2191
Reputation : 55
Join date : 2013-01-08

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Guest on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:54 pm

It’s never too late folks. Let’s keep er coming left

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:57 pm

OHHHH CANADA!!!!! <33333

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Captur60
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 3754
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Empty Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:57 pm

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 2 Index.gif.f5e589eb46f137bb1732be488bbc51e0

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS Trace (First snow Nov 12th)
November 12th = trace
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6291
Reputation : 251
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 15 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 8 ... 15  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum