March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by frank 638 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:05 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED
is it good news or bad news

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:06 pm

Euro is a jog west
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by bobjohnsonforthehall on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:09 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I would argue the trough is more neutral than it is positively tilted. Some models showed it positively tilted at this time. Take it for what its worth...

2:08 PM trough seems neutral to perhaps very very very slightly negative.
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by docstox12 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm

syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.


Last edited by docstox12 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:14 pm


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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:17 pm


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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:28 pm

Last 3 runs of the euro Total QPF.  




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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by SoulSingMG on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:31 pm

sroc4 wrote:Last 3 runs of the euro Total QPF.  




Good for you, Long Island! Well deserved. I doubt the city will accumulate much given temps and lack of heavy rates. Maybe we say ~4" up here I'm Westchester!
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by dsix85 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:33 pm

Sroc- you think any chance we can get 8-10" in Manorville?

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:35 pm

dsix85 wrote:Sroc- you think any chance we can get 8-10" in Manorville?

Yes def a chance..decent one at that IMO.. I still like my map I posted this am. Not changing anything. Se the other thread for reference

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by dsix85 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:36 pm

Understood. Thanks my man.

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by GreyBeard on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:40 pm

Doc and Cp, you guys must still have a lot of snow still otg from last storm,no? Down here on LI,nassau county,mostly just plow piles left,down to bare grass.

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:45 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED
why what they say?

Upton increased totals N and W in the advisory areas by 1-3" but decreased them in my advisory area which is east of the city, while increasing the warning amounts in Suffolk

very confusing especially considering my point and click forecast from them is for 4-8"
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by weatherwatchermom on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:46 pm

Hey guys it sure does feel like it's going to snow!! Good luck.. hopefully we wake up to a surprise here tomorrow
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:47 pm

docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc. the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east. Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area. I know its just semantics but its confusing
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by sroc4 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:54 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc.  the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east.  Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area.  I know its just semantics but its confusing

CP might have hacked the NWS Jimmy

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
April 2nd 6"
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:55 pm

Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by docstox12 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:57 pm

GreyBeard wrote:Doc and  Cp, you guys must still have a lot of snow still otg from last storm,no? Down here on LI,nassau county,mostly just plow piles left,down to bare grass.

Hi, Greybeard! Yes, I'd say 18 to 20 inches still OTG here.There was the usual compaction and a slow melt as temps have been on the cold side, but that March sun does work.There was 28 OTG immediately after the storm.Hoping for that 3 to 5 to freshen up what we have.Have not looked long range, but temps the balnce of this week look to be on the cold side.
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by docstox12 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:58 pm

sroc4 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:OKAY NWS. NOW IM OFFICIALLY CONFUSED

Jimmy, I see 5 to 7 for your area in the NWS warning.Your good, don't worry.I think they bumped us here in the HV due to colder temps and better ratios or maybe they see a tick west that helped us here.Anyhoo, going to nowcast very fast.Look at the radar, coming to the plate!

Edit, Alex just said a tick west on Euro.

I'm in an advisory Doc.  the warning is for Suffolk 2 miles to my east.  Totals were raised north, west, south and east of me, but lowered in my advisory area.  I know its just semantics but its confusing

CP might have hacked the NWS Jimmy

lol! lol! lol! lol! lol!

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by docstox12 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:59 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.


lol! lol! lol! lol!

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Grselig on Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:01 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Syos if you remember Orange County Othelia predicted there would be snow all around you but miss your area. This is scary.

I know it’s kind of banter but I can’t help myself. It is storm related.

Yes. Banter. Does she predict more snow for March
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:08 pm

Greslig

I answered in banter.

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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by Scullybutcher on Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:17 pm

FWIW weather channel took me from 2-6 now 6 - 10
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by syosnow94 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:30 pm

Not gonna lie boys. I thought about CP hacking the NWS site to screw with me AND I thought about the Ophelia thing too. Funny crap
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Re: March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

Post by billg315 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 3:36 pm

Radar is looking healthy. FWIW
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