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Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:27 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Wow NNJ is WRECKED

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 5ab0708831c89_Screenshot2018-03-1922_22_52.png.769d1670cc1d2f4ec4506c42bb7adec8


Oh hayyyyy, Westchester! @jman

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:28 pm

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 5ab071969dbd9_download(20).thumb.gif.e2b347c4685c3f54d354297aa4316c21

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:28 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:ARW's

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 Precip_total_accum_members_PANJDE_hr054.png.3eab481cbd20419af338a5e3387d9b26
how much of that qpf is snow into NYC area and NJ? If thats all frozen you may need to hoist the roid!
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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:29 pm

totally different extent to the precip shield on the NAM

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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:29 pm

Well. I haven’t seen anything on this NAM run to make me lower my numbers.
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:30 pm

NAM!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 2018-03-19_22-26-07.jpg.9e14452a4508c581541223e46f82853e

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Post by Scullybutcher Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:30 pm

Do you feel this storm is being under modeled with all the energy that is coming together and the northern block. Is the storm still be depicted to stall on Wednesday.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:30 pm

NAM is already surpassed godzilla its go show a roidzilla for some areas and high end godzilla others.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:30 pm

Lots and lots of sleet for those east of NYC. NYC even but not as much as LI.

But NAM is the warmest model so far. I think the convection could actually help cool the columns.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:31 pm

JESUS MOG hr 51 already 12-20 and stil lcoming down!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:32 pm

amugs wrote:NAM!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 2018-03-19_22-26-07.jpg.9e14452a4508c581541223e46f82853e

If that map verified as Snow you me and Doc are celebrating on Friday. To hell with taxes.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:32 pm

Winds are easterly on the NAM for the coast. That would yield sleet even if air temps are in the upper 20's.

NEED NORTHERLY WINDS

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Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:33 pm

NAM keeps milling about off the NJ coast. What a crush job!
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:33 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
amugs wrote:NAM!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 2018-03-19_22-26-07.jpg.9e14452a4508c581541223e46f82853e

If that map verified as Snow you me and Doc are celebrating on Friday. To hell with taxes.
Yet you win again CP, I bow to you lol, still not to shbby here if it can stick, and you thought wasnt go reach up there, verbatim this hits all.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:34 pm

NAM snow map but take with a grain of salt because this shows sleet as snow and many areas at the coast were sleet this run due to easterly winds

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 Image.thumb.png.d02133c4d0ac9878386b2476cdf36f76

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Post by Vinnydula Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:34 pm

Still snowing at 51 with 18in in Westchester Smile
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:34 pm

If the NAM verifies it’s hard to see anyone being too unhappy except maybe eastern 2/3 of LI because they’ll get so much sleet.
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:34 pm

billg315 wrote:Well. I haven’t seen anything on this NAM run to make me lower my numbers.
May have to up then for NWNJ higher elevasion once again will see the 14-18" range IMO from experience and maybe plus

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:34 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Winds are easterly on the NAM for the coast. That would yield sleet even if air temps are in the upper 20's.

NEED NORTHERLY WINDS
Does that mean most of that in and around NYC is sleet soonly a few inches?
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:36 pm

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 Namconus_asnowd_neus_18

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:36 pm

billg315 wrote:If the NAM verifies it’s hard to see anyone being too unhappy except maybe eastern 2/3 of LI because they’ll get so much sleet.
For the sleet are you guys talking all coastal areas NYC and lets say 25 miles around sleet too?
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:36 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Winds are easterly on the NAM for the coast. That would yield sleet even if air temps are in the upper 20's.

NEED NORTHERLY WINDS
Does that mean most of that in and around NYC is sleet soonly a few inches?

Yes

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:36 pm

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 Captur69

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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:36 pm

I think the precip shield may be depicted a bit too far west (or too heavy there at least) as this thing is going to bomb likely tightening up the precip closer to center.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:37 pm

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 25 Image.thumb.png.05aef9a4fafdfbf44a151b0aa3270621

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:39 pm

Hi-Res is colder, hits our area for the 1st wave too

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:39 pm

ouch Frank not what I wanted to hear, I should not have let this one rope me in again just go be a pelting sleet, I wonder if we will see any snow.
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